The upcoming Serie A clash between Pisa and Napoli at the Arena Garibaldi marks the 37th round of the season. The hosts are already relegated and will play mainly for pride, while the visitors aim to bounce back after their recent 3-2 defeat against Bologna. With the campaign nearing its end, the contrast between the two sides could not be sharper: Pisa sit bottom of the table, while Napoli remain in second place, still chasing a strong finish and a Champions League qualification spot.

Pisa’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Pisa enter this fixture in a deep crisis, having lost their last seven Serie A matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 3-0 defeat against Cremonese on May 10, 2026. The team’s season has been one to forget, with only two wins, twelve draws, and twenty-two losses overall. Offensively, Pisa have struggled throughout the campaign, averaging just 0.7 goals per game while conceding 1.8 on average. Their defensive issues are evident, as they have allowed at least one goal in each of their last twelve league matches, both home and away.

At the Arena Garibaldi, Pisa’s record is equally disappointing. They have conceded in every one of their last twelve home fixtures, and their inability to hold a lead has been a recurring theme — they have failed to win at half time in nineteen of their last twenty Serie A matches. The team’s lack of confidence and consistency has left them without a win in twenty-four of their last twenty-five games, a statistic that underlines their struggles at both ends of the pitch.

• Ranking: 20th in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.4 per match


• Average goals conceded: 2.2 per match


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last 10 matches

Despite their poor form, Pisa will look to end their home campaign on a positive note. The return of Calabresi and Marin to the starting lineup could provide some stability, while Moreo remains their main attacking reference, having scored six goals this season. However, the team’s overall lack of creativity and defensive discipline makes it difficult to see them competing on equal terms with Napoli.

Napoli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Napoli approach this match after a disappointing 3-2 loss to Bologna on May 11, 2026. That result extended a mixed run of form, with only one win in their last five Serie A matches (one win, two draws, two defeats). Over the season, Napoli have collected twenty-one victories, seven draws, and eight losses, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Despite some inconsistency in recent weeks, they remain one of the most balanced sides in the league.

Napoli’s away performances have been solid, often taking control early in matches — they have led at half time in six of their last ten away fixtures. Their attacking play is built on fluid passing sequences, with only Inter having produced more long passing moves ending in goals this season. The team’s creativity and technical quality have allowed them to remain competitive even when key players were unavailable due to injuries or suspensions.

• Ranking: 2nd in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.4 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match


• Win probability: 58%

Napoli’s lineup could see the return of De Bruyne after missing the Bologna match, while Neres is close to full fitness. Politano remains suspended, and Lukaku continues to be sidelined. Hojlund, with ten goals this season, will once again lead the attack, supported by Elmas and Alisson Santos — the latter has been a revelation since joining, scoring four goals and leading the team in successful dribbles since February. With their superior quality and motivation to secure second place, Napoli are expected to dominate possession and create numerous chances.

Pisa vs Napoli Tactical Overview

This fixture brings together two teams at opposite ends of the Serie A spectrum. Pisa have endured a season full of defensive lapses and attacking inefficiency, while Napoli have maintained a structured and possession-based approach despite recent setbacks. The visitors’ ability to control the tempo and exploit spaces behind Pisa’s defense could prove decisive. Historically, Napoli have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning both of the last two meetings, including a 3-2 victory in September 2025.

Pisa’s main challenge will be to contain Napoli’s attacking trio and avoid early mistakes that could open the floodgates. Their defensive line has been vulnerable to quick transitions, and given Napoli’s technical superiority, the hosts will likely spend much of the match defending deep. For Napoli, the key will be converting their dominance into goals and avoiding complacency against a side with nothing to lose.

Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring match is possible if Pisa manage to stay compact, but Napoli’s attacking depth and motivation to finish the season strongly make them clear favorites. Pisa’s poor home record and Napoli’s superior quality suggest that the visitors should secure all three points comfortably.

Probable Lineups Pisa vs Napoli

PISA (3-5-2): Semper; Calabresi, Caracciolo, Canestrelli; Leris, Akinsanmiro, Aebischer, Vural, Angori; Moreo, Meister.
NAPOLI (3-4-2-1): Milinkovic-Savic; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno; Spinazzola, Lobotka, McTominay, Gutierrez; Elmas, Alisson Santos; Hojlund.

Pisa vs Napoli Prediction and Final Analysis

All indicators point toward a dominant performance from Napoli. Pisa’s defensive fragility, combined with their inability to score consistently, makes it difficult to imagine an upset. Napoli’s attacking options and tactical discipline should allow them to control the match from start to finish. The visitors have also remained unbeaten in their last five Serie A trips to Pisa, further strengthening their case for victory.

While Pisa may find some motivation in playing their final home game of the season, the gulf in quality and form is simply too wide. Expect Napoli to secure a comfortable win, possibly keeping a clean sheet against a side that has struggled to find the net all year.

Pisa vs Napoli prediction by BetMines:
Napoli win (2) with a probability of 58%.