Tools
Spain
2 - 2
FT
Türkiye
Prediction published on Nov 17, 2025 1:04 PM by Dario in Europe - WC Qualification Europe | Modified on Nov 17, 2025 1:04 PM
Spain and Turkey meet at the Estadio de la Cartuja in Seville for a decisive clash in the 2026 FIFA World Cup European Qualifiers. The match, scheduled for Tuesday, November 18, 2025, could confirm Spain’s direct qualification to the World Cup. The reigning European champions have been unstoppable so far, boasting a perfect record in Group E and a remarkable 30-game unbeaten streak in competitive play. Turkey, meanwhile, sit second in the group and will need a near-miracle result to overtake Spain at the top. This encounter promises intensity, pride, and high-quality football between two nations with contrasting momentum.
Spain arrive at this fixture in sensational form. Their 4-0 away win over Georgia extended their flawless qualifying campaign to five victories in as many matches, with an astonishing 19 goals scored and none conceded. The team’s defensive solidity has been unmatched, anchored by goalkeeper Unai Simón, who has yet to pick the ball out of his net during these qualifiers. Offensively, Mikel Oyarzabal has been the standout performer, contributing eight goals and six assists in Spain’s last eight games. His brace and assist against Georgia further underlined his importance to Luis de la Fuente’s side.
Spain’s dominance extends beyond the current campaign. They have not lost in their last 30 matches across all competitions and remain unbeaten in their last 20 home games. Their consistency at both ends of the pitch is reflected in the statistics: they have scored at least two goals in each of their last 12 qualifiers and have led at half-time in their last eight matches. The La Roja attack has been relentless, averaging 3.8 goals per game in this qualification phase, while their defense has maintained a perfect clean sheet record. Even without injured youngsters Lamine Yamal and Dean Huijsen, Spain’s depth ensures they remain heavy favorites.
Turkey enter this match in second place, three points behind Spain, and come off a 2-0 home win against Bulgaria. Their campaign has been solid, with four wins and one defeat—the latter being the heavy 6-0 loss to Spain in September. Despite scoring an average of 3.0 goals per match in the qualifiers, their defensive record has been shaky, conceding two goals per game on average. The absence of captain Hakan Çalhanoğlu due to a wrist injury is a major blow; the Inter Milan midfielder has been instrumental with five goals and five assists in his last ten appearances for club and country.
Coach Vincenzo Montella will look to experienced players like Cenk Tosun and Kerem Aktürkoğlu to inspire the side. Turkey have shown resilience on the road, scoring in 20 of their last 21 away matches, but facing Spain away is a different challenge altogether. Historically, they have struggled in this fixture, losing all three of their recent head-to-head meetings and conceding an average of three goals per game. To top the group, Turkey would need to beat Spain by seven clear goals—a virtually impossible task given the hosts’ current form.
This match is expected to showcase Spain’s trademark possession-based football and high pressing against a Turkish side likely to sit deep and counterattack. Spain’s midfield control, led by Rodri and Pedri, has been the foundation of their dominance, while their full-backs provide width and attacking support. Turkey’s best chance lies in exploiting transitions, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed by Spain’s fluid attacking movement. The last meeting between these sides ended 6-0 in favor of Spain, and given the current dynamics, another high-scoring affair could be on the cards.
Spain’s home advantage at the Estadio de la Cartuja further tilts the balance in their favor. They have scored in each of their last 22 home matches and have not trailed at half-time in their last 20. Turkey, on the other hand, have been involved in open, goal-filled matches, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 15 qualifiers. While the visitors will fight to maintain their automatic qualification hopes, Spain’s superior quality, tactical discipline, and confidence make them overwhelming favorites to extend their unbeaten streak to 31 games.
The most likely outcome is a Spain win (1) with a 51% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while a Turkey win (2) stands at 27%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Spain
Türkiye
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
5
5
4
6
4.5
9
1
6
4