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Prediction published on Nov 27, 2025 4:02 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Nov 27, 2025 4:02 AM
The clash between Vasco da Gama and Internacional on Friday, November 28, 2025, at 19:30, promises to be a tense and decisive encounter in the Brasileirão Série A. Both teams are still fighting to secure their top-flight status for the 2026 season, with the visitors from Porto Alegre in a slightly more delicate position. The match at São Januário will be crucial for both sides, who have struggled for consistency and now face the pressure of avoiding relegation in the final stretch of the campaign.
Vasco da Gama enter this fixture in a worrying run of form, having lost all of their last five matches. Their most recent defeat came against Bahia (1-0) on November 23, a result that extended their winless streak and left fans increasingly anxious. Over those five games, Vasco have scored an average of just 0.2 goals per match while conceding 2.2, a statistic that highlights their current offensive struggles and defensive fragility.
Throughout the season, the Rio de Janeiro side have recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 17 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Despite their poor recent form, Vasco’s home ground has often seen goals: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 18 home matches, and in 13 consecutive home games in Série A. Additionally, there has been at least one goal before halftime in their last 12 home fixtures, showing that their matches tend to open up early.
Coach Fernando Diniz faces several absences for this crucial encounter. Adson, Jair, and Victor Luís are sidelined with injuries, while David and Tchê Tchê are suspended. Garré remains a doubt. As a result, Vasco are expected to line up with Léo Jardim in goal; Paulo Henrique, Carlos Cuesta, Robert Renan, and Lucas Piton in defense; Hugo Moura and Cauan Barros in midfield; and an attacking trio featuring Philippe Coutinho, Andrés Gómez, Nuno Moreira, and Rayan. Playing at home could be a key advantage for the Cruzmaltino, who will rely on the support of their fans to end their losing streak.
Internacional arrive in Rio de Janeiro after a 1-1 draw against Santos on November 25. The result extended their run to just one defeat in their last five matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss), showing a slightly more stable form compared to their opponents. Over those games, the team from Porto Alegre have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per match, reflecting a balanced but unspectacular performance level.
In the overall season, the Colorado have registered 10 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. One of their main weaknesses has been their defensive record away from home: they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 14 away matches in Série A. Furthermore, Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 27 of their last 30 league games, suggesting that Internacional often struggle to maintain control as matches progress.
Coach Ramón Díaz also has to deal with some absences, including Ivan and Ronaldo, who are both injured. However, the Argentine manager still has a competitive lineup at his disposal, with Rochet in goal; Mercado, Vitão, and Bernabei in defense; Bruno Gomes, Luís Otávio, and Rodríguez in midfield; and Alan Patrick, Vitinho, and Carbonero leading the attack. Internacional’s main challenge will be to find consistency in front of goal, as their offensive production has been modest throughout the season.
This fixture brings together two teams under pressure, both desperate for points to secure their Série A survival. Historically, the head-to-head record favors Internacional, who have won three of the last five meetings, with one draw and one Vasco victory. Their most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on July 27, 2025, a result that reflected the balance between the sides.
Vasco’s recent performances have been disappointing, especially in attack, where they have struggled to convert chances. Their defensive line has also been inconsistent, conceding multiple goals in several matches. Internacional, on the other hand, have shown slightly more resilience but remain vulnerable away from home, particularly in the closing stages of games. Both teams have displayed weaknesses in finishing, which could lead to a low-scoring contest.
Given the context, this match is likely to be tight and cautious, with both sides prioritizing defensive organization over attacking risk. Vasco’s home advantage could make a difference, but Internacional’s experience and compact structure might help them secure a valuable point. A narrow scoreline, possibly decided by a single goal, seems the most plausible outcome.
VASCO DA GAMA (4-2-3-1): Léo Jardim; Paulo Henrique, Carlos Cuesta, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton; Hugo Moura, Cauan Barros; Philippe Coutinho, Andrés Gómez, Nuno Moreira; Rayan. Coach: Fernando Diniz.
INTERNACIONAL (4-3-3): Rochet; Mercado, Vitão, Bernabei; Bruno Gomes, Luís Otávio, Rodríguez; Alan Patrick, Vitinho, Carbonero. Coach: Ramón Díaz.
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score – Yes with a 54% probability. However, given both sides’ recent inconsistency and defensive issues, a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win cannot be ruled out.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vasco da Gama
Internacional
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2