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Bahia - São Paulo: stats and betting predictions

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Serie A

Bahia

São Paulo

Arena Fonte Nova

Anderson Daronco

Who will win ?

Match preview

The probability of winning for Bahia is 57%. The probability of a draw between Bahia and São Paulo is 23%. The probability of winning for São Paulo is 20%

The probability of both teams scoring is 51%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 49%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 51%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 49%

In the last match on 25/10/2026, Bahia drew with Santos with a score of 1-1

In the last match on 24/10/2026, São Paulo drew with Mirassol with a score of 1-1

In the last head-to-head on 03/05/2026, Bahia and São Paulo drew with a score of 2-2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia has won 1 times, São Paulo has won 3 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Bahia has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match, while São Paulo has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match.

Bahia is currently in the 7th position in the Serie A league, while São Paulo is in the 9th position.

In this season of Serie A, Bahia has won 13 times, lost 8 times, and drawn 11 times. Bahia has scored an average of 1.41 goals per match and conceded 1.25 goals.

In this season of Serie A, São Paulo has won 12 times, lost 13 times, and drawn 7 times. São Paulo has scored an average of 1.16 goals per match and conceded 1.13 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Bahia has won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. Bahia has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.

In the last 5 matches, São Paulo has won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. São Paulo has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

Bahia vs São Paulo - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Bahia and São Paulo in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team
1 Flamengo	32	21	7	4	64:27	70	2.19	W D W W W
2 Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	69	2.16	D W W W W
3 Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	54	1.69	W W L W W
4 Athletico PR	32	15	9	8	50:38	54	1.69	W D W L D
5 Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	51	1.59	W W L L L
6 Atlético Mineiro	32	14	8	10	44:38	50	1.56	W D W W L
7 Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	50	1.56	L L W L D
8 Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	46	1.44	W D L W D
9 São Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	43	1.34	L L W W D
10 Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	41	1.28	L D W D L
11 Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	39	1.22	L L D W L
12 Coritiba	32	10	9	13	38:50	39	1.22	L L D L L
13 Vasco da Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	38	1.23	W W D L W
14 Vitória	32	10	8	14	35:46	38	1.19	L W L D D
15 Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	37	1.16	W D L W D
16 Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	35	1.09	L W D L W
17 Grêmio	32	8	10	14	35:44	34	1.06	D D D L W
18 Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	33	1.03	L L L D L
19 Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	26	0.81	L D D D L
20 Chapecoense	31	4	9	18	32:63	21	0.68	D L L L W

CONMEBOL Libertadores

CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Relegation

Last Matches

Bahia

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Serie A

10/25/2026 12:00 AM

Santos

0-1

Bahia

Serie A

10/18/2026 9:30 PM

Bahia

0-0

Flamengo

Serie A

10/11/2026 10:30 PM

Bahia

1-0

Mirassol

Serie A

10/09/2026 12:30 AM

Palmeiras

1-0

Bahia

Serie A

09/20/2026 10:30 PM

Athletico PR

1-1

Bahia

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Bahia

Final results

1 Win

1 Draw

3 Loss

Serie A

10/25/2026 12:00 AM

Santos

1-1

Bahia

Serie A

10/18/2026 9:30 PM

Bahia

0-3

Flamengo

Serie A

10/11/2026 10:30 PM

Bahia

1-0

Mirassol

Serie A

10/09/2026 12:30 AM

Palmeiras

1-0

Bahia

Serie A

09/20/2026 10:30 PM

Athletico PR

2-1

Bahia

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 7

Avg 1.4

São Paulo

First half results

0 Win

4 Draw

1 Loss

Serie A

10/24/2026 7:30 PM

Mirassol

1-1

São Paulo

Serie A

10/18/2026 12:00 AM

São Paulo

0-0

Vasco da Gama

Serie A

10/11/2026 12:00 AM

São Paulo

1-1

Vitória

Serie A

10/08/2026 12:30 AM

Cruzeiro

1-0

São Paulo

Serie A

10/02/2026 11:00 PM

São Paulo

1-1

Santos

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

São Paulo

Final results

2 Win

1 Draw

2 Loss

Serie A

10/24/2026 7:30 PM

Mirassol

1-1

São Paulo

Serie A

10/18/2026 12:00 AM

São Paulo

1-0

Vasco da Gama

Serie A

10/11/2026 12:00 AM

São Paulo

2-1

Vitória

Serie A

10/08/2026 12:30 AM

Cruzeiro

2-0

São Paulo

Serie A

10/02/2026 11:00 PM

São Paulo

1-2

Santos

Scored 5

Avg 1.0

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Bahia vs São Paulo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Serie A

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Bahia

São Paulo

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

20%

80%

30%

70%

2.5

40%

60%

80%

20%

3.5

70%

30%

100%

4.5

70%

30%

100%

Trends

Events

Team

Bahia

Bahia haven't lost in 8 of their last 9 home matches in Serie A

8 / 9

Unbeaten

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Alerts for this match

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Bahia vs São Paulo: Frequently asked questions

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What are the 1X2 probabilities for Bahia – São Paulo according to BetMines?

1: 57%
X: 23%
2: 20%

What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Bahia – São Paulo?

Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%

What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Bahia – São Paulo?

Yes: 51%
No: 49%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Bahia – São Paulo?

1) 1-0 (12.1%)
2) 1-1 (11.06%)
3) 2-1 (10.42%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Bahia – São Paulo?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Double chance market is 1X, with a probability of 80%