The final day of the League One season brings a decisive clash between Stevenage and Wigan Athletic. For the home side, this fixture carries enormous weight — a victory would secure their place in the promotion play-offs and keep alive their dream of reaching the Championship for the first time. Meanwhile, Wigan arrive safe from relegation but eager to finish the campaign on a positive note. With both teams having contrasting motivations, this encounter promises intensity and drama from start to finish.

Stevenage’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Stevenage enter this match sitting sixth in the League One table, holding the final play-off spot. Their recent 1-1 draw against Doncaster Rovers extended their unbeaten run to three matches, showing resilience at a crucial stage of the season. Over their last five games, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Despite occasional defensive lapses, their consistency has kept them in contention for promotion.

At home, Stevenage have been particularly strong. They have not lost at half time in their last 13 home league matches and have won at half time in each of their last three. Their defensive structure often limits second-half scoring, with under 1.5 goals recorded in the second half of their last ten home fixtures. Over the full season, their record stands at 20 wins, 12 draws, and 13 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game — a balance that underlines their disciplined approach.

• League position: 6th


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.0 per match


• Unbeaten at half time in last 13 home games


• Under 1.5 goals in the second half of last 10 home matches

With the home crowd behind them and a play-off spot on the line, Stevenage will look to impose their rhythm early and maintain control throughout the match.

Wigan Athletic’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Wigan Athletic travel to this fixture in 16th place, already safe from relegation. Their recent form has been mixed, with a 0-1 defeat to AFC Wimbledon in their latest outing. Over the last five matches, they have collected three wins, one draw, and one loss, averaging 1.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game — a sign of improved defensive stability. However, their inability to find the net in the last two matches highlights a dip in attacking sharpness.

Throughout the season, Wigan’s record stands at 14 wins, 14 draws, and 17 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. They have drawn 14 league games in total, ten of which came away from home, suggesting a tendency to settle for parity on their travels. Only one of their last ten away league games has ended in victory, that solitary success coming against relegated Northampton Town. Their last head-to-head meeting with Stevenage ended in a goalless draw, and overall, Wigan have won just once in their last five encounters with the Boro.

• League position: 16th


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.3 per match


• Only 1 win in last 10 away league games


• Last head-to-head: 0-0 draw

With little at stake beyond pride, Wigan may approach this match with freedom, but their recent lack of goals could prove costly against a motivated opponent.

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic Analysis and Prediction

This fixture presents a clear contrast in motivation. Stevenage are fighting for promotion, while Wigan Athletic are playing for a respectable finish. The home side’s strong record at their ground, combined with their solid defensive performances, gives them a notable edge. Wigan’s away form, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, and their recent struggles in front of goal suggest they may find it difficult to break down Stevenage’s organized defense.

Historically, meetings between these two sides have been tight, with low-scoring outcomes being common. The last encounter ended 0-0, and both teams have averaged fewer than two total goals per match in their head-to-head history. Given Stevenage’s tendency to control games early and Wigan’s conservative approach away from home, another low-scoring contest could be on the cards.

Statistically, the probabilities point towards a Stevenage win (48%), with a draw (29%) and a Wigan win (22%) less likely. The Under 2.5 goals market also appears strong, with a 64% probability, while Both Teams To Score – No stands at 60%. These figures reinforce the expectation of a disciplined, tactical battle rather than a goal fest.

Considering the stakes, Stevenage’s home form, and Wigan’s recent scoring issues, the most logical outcome is a narrow home victory that would seal Stevenage’s place in the play-offs.

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 48% probability.