The North London derby between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of the Premier League weekend. The stakes are high for both sides: Tottenham are battling to move away from the lower part of the table, while Arsenal are determined to maintain their position at the top. With the Gunners leading the league and Spurs struggling for consistency, this clash could have major implications for both ends of the standings.

Tottenham Hotspur’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Tottenham Hotspur enter this derby sitting 16th in the Premier League, a position that reflects their inconsistent campaign. Their recent 1-2 defeat to Newcastle United on February 10 extended a worrying run of results, with only one win in their last five matches across all competitions. During that stretch, Spurs have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, underlining their defensive fragility and lack of cutting edge in attack.

At home, Tottenham’s performances have been far from convincing. They have managed to win only two of their 13 league games in front of their fans this season, and their tendency to start slowly has been costly — they have lost at half time in each of their last three home matches. However, there are some encouraging signs: at least one goal has been scored by Spurs in their last 12 home fixtures, and over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of those games, suggesting that entertainment is rarely lacking when they play at home.

Overall, Tottenham’s season record stands at seven wins, eight draws, and eleven defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their inability to maintain leads and their vulnerability before the break have been recurring issues. With a new interim manager at the helm, the team will be hoping for a spark to reverse their fortunes, but facing the league leaders is hardly the easiest way to start a turnaround.

Arsenal’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Arsenal remain top of the Premier League table and continue to show the consistency that has defined their season. Their recent 2-2 draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers on February 18 was a setback after leading 2-0, but the Gunners are still unbeaten in their last five matches, collecting three wins and two draws. During this period, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game, highlighting their balance between attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.

Across the season, Arsenal’s record of 17 wins, seven draws, and three defeats speaks volumes about their dominance. They have not lost in 37 of their last 39 matches in all competitions, and they have scored in 37 of those games. Their away form has been particularly impressive — unbeaten in their last ten away fixtures — and they have often taken control early, winning at half time in seven of their last ten away matches. This ability to impose themselves on opponents from the start could be crucial in a derby atmosphere.

Arsenal’s resilience has also been evident in their head-to-head record against Tottenham. The Gunners have won four of the last five meetings between the sides, including a commanding 4-1 victory in November 2025. They have averaged 2.4 goals per game in those encounters while conceding just 1.2, a clear indication of their superiority in recent derbies. With key players returning from injury and confidence high, Arsenal will look to extend their dominance over their North London rivals.

Tottenham vs Arsenal Tactical Overview and Analysis

This derby arrives at a critical juncture for both clubs. Tottenham are desperate to halt their slide down the table, while Arsenal cannot afford to drop points with Manchester City chasing closely behind. The contrast in form is stark: Spurs have collected only two points from their last five league games, whereas Arsenal have been unbeaten in the same period. The home side’s defensive lapses and tendency to concede early could be exploited by an Arsenal team that often starts strongly and controls possession effectively.

Tottenham’s attacking output has been inconsistent, but their ability to find the net at home — scoring in each of their last 12 matches — means they are capable of troubling any defense. However, Arsenal’s back line has been one of the most reliable in the league, conceding less than a goal per game on average. The Gunners’ attacking options, combined with their composure under pressure, make them favorites to take all three points.

Historically, this fixture has produced goals, and recent trends suggest another open contest could be on the cards. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of Tottenham’s last ten matches, while Arsenal’s attacking form ensures that chances will come at both ends. Still, the visitors’ superior organization and momentum make them the more likely winners.

Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction

Given the current form and statistical trends, Arsenal appear well-positioned to claim another victory in this North London derby. Tottenham’s struggles at home, combined with Arsenal’s unbeaten run and strong away record, point towards an away win. The Gunners have shown remarkable consistency and resilience, while Spurs continue to search for stability under new management.

Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction by BetMines:
Arsenal win (2) with 63% probability.