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Prediction published on Nov 28, 2025 5:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Nov 28, 2025 5:02 PM
The London Stadium will take centre stage this weekend as West Ham United host reigning champions Liverpool in a crucial Premier League clash. Seven points separate the two sides after very different starts to the season, with Liverpool sitting 12th and West Ham 17th. Both teams are under pressure to secure three points and climb the table, making this encounter one of the most intriguing fixtures of the round.
It has been a turbulent season for West Ham United, who are already on their second manager. However, under Nuno Espirito Santo, the Hammers have shown signs of improvement. They are unbeaten in their last three matches, collecting seven points and scoring at least twice in each of those games. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw against AFC Bournemouth, a result that left them disappointed after surrendering a two-goal lead.
In the Premier League, West Ham’s record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. The team’s attacking output has improved recently, failing to score in only three of their last ten games. Their home form has also been encouraging, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last ten home league matches. Defensively, however, there are still issues to address, particularly with Konstantinos Mavropanos doubtful for this match.
Goalkeeper Alphonse Areola continues to deputise for the injured Lukasz Fabianski and has impressed with a 70% save rate and even an assist to his name. In attack, Jarrod Bowen and Callum Wilson have been key contributors, combining for eight goal involvements so far. Wilson, in particular, has been clinical, with 69% of his shots on target and four goals to his name. The Hammers will look to exploit Liverpool’s defensive vulnerabilities and extend their unbeaten run at home.
For Liverpool, the season has been far from ideal. The defending champions have struggled to find consistency, losing three consecutive matches across all competitions. Their latest setback came in a heavy 4-1 defeat to PSV in the Champions League, a result that further exposed their defensive frailties. In their last three games, the Reds have conceded ten goals and lost nine of their last twelve matches overall.
In the Premier League, Liverpool’s record reads 6 wins and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. They have not drawn any of their last 19 league matches, highlighting their all-or-nothing approach this season. Despite their struggles, Liverpool have scored in 26 of their last 28 league games, showing that their attack remains capable of producing goals even in difficult moments.
Manager Arne Slot faces mounting pressure as his side’s title defence continues to falter. Injuries have not helped: Florian Wirtz is doubtful with a muscle issue, Hugo Ekitike is struggling with a back problem, and Jeremy Frimpong is sidelined with a hamstring strain. These absences have disrupted the team’s rhythm and limited their attacking options. Moreover, Liverpool have lost at half-time in six of their last ten league matches, underlining their slow starts and defensive lapses early in games.
Historically, Liverpool have dominated this fixture, winning eight of the last ten meetings and remaining unbeaten in nine. However, current form suggests that the balance could shift. West Ham’s recent performances have been encouraging, and they will feel this is the perfect opportunity to end their poor run against the Reds. The Hammers’ attacking duo of Bowen and Wilson will look to exploit a Liverpool defence that has been leaking goals at an alarming rate.
For Liverpool, the trip to London comes at a time when confidence is low. Their defensive structure has been inconsistent, and the absence of key players has affected their ability to control games. Nevertheless, their attacking potential means they are always capable of finding the net, especially with players like Mohamed Salah and Darwin Núñez leading the line. The match is likely to be open, with both sides pushing forward in search of much-needed points.
West Ham’s home advantage and recent momentum could prove decisive, particularly if they can maintain their attacking rhythm. However, their defensive vulnerabilities mean that Liverpool will have opportunities to score. Given the trends, fans can expect a lively encounter with goals at both ends.
WEST HAM UNITED (4-2-3-1): Areola; Coufal, Zouma, Aguerd, Emerson; Soucek, Ward-Prowse; Bowen, Paquetá, Kudus; Wilson. Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
LIVERPOOL (4-3-3): Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konaté, Van Dijk, Robertson; Mac Allister, Szoboszlai, Jones; Salah, Núñez, Díaz. Coach: Arne Slot
The most likely outcome is a Liverpool win (2) with a 60% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while a West Ham United win (1) stands at 19%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
West Ham United
Liverpool
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2