Tools
Sevilla
2 - 1
FT
Espanyol
Prediction published on May 7, 2026 3:03 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 7, 2026 3:03 PM
The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Espanyol promises to be a tense and decisive encounter in the battle to avoid relegation. Both sides, once regular contenders for European spots, now find themselves struggling near the bottom of the table. The match at the Pizjuán carries huge significance, as Sevilla look to build on their recent revival while Espanyol desperately seek to end a long winless streak that has dragged them into serious trouble.
Sevilla come into this fixture with renewed confidence after a narrow 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad on May 4, 2026. That result lifted them out of the relegation zone and marked their second consecutive home win, following a 2-1 triumph against Atlético. Despite a difficult season overall, the Andalusian side have shown signs of improvement in front of their supporters, who have rallied behind the team in recent weeks.
Across their last five matches, Sevilla have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 10 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. One notable trend is that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 36 of their last 40 games, suggesting that Sevilla often come alive after the break.
In terms of personnel, the Andalusian side are missing Marcao through injury but welcome back Sow, who returns after being left out in the previous round. Manu Bueno remains a doubt. The expected starting lineup includes Vlachodimos in goal, with Carmona, Castrín, Kike Salas, and Suazo forming the defense. In midfield, Vargas, Agoumé, Sow, and Ejuke are likely to feature, while Isaac Romero and Maupay should lead the attack.
Espanyol arrive in Seville in a deep crisis. The Catalan side have gone 17 consecutive matches without a win in La Liga, a run that has seen them slide dangerously close to the relegation zone. Their last outing ended in a 0-2 defeat against Real Madrid on May 3, 2026, extending a dismal sequence of results that includes three straight games without scoring.
In their last five matches, Espanyol have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging just 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Over the season, their record stands at 10 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Away from home, their struggles are even more pronounced, with six defeats and two draws in their last eight trips. Despite this, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 away matches, showing that their games tend to open up after halftime.
For this match, Espanyol will be without Puado, while Pol Lozano returns from suspension. The availability of Ngonge remains uncertain. The probable lineup features Dmitrovic in goal, with El Hilali, Calero, Cabrera, and Romero in defense. The midfield should include Urko, Edu Expósito, and Pol Lozano, while Dolan and Pere Milla will support striker Kike García up front.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting dynamics. Sevilla have shown resilience at home, where they have recently secured crucial victories that have reignited their survival hopes. Their defensive organization and the energy of their midfield have been key factors in turning around their form. The support of the home crowd at the Pizjuán could once again play a decisive role.
Espanyol, on the other hand, are in free fall. Their inability to convert chances and their fragile defense have cost them valuable points. The lack of confidence in front of goal is evident, and their long winless streak has created a heavy psychological burden. Unless they can rediscover their attacking spark, it will be difficult for them to challenge a Sevilla side that appears to be regaining momentum.
Historically, Sevilla have had the upper hand in this matchup, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five head-to-head meetings, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their last encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Sevilla on November 24, 2025. Given the current form and the home advantage, the Andalusians are once again favorites to claim all three points.
SEVILLA (probable XI): Vlachodimos; Carmona, Castrín, Kike Salas, Suazo; Vargas, Agoumé, Sow, Ejuke; Isaac Romero, Maupay.
ESPANYOL (probable XI): Dmitrovic; El Hilali, Calero, Cabrera, Romero; Urko, Edu Expósito, Pol Lozano; Dolan, Pere Milla; Kike García.
According to the latest probabilities, the most likely outcome for this match is a Sevilla win (1) with a 42% probability. The draw (X) stands at 27%, while an Espanyol win (2) is estimated at 31%. Given Sevilla’s recent improvement and Espanyol’s prolonged slump, the prediction leans toward a home victory.
Sevilla vs Espanyol prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Sevilla
Espanyol
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1