What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Benfica – Real Madrid?

Over 2.5: 59%</br>Under 2.5: 41%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Benfica – Real Madrid?

1) 1-1 (10.52%)</br>2) 2-1 (8.41%)</br>3) 1-2 (8.34%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Benfica – Real Madrid?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 81%

Benfica vs Real Madrid: match statistics and data

13.86 °C

Champions League - League Stage

Benfica

4 - 2

Real Madrid

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Davide Massa

Match Stats

Benfica

Real Madrid

33 %

Ball Possession

67 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

227

Accurate Passes

554

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Benfica

Real Madrid

2nd half 4-2

Anatoliy Trubin
4-2

90'+8'

90'+7'

Rodrygo

90'+6'

Rodrygo

Franjo Ivanović

Vangelis Pavlidis

90'+3'

António Silva

Andreas Schjelderup

90'+3'

90'+2'

Raúl Asencio

João Rego

Gianluca Prestianni

87'

Samuel Dahl

85'

Enzo Barrenechea

Georgiy Sudakov

83'

79'

Brahim Díaz

Arda Güler

79'

Jorge Cestero Sancho

Álvaro Carreras

78'

David Alaba

Dean Huijsen

66'

Álvaro Carreras

62'

Dean Huijsen

58'

Kylian Mbappé
3-2

55'

Eduardo Camavinga

Aurélien Tchouaméni

55'

Rodrygo

Franco Mastantuono

Andreas Schjelderup
3-1

54'

1st half 2-1

Vangelis Pavlidis
2-1

45'+5'

45'+4'

Raúl Asencio

Andreas Schjelderup
1-1

36'

30'

Kylian Mbappé
0-1

Gianluca Prestianni

17'

Leandro Barreiro

10'

Aurélien Tchouaméni

Who will win ?

Benfica vs Real Madrid - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Benfica and Real Madrid in Champions League

League Stage - Ranking

Team
1 Como	0:0	-	-
2 Manchester City	0:0	-	-
3 Real Madrid	0:0	-	-
4 FC Bayern München	0:0	-	-
5 Liverpool	0:0	-	-
6 Paris Saint Germain	0:0	-	-
7 Roma	0:0	-	-
8 Inter	0:0	-	-
9 Borussia Dortmund	0:0	-	-
10 FC Barcelona	0:0	-	-
11 Atlético de Madrid	0:0	-	-
12 Villarreal	0:0	-	-
13 Manchester United	0:0	-	-
14 Arsenal	0:0	-	-
15 RB Leipzig	0:0	-	-
16 Porto	0:0	-	-
17 Club Brugge	0:0	-	-
18 Feyenoord	0:0	-	-
19 PSV	0:0	-	-
20 Napoli	0:0	-	-
21 Sporting CP	0:0	-	-
22 LOSC Lille	0:0	-	-
23 Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0	-	-
24 Slavia Praha	0:0	-	-
25 Fenerbahçe	0:0	-	-
26 Real Betis	0:0	-	-
27 Bodø / Glimt	0:0	-	-
28 Galatasaray	0:0	-	-
29 Slovan Bratislava	0:0	-	-
30 Aston Villa	0:0	-	-
31 LASK	0:0	-	-
32 VfB Stuttgart	0:0	-	-
33 Lens	0:0	-	-
34 AEK Athens	0:0	-	-
35 Viking	0:0	-	-
36 Sabah	0:0	-	-

8th Finals

Play-off

Last Matches

Benfica

First half results

4 Win

1 Draw

0 Loss

Liga Portugal

31/08/2026 19:15

Benfica

1-0

Estoril

Europa League

27/08/2026 18:00

AGF

0-1

Benfica

Europa League

20/08/2026 19:00

Benfica

3-1

AGF

Liga Portugal

17/08/2026 19:15

Casa Pia

0-2

Benfica

Europa League

13/08/2026 18:45

Hearts

0-0

Benfica

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Benfica

Final results

4 Win

1 Draw

0 Loss

Liga Portugal

31/08/2026 19:15

Benfica

2-1

Estoril

Europa League

27/08/2026 18:00

AGF

1-3

Benfica

Europa League

20/08/2026 19:00

Benfica

3-1

AGF

Liga Portugal

17/08/2026 19:15

Casa Pia

0-7

Benfica

Europa League

13/08/2026 18:45

Hearts

1-1

Benfica

Scored 16

Avg 3.2

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Real Madrid

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

La Liga

30/08/2026 15:00

Real Madrid

3-0

Málaga

La Liga

26/08/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

1-1

Real Sociedad

La Liga

22/08/2026 19:30

Espanyol

1-1

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

16/08/2026 15:00

Schalke 04

0-2

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

12/08/2026 19:00

Deportivo A Coruña

0-1

Real Madrid

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Real Madrid

Final results

5 Win

0 Draw

0 Loss

La Liga

30/08/2026 15:00

Real Madrid

4-0

Málaga

La Liga

26/08/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

4-1

Real Sociedad

La Liga

22/08/2026 19:30

Espanyol

1-2

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

16/08/2026 15:00

Schalke 04

0-3

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

12/08/2026 19:00

Deportivo A Coruña

0-1

Real Madrid

Scored 14

Avg 2.8

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Benfica vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Champions League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Benfica

Real Madrid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

100%

20%

80%

2.5

10%

90%

20%

80%

3.5

30%

70%

50%

4.5

60%

40%

70%

30%

Trends

Events

Team

Benfica

Benfica haven't lost in their last 6 home matches

6 / 6

Unbeaten

Benfica

Benfica have won their last 4 home matches

4 / 4

Wins

Benfica

Benfica haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 matches

13 / 15

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Benfica and Real Madrid will face each other on 28/01/2026 at 20:00 at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica stadium (Lisboa). The match is part of Champions League. The referee for the match is Davide Massa.

The probability of winning for Benfica is 41%. The probability of a draw between Benfica and Real Madrid is 23%. The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 36%

The probability of both teams scoring is 60%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 40%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 59%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 41%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Benfica has seen over 2.5 goals 9 times, while Real Madrid has seen it 8 times

In the last match on 31/08/2026, Benfica defeated Estoril with a score of 2-1

In the last match on 30/08/2026, Real Madrid defeated Málaga with a score of 4-0

Benfica is currently in the 29th position in the Champions League league, while Real Madrid is in the 3th position.

In this season of Champions League, Benfica has won 6 times, lost 7 times, and drawn 1 times. Benfica has scored an average of 1.14 goals per match and conceded 1.07 goals.

In this season of Champions League, Real Madrid has won 9 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 0 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.36 goals per match and conceded 1.43 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Benfica has won 4 times, lost 0 times and drawn 1 times. Benfica has scored an average of 3.2 goals per match and conceded 0.8 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Real Madrid has won 5 times, lost 0 times and drawn 0 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.8 goals per match and conceded 0.4 goals.

Benfica - Real Madrid: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Benfica vs Real Madrid - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Benfica and Real Madrid in Champions League

Last Matches

Benfica vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Benfica vs Real Madrid: Frequently asked questions