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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 6:03 PM
The upcoming LaLiga clash between Valencia and Girona promises to be a tense encounter between two sides separated by just one position in the table. With Valencia sitting 13th and Girona 12th, both teams are still looking over their shoulders, only a few points clear of the relegation zone. The home side seemed to have turned a corner earlier in the season, but a recent dip in form has reignited concerns about their stability. Meanwhile, Girona arrive with mixed results but a growing sense of confidence, hoping to take advantage of Valencia’s inconsistency at Mestalla.
After a brief resurgence that included wins over Osasuna (1-0) and Alavés (3-2), Valencia have struggled to maintain momentum. Their last five matches have produced just one victory, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. The most recent outing, a 1-1 draw against Mallorca, did little to ease the pressure on the squad. Over the course of the season, Valencia’s record stands at 9 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
At home, Valencia have shown a tendency for slow starts and stronger second halves. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 17 home matches, while under 1.5 goals have been scored at half time in their last 16 home games in LaLiga. This pattern suggests that their matches often open up after the break. Additionally, at least one team has failed to score before half time in 33 of their last 35 league fixtures, underlining a cautious approach early in games.
Despite these trends, Valencia’s home ground remains a difficult venue for visiting teams. Their supporters will expect a reaction after recent disappointments against Celta and Elche, especially given the importance of securing points to avoid being dragged deeper into the relegation battle.
Girona have experienced a season of ups and downs but have shown resilience in recent weeks. Their last five matches include two wins, one draw, and two defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The most recent result, a narrow 2-3 loss to Real Betis, highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities. Over the season, Girona’s record mirrors Valencia’s closely, with 9 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
One of Girona’s main challenges has been their away form. They have gone six consecutive away matches without a win, yet they can take encouragement from the fact that they have only lost two of their last nine away fixtures. Their matches tend to come alive after the interval, as over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 21 of their last away games, including 19 of their last 21 overall. Moreover, Girona have not been behind at half time in their last 15 LaLiga matches, showing a strong ability to stay competitive early on.
In terms of head-to-head history, Girona have had the upper hand recently, winning three of the last five meetings, with one draw and one defeat. The last encounter ended 2-1, suggesting another closely contested battle could be on the cards.
This fixture brings together two teams with similar strengths and weaknesses. Valencia will rely on their home support and aim to rediscover the defensive solidity that characterized their best performances earlier in the season. Their main challenge will be converting possession into goals, as their attacking output has been inconsistent. The absence of several key players could also limit their options, forcing them to depend on collective effort rather than individual brilliance.
Girona, on the other hand, have shown more fluidity in attack since the winter break, with improved movement and creativity in the final third. However, their defensive lapses away from home remain a concern. If they can maintain their composure and exploit Valencia’s tendency to concede late, they stand a good chance of taking something from this match. Given their recent performances, Girona will likely approach the game with confidence, knowing that even a draw would be a positive result on the road.
Both teams enter this match with similar records and a shared need for points. Valencia’s home advantage could play a role, but Girona’s improved performances and ability to stay competitive make them a dangerous opponent. The statistics suggest a balanced contest, with goals likely to come in the second half rather than early on. Given the trends and recent form, a draw or a narrow away result seems plausible.
Valencia vs Girona prediction from BetMines:
Draw (X) with 27% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Valencia
Girona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1