Tools
Prediction published on Feb 27, 2026 3:01 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Feb 27, 2026 3:01 PM
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between VfB Stuttgart and VfL Wolfsburg promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides heading in opposite directions. The hosts are enjoying a strong campaign, sitting comfortably in the top four, while the visitors are struggling near the relegation zone. The match is scheduled for Sunday, March 1, and will kick off at 15:30. Stuttgart will look to bounce back after their midweek Europa League defeat to Celtic, while Wolfsburg aim to halt a worrying run of poor results.
VfB Stuttgart have been one of the standout teams in the Bundesliga this season, currently ranked fourth with a record of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats. Their attacking play has been consistent, averaging 1.9 goals scored per match, while conceding 1.4 on average. Despite a 0-1 loss to Celtic in the Europa League playoffs, their domestic form remains solid, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five matches. During that stretch, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Stuttgart’s home record has been particularly impressive, with eight wins in eleven home fixtures this season. Their defensive stability at home is notable, having conceded only twelve goals in those matches — a figure bettered only by Borussia Dortmund. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 24 of their last 25 Bundesliga matches, underlining their tendency to grow stronger as games progress.
In terms of head-to-head history, Stuttgart have had the upper hand recently, winning three of the last five meetings against Wolfsburg, including a convincing 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Their average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in these encounters further highlights their superiority in this matchup.
For VfL Wolfsburg, the situation is far less encouraging. The team sits 15th in the Bundesliga table with a record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats. Their defensive issues have been glaring, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game this season. In their last five matches, Wolfsburg have failed to win, recording one draw and four defeats, while scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 2.2 on average.
Their most recent outing, a 2-3 loss to FC Augsburg, extended a worrying trend — Wolfsburg have now conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 matches, including 15 consecutive Bundesliga games. Moreover, over 0.5 goals at half time have been scored in 21 of their last 23 league fixtures, suggesting that their matches tend to open up early.
While their attack has shown flashes of potential, with goals in nearly every match since October, their defensive instability continues to undermine their efforts. The team’s inability to keep clean sheets — only one all season — remains a major concern. Against a high-scoring Stuttgart side, this weakness could once again prove costly.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting momentum. Stuttgart have built their success on attacking fluidity and home dominance, while Wolfsburg are struggling to find defensive balance. The hosts’ ability to control games at home, combined with their attacking consistency, makes them clear favorites heading into this encounter.
Wolfsburg’s defensive fragility is likely to be tested repeatedly, especially given Stuttgart’s strong second-half performances. The visitors’ recent form — four defeats in five — and their inability to keep opponents at bay suggest that they may once again find themselves chasing the game. On the other hand, Stuttgart’s recent defensive lapses, with six goals conceded in their last three matches, could leave some room for Wolfsburg to find the net, making a high-scoring contest a realistic possibility.
Historically, matches between these two sides have produced goals, and with both teams showing attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, another open game could be on the cards. Stuttgart’s depth and confidence at home should, however, give them the edge.
According to the latest data, VfB Stuttgart are given a 63% probability of winning, while the draw stands at 19% and a Wolfsburg win at 18%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market shows a 61% likelihood, and Over 2.5 goals is also favored with 61% probability. Considering Stuttgart’s strong home form and Wolfsburg’s defensive struggles, the most likely outcome points toward a home win (1).
Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Wolfsburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
4
6
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1