Matchday 27 of the EFL Championship brings an intriguing clash between Southampton and Hull City at St. Mary’s Stadium. The hosts are currently sitting in 15th place, while the visitors occupy seventh position, keeping their playoff hopes alive. Both sides come into this fixture looking to bounce back from mixed league results, and with plenty at stake, this encounter promises to be a competitive one.

Southampton’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Southampton have endured a difficult run in the Championship, collecting just 33 points from 26 matches. Their recent 4-0 defeat to Middlesbrough extended their winless streak in the league to six games (D3 L3), a sequence that has seen them slide down to 15th in the standings. Despite this, the Saints showed some resilience in the FA Cup, edging Doncaster Rovers 3-2 to progress to the fourth round.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Southampton have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, they have registered 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, maintaining an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their home form has been inconsistent, with three of their last ten home league fixtures featuring under 0.5 goals, suggesting occasional struggles in attack.

However, there are positives to build on. Adam Armstrong remains a bright spot, leading the Championship scoring charts with 11 goals. Additionally, Southampton’s home matches tend to produce plenty of action, with over 7.5 corners taken in each of their last 16 games at St. Mary’s. The Saints will be eager to rediscover their rhythm and end their winless league run in front of their supporters.

Hull City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Hull City have been one of the more consistent sides in the Championship this season, amassing 12 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. Their average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match highlights a balanced approach between attack and defense. The Tigers’ recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five outings, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

After a narrow 1-0 home defeat to Stoke City on Matchday 26, Hull slipped out of the playoff zone, ending a five-match unbeaten run (W4 D1). Nevertheless, they quickly regained momentum by defeating Blackburn Rovers on penalties in the FA Cup. Their away form has been particularly impressive — unbeaten in their last four league trips (W3 D1) and having scored at least once in each of their last 12 away matches. Moreover, goals often come after the break for Hull, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures.

Historically, Hull have enjoyed recent success against Southampton, winning 2-1 in their last visit to St. Mary’s in February 2024. Across their last five head-to-head meetings, the Tigers have won three, drawn one, and lost one, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game compared to Southampton’s 1.0.

Southampton vs Hull City Analysis

This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting momentum. Southampton are desperate to halt their slide and reignite their campaign, while Hull City aim to consolidate their position near the playoff spots. The Saints’ defensive frailties have been evident in recent weeks, conceding heavily against Middlesbrough and struggling to keep clean sheets. On the other hand, Hull’s attacking consistency on the road makes them a dangerous opponent.

Given the attacking potential of both teams and their recent scoring patterns, this match could produce goals at both ends. Southampton’s reliance on Armstrong’s finishing and Hull’s ability to find the net away from home suggest that both defenses will be tested. The last meeting between these sides ended 3-1 in favor of Southampton, and another open contest could be on the cards.

• Southampton average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match this season.


• Hull City have scored in each of their last 12 away games.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half have occurred in 18 of Hull’s last 20 away fixtures.


• Southampton’s last six league matches: D3 L3.


• Head-to-head record: Southampton 1 win, Hull City 3 wins, 1 draw.

Prediction and Betting Insight

Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, this encounter looks evenly balanced. Southampton’s home advantage could play a role, but Hull’s strong away form and consistent scoring record make them a real threat. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities at the back, and their attacking players are capable of capitalizing on defensive lapses.

Therefore, the most likely scenario points toward both sides finding the net in what should be an entertaining Championship fixture.

Southampton vs Hull City prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.