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Prediction published on Jan 31, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Jan 31, 2026 6:01 PM
The 23rd round of Serie A brings an intriguing clash as Udinese host Roma on Monday, February 2, 2026. The match will take place at the Bluenergy Arena in Udine, with kick-off scheduled for 20:45. Both sides enter this fixture with contrasting ambitions: Udinese aim to consolidate their mid-table position, while Roma continue their pursuit of the top spots and a potential seventh consecutive league victory. The encounter promises tactical discipline, physical intensity, and a battle between two teams with very different defensive and attacking profiles.
Udinese approach this match buoyed by a 3-1 away win over Hellas Verona on January 26, a result that lifted them into the top half of the Serie A standings. Despite a slow start to the new year, that victory showcased their ability to respond under pressure, with goals coming in the second half after a balanced opening 45 minutes. The team’s overall record this season stands at 8 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Consistency, however, remains an issue. Udinese have not recorded the same result twice in a row across their last 15 league games, and their home form has been underwhelming — just one win in their last six matches at the Bluenergy Arena, alongside two draws and three losses. Their recent five-game run (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats) reflects a side capable of competing but still prone to defensive lapses. On average, they have scored 1.4 goals and conceded 1.2 per game during this stretch.
In terms of personnel, the hosts face several absences. Nicolò Zaniolo is sidelined with a knee injury, while Alessandro Zanoli, who scored in Verona, also suffered a serious ligament issue. The attacking line will likely rely on Keinan Davis, supported by Arthur Atta. The left flank remains a point of debate, with Hassane Kamara and Jordan Zemura competing for a starting spot. Despite these setbacks, Udinese remain a disciplined and organized side under Kosta Runjaic, capable of frustrating stronger opponents, especially when playing compactly at home.
Roma arrive in Udine after a 1-1 draw away to Panathinaikos in the Europa League, a result that secured their place among the top eight in the competition’s second phase. In Serie A, the Giallorossi have been in excellent form, collecting 3 wins and 1 draw in their last four league outings. Their overall record of 14 wins, 1 draw, and 7 defeats underlines their consistency and defensive strength, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match.
Roma’s defensive record away from home is particularly impressive — the best among Europe’s top five leagues — with just 7 goals conceded in 11 away fixtures. They have won 7 and lost 4 of those matches, never drawing. The team’s tactical discipline is reflected in several key trends: under 3.5 total goals in 19 of their last 20 away games, and under 1.5 goals at half-time in 21 of their last 23 Serie A matches. Moreover, Roma have led at half-time in 6 of their last 10 away league games, showing their ability to start strongly.
Injuries have, however, complicated Gian Piero Gasperini’s selection options. Manu Koné and Paulo Dybala are both unavailable, with the latter sidelined due to a knee problem. Dybala’s absence is particularly significant given his remarkable scoring record against Udinese — 21 goals in 22 Serie A appearances. Artem Dovbyk is also out, while Evan Ferguson and Stephan El Shaarawy remain doubtful. On the positive side, new signings Robino Vaz and Donyell Malen are ready to contribute, and defender Mario Hermoso has returned to full training, strengthening the back line.
This fixture pits Udinese’s structured, counter-attacking approach against Roma’s compact and efficient system. The hosts will likely focus on defensive solidity and quick transitions, seeking to exploit spaces behind Roma’s backline. However, their inconsistency at home and the absence of key attacking players could limit their offensive threat. Roma, on the other hand, have shown remarkable balance between defense and attack, often controlling matches through disciplined pressing and efficient use of possession.
Historically, this matchup has been one-sided. Roma have won each of the last five meetings, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.6. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in Roma’s favor on November 9, 2025. Given these precedents and the current form of both teams, the visitors enter as clear favorites. Udinese’s challenge will be to contain Roma’s fluid attacking movements and capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks.
Considering Roma’s defensive solidity, superior form, and historical dominance in this fixture, the balance strongly favors the visitors. Udinese’s inconsistency and injury concerns further tilt the scales toward the Giallorossi. Roma’s ability to control the tempo and strike early could once again prove decisive, especially given their record of leading at half-time in recent away games.
Udinese vs Roma prediction from BetMines: Roma win (2) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Udinese
Roma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3