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Prediction published on Dec 25, 2025 4:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Dec 25, 2025 4:03 PM
The Premier League weekend continues with a London derby as West Ham United host Fulham on Saturday afternoon. Both sides enter this clash with contrasting objectives: the Hammers are fighting to escape the relegation zone, while the Cottagers aim to consolidate their mid-table position and possibly push toward the European spots. With ten points separating them in the standings, this encounter promises intensity and urgency on both sides of the pitch.
West Ham United come into this fixture in desperate need of points after a difficult run of results. Their recent 3-0 defeat against Manchester City extended a winless streak to five matches, with the team recording 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in that period. The Hammers have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game in their last five outings, underlining their defensive fragility and lack of cutting edge in attack.
Across the season, West Ham’s record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly concerning, with only two victories and six defeats at the London Stadium. Despite scoring three goals in each of their wins against Newcastle and Burnley, they have failed to maintain consistency, conceding in every home game so far. In fact, at least one goal has been conceded in their last 13 home Premier League matches.
There is, however, a consistent trend of goals in West Ham’s fixtures. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 26 matches, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in their last 21 games. This pattern suggests that their matches rarely lack entertainment, even if results have not gone their way.
On the personnel front, the Hammers are relatively healthy but will miss two key players due to the African Cup of Nations: El Hadji Malick Diouf and Aaron Wan-Bissaka. Both have been regular starters this season, and their absence could impact defensive stability. Up front, Jarrod Bowen remains the main attacking threat with five league goals, having rediscovered his scoring touch with two goals in his last three appearances.
Fulham arrive in East London on the back of a morale-boosting 1-0 win over Nottingham Forest, a result that helped them climb to 13th in the table. Their recent form shows 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last five matches, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. The Cottagers have been unpredictable but remain dangerous in attack, capable of troubling any defense when given space.
Over the course of the season, Fulham’s record reads 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their away form, however, continues to be a concern. They have conceded in each of their last 20 away matches in all competitions and have not kept a clean sheet on the road this season. Moreover, Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 away games, and Over 0.5 goals in the second half has occurred in 22 of their last 24 matches overall.
Despite their defensive issues, Fulham’s attack has been well distributed, with Harry Wilson leading the scoring charts on five goals and ten different players contributing in the league. The team will, however, be affected by the African Cup of Nations, with Alex Iwobi, Calvin Bassey, and Samuel Chukwueze all unavailable. Wilson is expected to feature despite a minor knock, while Ryan Sessegnon remains sidelined until the new year.
Interestingly, Fulham have not drawn any of their last 15 Premier League matches, highlighting their all-or-nothing approach. They have also tended to start slowly, losing at half time in 8 of their last 13 away league games. Nevertheless, their ability to score consistently makes them a dangerous opponent for a struggling West Ham side.
Historically, this fixture has been favorable to West Ham, but recent meetings have been more balanced. The last head-to-head ended 3-2, and the overall record between the sides shows two wins each and one draw in their last five encounters. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities this season, and the data strongly suggests another open contest with goals at both ends.
West Ham’s inability to keep clean sheets, combined with Fulham’s attacking intent and poor defensive record away from home, points toward a high-scoring affair. The Hammers will rely on Bowen’s pace and finishing to exploit Fulham’s back line, while the visitors’ fluid attack, led by Wilson, will look to take advantage of West Ham’s defensive lapses. Given both teams’ trends, it would be surprising if either side managed to shut the other out.
With Over 1.5 goals consistently appearing in both teams’ recent matches and both conceding regularly, this London derby is expected to deliver entertainment and goals. The combination of desperation from the hosts and confidence from the visitors should make for an engaging encounter.
West Ham United vs Fulham prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
West Ham United
Fulham
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
6
4
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0