The Bundesliga offers a classic Swabian derby on Sunday, November 9, as VfB Stuttgart host FC Augsburg at the MHPArena. The home side will be eager to bounce back after a 1-3 defeat to RB Leipzig, which ended a strong run of five consecutive victories. Despite that setback, Stuttgart remain one of the most consistent teams in the league, particularly at home, where their performances have been nearly flawless. Their recent 2-0 triumph over Feyenoord in the Europa League further underlines their excellent form and confidence heading into this clash.

VfB Stuttgart’s Recent Form and Key Stats

VfB Stuttgart currently sit fourth in the Bundesliga standings with a record of six wins and three defeats. The team averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, showing a balanced approach between attack and defense. In their last five fixtures across all competitions, Stuttgart have collected three wins and two losses, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their defensive structure has been solid, conceding only one goal per match on average.

At home, Stuttgart have been dominant. They have not drawn any of their last 19 home matches and have gone 14 consecutive home games without trailing at half time. The Swabians have also scored in each of their last 12 Bundesliga matches, while at least one goal has been scored in the second half of their last 13 home league games. These numbers highlight a team that not only starts strong but also maintains attacking intensity throughout the match.

Historically, Stuttgart have enjoyed facing Augsburg. They have won nine of the last eleven head-to-head meetings, including the most recent encounter — a commanding 4-0 victory in May 2025. Even more impressively, they have won their last seven home matches against the Fuggerstädter, often without conceding. With such a record, Stuttgart enter this derby with both statistical and psychological advantages.

FC Augsburg’s Recent Form and Key Stats

For FC Augsburg, the situation is far less encouraging. The team currently occupies 14th place in the Bundesliga, having collected just two wins, one draw, and six defeats. Their average of 1.3 goals scored per game is overshadowed by a worrying 2.3 goals conceded. In their last five matches, Augsburg have managed only one win and one draw, losing three times and scoring just 0.8 goals per game while conceding twice as many.

Their most recent outing ended in a 0-1 defeat to Borussia Dortmund on October 31, a result that extended their poor run. Augsburg have now lost six of their last eight matches, and their attack has failed to find the net in the last two. Defensive lapses and a lack of creativity in the final third have placed coach Sandro Wagner under increasing pressure. Despite these struggles, one positive statistic stands out: Augsburg have never trailed at half time in away matches this season, showing some resilience in the early stages of games.

However, their defensive issues remain a major concern. Augsburg have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 Bundesliga matches, and they have lost at half time in their last three. In addition, at least one team has failed to score before the break in 29 of their last 31 matches, suggesting that their games often start cautiously but tend to open up later.

Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg: Tactical Overview and Analysis

This Swabian derby brings together two teams heading in opposite directions. Stuttgart are flying high, combining solid defensive organization with clinical finishing, while Augsburg are struggling to find consistency and confidence. The hosts’ home form has been exceptional, with seven straight wins against Augsburg at the MHPArena, and their recent European success adds further momentum.

Stuttgart’s attacking options have been efficient, often finding breakthroughs in the second half, as reflected by their streak of matches with goals after the interval. Their ability to control possession and press high up the pitch has made them particularly dangerous at home. Augsburg, on the other hand, will likely rely on compact defending and counterattacks, but their lack of recent goals and defensive fragility make this a daunting challenge.

Given the current form, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage, Stuttgart appear well-positioned to extend their winning streak against their regional rivals. Augsburg’s inability to score in recent matches and their defensive instability could once again prove costly in this encounter.

BetMines Prediction: Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg

The most likely outcome is a VfB Stuttgart win (1) with a 52% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while an FC Augsburg win (2) stands at 25%. Considering Stuttgart’s strong home record and Augsburg’s ongoing struggles, the hosts are expected to claim another important victory in front of their fans.