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Prediction published on Apr 9, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 9, 2026 6:02 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Torino and Hellas Verona promises to be a crucial encounter in the battle for survival and mid-table stability. The match will take place at the Grande Torino Stadium, where the home side aims to build on their recent momentum under new management. With Torino sitting 12th in the standings and Verona struggling in 19th place, the stakes are high for both teams as the season enters its decisive phase.
Torino approach this fixture in solid form, having secured a 1-0 away victory against Pisa on April 5, 2026. The Granata have shown consistency in recent weeks, recording three wins and two defeats in their last five matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the Serie A season, their record stands at 10 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
One of the most notable trends for Torino is their tendency to avoid draws — they have not drawn in 21 of their last 22 matches, including 19 of their last 20 Serie A fixtures. This pattern suggests that their games often produce decisive outcomes. Additionally, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 20 of their last 22 matches, highlighting a team that tends to come alive after the break.
At home, Torino have been particularly strong, winning their last two Serie A matches at the Grande Torino Stadium with a combined score of 6-1 against Lazio and Parma. A third consecutive home win would mark their best home run since late 2023. Historically, Torino have also dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last nine Serie A meetings with Verona, including six wins and three draws.
Hellas Verona enter this match in a difficult situation, having lost 0-1 to Fiorentina on April 4, 2026. The Gialloblu have managed just one win in their last five matches, suffering four defeats and failing to score in their last three outings. Their season record stands at 3 wins, 9 draws, and 19 losses, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Verona’s attacking struggles have been evident throughout the campaign. They have scored under 0.5 goals in 3 of their last 13 away matches and in 6 of their last 30 overall. The team’s inability to find the net has been a major concern, and they risk extending their losing streak to four consecutive matches without scoring — something that hasn’t happened since 2014.
Despite their poor form, Verona have shown occasional resilience in past meetings with Torino, managing several draws in Turin over the years. However, their current run of results and lack of attacking efficiency make this a challenging fixture. The team’s top scorer, Gift Orban, has netted seven goals this season, while Giovanni Simeone leads Torino’s attack with eight goals — a duel that could define the match’s outcome.
This encounter is expected to be a tight and tactical battle. Torino’s recent improvement under their new coach has brought renewed confidence, particularly in defense, where they have conceded just one goal in their last two home matches. Their attacking play often peaks in the final stages — the Granata have scored 29% of their goals in the last 15 minutes of games, a period where Verona have been notably weak, scoring only once all season in that timeframe.
Verona’s main challenge will be to rediscover their scoring touch. Their inability to convert chances has cost them valuable points, and facing a Torino side that thrives at home will test their resilience. The visitors’ defensive structure will need to be compact to withstand Torino’s late surges, while their forwards must capitalize on any counterattacking opportunities.
Historically, Torino have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last four head-to-head matches, including a convincing 3-0 victory earlier this season. Given the current form and statistical trends, a low-scoring contest appears likely, with Torino holding the edge in both momentum and confidence.
TORINO (4-2-3-1): Paleari; Coco, Ismajli, Ebosse; Pedersen, Gineitis, Prati, Obrador; Vlasic; Simeone, Adams.
HELLAS VERONA (3-5-2): Montipò; Nelsson, Edmundsson, Frese; Oyegoke, Akpa Akpro, Gagliardini, Bernede, Belghali; Bowie, Orban.
Based on the statistical data and recent performances, Torino enter this match as the favorites. Their home form, combined with Verona’s scoring drought, suggests a controlled performance from the Granata. The historical dominance of Torino in this fixture further strengthens their case for another positive result.
BetMines prediction: Torino win (1) with a probability of 47%. A draw (X) and an away win (2) are both estimated at 26% each, but the momentum and home advantage make Torino the more likely side to claim all three points.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Torino
Hellas Verona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
3
7
8
2
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
8
2
10
0