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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 4:04 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 4:04 PM
The upcoming Premier League clash between West Ham United and Everton promises to be a tense and competitive encounter at the London Stadium. Both sides enter this fixture with contrasting ambitions but equally strong motivations. The Hammers are hovering just above the relegation zone, sitting 17th in the table, while the Toffees are comfortably placed in 10th and still eyeing a potential push toward European qualification. With only a few rounds remaining in the season, every point is crucial for both teams — survival for one, continental dreams for the other.
West Ham United approach this match after a goalless draw against Crystal Palace on April 20, a result that extended their run to just one defeat in their last five outings across all competitions. Their recent record shows 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Over the course of the Premier League season, the Hammers have registered 8 wins, 9 draws, and 16 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
At home, the London side have shown resilience, losing only once in their last ten matches in all competitions. They have managed to take points off strong opponents, including both Manchester clubs, and recently defeated Wolves in front of their fans. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home games, indicating that late drama is a common feature at the London Stadium. In addition, they have led at half time in six of their last ten home fixtures, showing their ability to start matches strongly.
Despite their precarious league position, West Ham’s defensive structure has improved in recent weeks, and their ability to grind out results could be key in their battle for safety. The squad remains largely fit, with no new injury concerns reported after the Crystal Palace match. Long-term absentee Lukasz Fabianski continues to miss out, but the rest of the team is available for selection, giving the manager valuable consistency in his lineup choices.
Everton come into this fixture after a narrow 1-2 defeat in the Merseyside Derby against Liverpool on April 19. That setback ended a solid run of form that had seen them lose just once in their previous eight away matches. Over their last five games, the Toffees have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their season record stands at 13 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals both scored and conceded per game — a sign of balance and competitiveness.
Everton’s away form has been particularly impressive. They have claimed victories at Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa, Fulham, and Newcastle, while earning draws at Burnley, Brighton, and Brentford. Their only away defeat in that stretch came at Arsenal, underlining their ability to perform well on the road. Statistically, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 16 matches, suggesting that their games tend to open up after the break. However, at least one team has failed to score in 30 of their last 32 first halves, highlighting a pattern of cautious starts.
In terms of personnel, Everton face a few challenges. Beto, who has been in fine form with four goals in his last three appearances, remains a doubt due to swelling around his eye following a collision in the Liverpool match. Jack Grealish and Jarred Braithwaite are also sidelined, which could limit the Toffees’ attacking options. Nevertheless, their recent consistency and strong mentality away from home make them a formidable opponent for any side.
When these two teams met earlier in the season, the match ended in a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balance between them. Historically, their head-to-head record is evenly matched, with West Ham winning once, drawing three times, and losing once in the last five meetings. The average goals in those encounters stand at 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per team, suggesting tight and low-scoring affairs. Indeed, under 2.5 goals have been a recurring theme in their recent clashes, and both sides have shown defensive discipline in recent weeks.
West Ham’s home advantage could play a decisive role, especially given their strong recent record at the London Stadium. However, Everton’s away resilience and ability to score on the counter make them dangerous opponents. The Hammers will likely look to control possession and exploit set pieces, while the Toffees may rely on quick transitions and disciplined defending to frustrate their hosts. Given the stakes — survival versus European ambition — this match could be a tactical battle defined by fine margins rather than open attacking play.
Based on the available data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this Premier League fixture points towards Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%. Both teams have shown defensive solidity and a tendency for low-scoring matches, especially in their recent head-to-head encounters. Expect a closely contested game where one goal could make all the difference.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
West Ham United
Everton
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
10
0
8
2