Tools
Prediction published on Dec 13, 2025 7:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Dec 13, 2025 7:01 PM
The final match of the 15th round of the 2025/26 Serie A season will take place at the Stadio Olimpico, where Roma host Como on Monday, December 15, at 20:45. It promises to be an intriguing clash between two sides that have impressed in different ways this campaign. Roma, currently fourth in the table, are looking to bounce back from a difficult domestic spell, while Como, sitting sixth, aim to prove that their strong start was no fluke.
After briefly topping the Serie A standings at the end of November, Roma have stumbled in recent league outings, losing two consecutive matches without scoring. However, their midweek 3-0 victory away to Celtic in the Europa League was a timely confidence boost. The Giallorossi have accumulated 9 wins and 5 defeats in Serie A so far, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match. Remarkably, they have not drawn any of their last 20 league games and 26 matches overall, underlining their all-or-nothing approach.
At home, Roma’s matches tend to be tight affairs: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 10 fixtures at the Olimpico. They have also led at half time in 6 of their last 10 matches, showing their ability to start strong. The team’s recent dip in Serie A form — back-to-back 1-0 losses to Napoli and Cagliari — has slightly slowed their momentum, but the European win in Glasgow suggests a quick recovery is possible.
Squad-wise, Roma are expected to welcome back Manu Koné and Bryan Cristante, while Evan Ndicka and Neil El Aynaoui could be unavailable due to upcoming international duties. Celik will miss the match through suspension, meaning either Wesley or Devyne Rensch could start on the right flank. In attack, Dybala or Ferguson may operate as a false nine, as Roma continue to search for attacking fluency.
Como have been one of the revelations of the Serie A season. Despite a heavy 4-0 defeat to Inter in their last outing, they remain sixth in the table with a record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses. Their average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match highlights a balanced and disciplined side. Before the setback in Milan, Como had gone 11 league matches unbeaten, a run that showcased their resilience and tactical maturity.
Interestingly, Como have struggled to score when facing teams above them in the standings, failing to find the net in three such away fixtures this season (1 draw, 2 defeats). Away from home, they have collected 9 of their 21 points, suggesting that consistency on the road remains a challenge. Another notable trend is that in each of their last 24 matches, at least one team has failed to score in the second half, reflecting their cautious approach after the break.
In terms of personnel, Nico Paz — with five goals and five assists so far — will be key in attack, partnering Tasos Douvikas. Álvaro Morata is sidelined with a thigh injury, while Sergi Roberto and Edoardo Goldaniga are also unavailable. Midfielder Maximo Perrone will miss the match through suspension. Despite these absences, Como’s structure and discipline have been their main strengths, and they will look to frustrate Roma with compact defending and quick transitions.
Historically, Roma have enjoyed the upper hand at the Olimpico, winning their last two home meetings against Como, including victories in 2022 and 2025. The most recent head-to-head ended 2-1 in March 2025, showing that the fixture can be competitive but often tilts toward the Giallorossi. Given Roma’s strong home record and Como’s limited success against higher-ranked teams, the hosts appear to have the edge.
Statistically, both sides tend to produce matches with moderate scoring. Under 3.5 goals has been a consistent trend for Roma, while Como’s matches often feature long spells of defensive stability. However, with Roma’s attacking talent and the boost from their European win, they are likely to press hard for a return to winning ways in Serie A.
Expect a tactical battle where Roma’s possession and home advantage could prove decisive, while Como will rely on counterattacks and the creativity of Nico Paz to threaten. The outcome may hinge on whether Roma can convert early pressure into goals, something they have struggled with in recent league fixtures.
Roma vs Como prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Roma
Como
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
7
3