What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Benfica – Real Madrid?

Over 2.5: 61%</br>Under 2.5: 39%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Benfica – Real Madrid?

1) 1-1 (10.07%)</br>2) 2-1 (8.75%)</br>3) 1-2 (7.98%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Benfica – Real Madrid?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 82%

Benfica vs Real Madrid: match statistics and data

12.01 °C

Champions League - Knockout Round Play-offs

Benfica

0 - 1

Real Madrid

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

François Letexier

Match Stats

Benfica

Real Madrid

42 %

Ball Possession

58 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

355

Accurate Passes

551

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Benfica

Real Madrid

2nd half 0-1

90'+9'

Daniel Carvajal

Álvaro Carreras

90'+4'

Thiago Pitarch

Eduardo Camavinga

90'+2'

Georgiy Sudakov

90'+2'

87'

Kylian Mbappé

86'

Brahim Díaz

Arda Güler

José Mourinho

85'

José Mourinho

85'

Dodi Lukébakio

Gianluca Prestianni

81'

Sidny Cabral

Fredrik Aursnes

80'

José Mourinho

78'

Gianluca Prestianni

78'

Richard Ríos

Rafa Silva

74'

Georgiy Sudakov

Andreas Schjelderup

74'

50'

Vinicius Junior
0-1

50'

Vinicius Junior

1st half 0-0

Who will win ?

Benfica vs Real Madrid - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Benfica and Real Madrid in Champions League

League Stage - Ranking

Team
1 Como	0:0	-	-
2 Manchester City	0:0	-	-
3 Real Madrid	0:0	-	-
4 FC Bayern München	0:0	-	-
5 Liverpool	0:0	-	-
6 Paris Saint Germain	0:0	-	-
7 Roma	0:0	-	-
8 Inter	0:0	-	-
9 Borussia Dortmund	0:0	-	-
10 FC Barcelona	0:0	-	-
11 Atlético de Madrid	0:0	-	-
12 Villarreal	0:0	-	-
13 Manchester United	0:0	-	-
14 Arsenal	0:0	-	-
15 RB Leipzig	0:0	-	-
16 Porto	0:0	-	-
17 Club Brugge	0:0	-	-
18 Feyenoord	0:0	-	-
19 PSV	0:0	-	-
20 Napoli	0:0	-	-
21 Sporting CP	0:0	-	-
22 LOSC Lille	0:0	-	-
23 Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0	-	-
24 Slavia Praha	0:0	-	-
25 Fenerbahçe	0:0	-	-
26 Real Betis	0:0	-	-
27 Bodø / Glimt	0:0	-	-
28 Galatasaray	0:0	-	-
29 Slovan Bratislava	0:0	-	-
30 Aston Villa	0:0	-	-
31 LASK Linz	0:0	-	-
32 VfB Stuttgart	0:0	-	-
33 Lens	0:0	-	-
34 AEK Athens	0:0	-	-
35 Viking	0:0	-	-
36 Sabah	0:0	-	-

8th Finals

Play-off

Last Matches

Benfica

First half results

4 Win

1 Draw

0 Loss

Liga Portugal

08/31/2026 7:15 PM

Benfica

1-0

Estoril

Europa League

08/27/2026 6:00 PM

AGF

0-1

Benfica

Europa League

08/20/2026 7:00 PM

Benfica

3-1

AGF

Liga Portugal

08/17/2026 7:15 PM

Casa Pia

0-2

Benfica

Europa League

08/13/2026 6:45 PM

Hearts

0-0

Benfica

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Benfica

Final results

4 Win

1 Draw

0 Loss

Liga Portugal

08/31/2026 7:15 PM

Benfica

2-1

Estoril

Europa League

08/27/2026 6:00 PM

AGF

1-3

Benfica

Europa League

08/20/2026 7:00 PM

Benfica

3-1

AGF

Liga Portugal

08/17/2026 7:15 PM

Casa Pia

0-7

Benfica

Europa League

08/13/2026 6:45 PM

Hearts

1-1

Benfica

Scored 16

Avg 3.2

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Real Madrid

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

La Liga

08/30/2026 3:00 PM

Real Madrid

3-0

Málaga

La Liga

08/26/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

1-1

Real Sociedad

La Liga

08/22/2026 7:30 PM

Espanyol

1-1

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

08/16/2026 3:00 PM

Schalke 04

0-2

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

08/12/2026 7:00 PM

Deportivo A Coruña

0-1

Real Madrid

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Real Madrid

Final results

5 Win

0 Draw

0 Loss

La Liga

08/30/2026 3:00 PM

Real Madrid

4-0

Málaga

La Liga

08/26/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

4-1

Real Sociedad

La Liga

08/22/2026 7:30 PM

Espanyol

1-2

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

08/16/2026 3:00 PM

Schalke 04

0-3

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

08/12/2026 7:00 PM

Deportivo A Coruña

0-1

Real Madrid

Scored 14

Avg 2.8

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Benfica vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Champions League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Benfica

Real Madrid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

100%

20%

80%

2.5

10%

90%

20%

80%

3.5

30%

70%

50%

4.5

60%

40%

70%

30%

Trends

Events

Team

Benfica

Benfica haven't lost in their last 8 home matches

8 / 8

Unbeaten

Benfica

Benfica have won their last 6 home matches

6 / 6

Wins

Benfica

Benfica haven't lost in 17 of their last 19 matches

17 / 19

Unbeaten

Real Madrid

Real Madrid have won in 6 of their last 7 matches

6 / 7

Wins

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Benfica and Real Madrid will face each other on 02/17/2026 at 8:00 PM at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica stadium (Lisboa). The match is part of Champions League. The referee for the match is François Letexier.

The probability of winning for Benfica is 42%. The probability of a draw between Benfica and Real Madrid is 23%. The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 34%

The probability of both teams scoring is 62%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 38%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 61%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 39%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Benfica has seen over 2.5 goals 9 times, while Real Madrid has seen it 8 times

In the last match on 08/31/2026, Benfica defeated Estoril with a score of 2-1

In the last match on 08/30/2026, Real Madrid defeated Málaga with a score of 4-0

In the last head-to-head on 01/28/2026, Benfica defeated Real Madrid at home with a score of 4-2

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Benfica has won 1 times, Real Madrid has won 0 times, and they have drawn 0 times. Benfica has scored an average of 4.0 goals per match, while Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match.

Benfica is currently in the 1th position in the Champions League league, while Real Madrid is in the 2th position.

In this season of Champions League, Benfica has won 6 times, lost 7 times, and drawn 1 times. Benfica has scored an average of 1.14 goals per match and conceded 1.07 goals.

In this season of Champions League, Real Madrid has won 9 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 0 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.36 goals per match and conceded 1.43 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Benfica has won 4 times, lost 0 times and drawn 1 times. Benfica has scored an average of 3.2 goals per match and conceded 0.8 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Real Madrid has won 5 times, lost 0 times and drawn 0 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.8 goals per match and conceded 0.4 goals.

Benfica - Real Madrid: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Benfica vs Real Madrid - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Benfica and Real Madrid in Champions League

Last Matches

Benfica vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Benfica vs Real Madrid: Frequently asked questions