At the Stadio Olimpico, on Wednesday, October 29, the midweek fixture of Serie A Matchday 9 features Roma and Parma — two teams looking for crucial points to achieve their respective season goals. After two consecutive defeats, the hosts returned to winning ways in the league by beating Sassuolo 0-1, thanks to yet another goal from Dybala. Gasperini’s men, also benefiting from Milan’s draw against Pisa, regained the top spot in the standings alongside Napoli, who have a seemingly easy fixture on paper this round. Beating Parma is therefore crucial to consolidate first place and, hoping for a slip-up from their pursuers, start an early attempt to break away. Parma, on the other hand, come into this match having earned just two points in their last three games, the most recent being a 0-0 home draw against Como last weekend. Despite performances below expectations so far — especially in terms of attacking play — the Gialloblù still have a small three-point cushion above the relegation zone. However, it’s now time for them to find a win, something they’ve been missing since late September. Considering this match features the best defense against the worst attack in Serie A, it seems unlikely that Parma will escape unscathed from this trip to Rome. If the Giallorossi want to keep their title hopes alive, they’ll be determined to give everything to secure a second consecutive win after last weekend’s success in Reggio Emilia.

Roma's recent form and key stats

By beating Sassuolo 0-1, thanks to Paulo Dybala’s second goal of the season, Roma ended a two-game losing streak against Inter and Viktoria Plzen. In their last five matches, the Giallorossi have shown inconsistency, recording 3 defeats and 2 wins, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

After the first eight rounds of Serie A, Roma have collected 18 points from 6 wins and 2 defeats, with 8 goals scored and only 3 conceded. Gasperini’s team boasts the best defense in the league, with Mile Svilar already achieving 6 clean sheets in the first eight matches. Offensively, however, goals have been hard to come by, with strikers Dovbyk and Ferguson combining for just one goal so far.

Against Parma, the Giallorossi must overturn a negative home trend, having lost all of their last three home games across all competitions. Their most recent win at the Olimpico came on September 28, a 2-0 victory over Verona. Since then, they’ve suffered three defeats against Lille, Inter, and Viktoria Plzen, scoring just once and conceding four.

Parma's recent form and key stats

It’s been a rough period for Parma, who have drawn 0-0 in back-to-back matches and haven’t found the net in their last three Serie A games against Lecce, Genoa, and Como. Over their last five fixtures, the Gialloblù have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Carlos Cuesta’s side currently sit 15th in Serie A with 7 points from 1 win, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, having scored just 3 goals and conceded 7. Parma, who have the league’s worst attack, have only scored in one of their last six league games, failing to find the net in the other five. Defensively, though, they’ve conceded only one goal in their last three matches.

They have yet to win away from home this season, with 2 draws and 2 losses in four trips to Juventus, Cagliari, Cremonese, and Genoa. They haven’t scored a single away goal, though they’ve managed two consecutive clean sheets on the road.

Roma vs Parma Prediction by BetMines

Based on what we’ve seen so far this season, BetMines’ prediction for Roma vs Parma clearly favors the home side, determined to stay top of the table regardless of Napoli’s result against Lecce.

Roma can also rely on a dominant head-to-head record, having won four of their last five meetings against Parma — including both fixtures last season (5-0 at home and 0-1 away).

Despite the eleven-point gap in the standings, both teams share a key statistic: a low attacking output. Seven of the eight Serie A games played by both teams so far have ended with under 3 total goals, often featuring just one goal scored.

Tactically, this is expected to be a one-sided match, with Roma controlling possession through the creativity of Soulé and Dybala, ready to threaten Suzuki’s goal — the Parma goalkeeper coming off two consecutive clean sheets.

Parma, meanwhile, will likely defend deep and try to counterattack, but with Cutrone and Pellegrino struggling to make an impact in open play, the visitors risk another goalless performance for the fourth game in a row.

For these reasons, BetMines tips the outcomes Under 2.5 goals and “Both teams not to score” — two betting results that have occurred in nearly all of the eight Serie A games played by both teams so far.

Probable lineups Roma vs Parma

ROMA (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Celik, Mancini, Ndicka; Wesley, Cristante, Koné, Tsimikas; Soulé, Pellegrini; Dybala. Coach: Gasperini.

PARMA (3-5-2): Suzuki; Delprato, Circati, Valenti; Lovik, Sorensen, Keita, Bernabè, Britschgi; Cutrone, Pellegrino. Coach: Cuesta.