Tools
Real Valladolid
0 - 1
FT
Las Palmas
Prediction published on Nov 12, 2025 8:05 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Nov 12, 2025 8:05 PM
The fourteenth round of LaLiga Hypermotion kicks off this Friday at the José Zorrilla Stadium, where Real Valladolid will host UD Las Palmas. This fixture brings together two sides with promotion ambitions, both eager to secure a crucial win that could shape their trajectory in the second division. Historically, the matchup has slightly favored the home team, but recent encounters suggest a much tighter contest is expected this time around.
Real Valladolid approach this game after a goalless draw against Cádiz CF on November 9, a match that reflected their current inconsistency in front of goal. Over their last five league fixtures, the Pucelanos have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Despite their mixed results, the team remains competitive and difficult to break down, especially at home, where they often rely on defensive organization and collective effort.
In the current LaLiga 2 standings, Valladolid sit 7th with 20 points from 13 matches (5 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses). Their season averages of 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match highlight a balanced approach, with a solid backline compensating for a somewhat inconsistent attack. Key players such as Marcos André, Amath Ndiaye, and Jorge Delgado Caballero are expected to play pivotal roles in unlocking Las Palmas’ defense.
The home side’s historical advantage in this fixture is notable, with 20 wins compared to 16 for Las Palmas and 14 draws. However, the last ten meetings have been evenly matched, producing three victories for Las Palmas, two for Valladolid, and five draws. The most recent encounter at the José Zorrilla ended 1-1, underlining the fine margins that often define this rivalry.
UD Las Palmas travel to Valladolid in excellent spirits after a convincing 3-1 victory over Racing Santander on November 9. That win showcased their attacking efficiency and the strong connection between the team and their supporters. Under Luis García, the Canarian side have been one of the most consistent teams in the division, currently sitting 3rd in the table with 23 points (6 wins, 5 draws, 2 defeats).
In their last five matches, Las Palmas have achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their defensive record is among the best in the league, with only 0.6 goals conceded per game across the season. Away from home, they tend to adopt a cautious approach, reflected in the fact that Under 1.5 goals at half time has been recorded in 14 consecutive away matches. Moreover, at least one team failed to score before the break in 30 of their last 32 fixtures, emphasizing their disciplined defensive structure.
Las Palmas’ attacking strength lies in the creativity and finishing ability of players like Miloš Luković, Manu Fuster, and Lorenzo Amatucci. This trio has been instrumental in turning tight matches in their favor. Despite their solid form, the Canarians will be aware that the José Zorrilla is a challenging venue, and maintaining composure in defense will be crucial if they are to extend their unbeaten run.
Both teams enter this clash with similar tactical philosophies built on defensive organization and collective discipline. Real Valladolid will look to capitalize on home advantage, where their compact shape and quick transitions can trouble opponents. Meanwhile, Las Palmas are expected to rely on controlled possession and patient buildup, seeking to exploit spaces through their technically gifted midfielders.
Historically, this fixture has produced tight scorelines, with the last ten meetings averaging just 2.2 goals per game. Given both sides’ current defensive solidity and the tendency for low-scoring encounters, another close contest is likely. The absence of major injuries or suspensions on either side ensures that both managers can field their strongest lineups, further balancing the scales.
While bookmakers slightly favor Real Valladolid due to home advantage, the overall parity between the teams suggests that small details could decide the outcome. Expect a tactical battle with limited goal opportunities, especially in the first half, where both sides typically prioritize defensive stability over attacking risk.
Real Valladolid vs Las Palmas prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% probability. The Under 2.5 goals option follows closely at 48%, indicating a balanced but slightly higher chance of a more open game than recent history suggests.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Valladolid
Las Palmas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
0
10
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1