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Derby County - Birmingham City: stats and betting predictions

light rain 21.22 °C
Championship

Derby County

D
D
L
L
D

1 - 2

FT

Birmingham City

D
W
W
W
L
Pride Park Stadium
John Busby

Match Stats

Derby County

Birmingham City

Corner

10

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

0

59 %

Ball Possession

41 %

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

0.81

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) shows how dangerous a team's chances were. Each shot gets a value based on details such as distance, angle and shot type. Adding those values gives the team's total xG for the match.

3.02

18

Total Shots

18

4

Ongoal Shots

9

71

Dangerous Attacks

28

8

Fouls

12

290

Accurate Passes

183

3

Big Chances Created

5

2

Big Chances Missed

3

Corner

10

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

0

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

Match Data

Derby County

Birmingham City

2nd half 1-2

90'+6'

Dael Fry

Carlos Vicente

substitution

90'+6'

Kristoffer Lund

Jay Stansfield

substitution
substitution

Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

Charlie Taylor

90'+5'

90'+4'

Carlos Vicente

yellowcard
substitution

Ryan Hedges

Eiran Cashin

85'

substitution

Corey Blackett-Taylor 

David Ozoh

85'

73'

Ethan Laird 

Liam Millar

substitution

73'

Luis Vázquez

August Priske

substitution

63'

Seung-ho Paik 1-2

Liam Millar

1-2

60'

Seung-ho Paik

Jhon Solís

substitution
substitution

Oscar Fraulo

Henrik Meister

54'

1st half 1-1

44'

August Priske

yellowcard

42'

Carlos Vicente 1-1

Liam Millar

1-1

Bobby Clark 1-0

Sammie Szmodics

1-0

40'

21'

Alex Cochrane

yellowcard
yellowcard

Mohammed Fuseini

19'

Who will win ?

Derby County vs Birmingham City - Predictions

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Standings of Derby County and Birmingham City in Championship

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Middlesbrough

12

7

4

1

27:17

25

2.08

D
W
W
D
W
2

Swansea City

12

7

2

3

16:13

23

1.92

W
W
W
L
L
3

West Ham United

12

6

4

2

32:15

22

1.83

D
D
W
W
L
4

Wolverhampton Wanderers

12

6

3

3

20:16

21

1.75

L
L
W
D
W
5

West Bromwich Albion

12

6

3

3

16:13

21

1.75

L
L
W
W
D
6

Southampton

12

7

3

2

24:12

20

1.67

L
W
W
D
W
7

Birmingham City

12

5

5

2

20:12

20

1.67

D
W
W
W
L
8

Queens Park Rangers

12

5

5

2

20:12

20

1.67

D
D
W
L
W
9

Stoke City

12

6

2

4

18:16

20

1.67

W
W
L
W
D
10

Blackburn Rovers

12

5

3

4

19:16

18

1.5

D
W
W
L
W
11

Portsmouth

12

5

3

4

16:15

18

1.5

L
W
W
D
W
12

Sheffield United

12

4

4

4

16:15

16

1.33

L
W
L
W
D
13

Millwall

12

4

3

5

19:20

15

1.25

D
W
L
D
L
14

Bristol City

12

4

3

5

12:15

15

1.25

W
D
L
L
D
15

Lincoln City

12

4

3

5

13:20

15

1.25

L
L
L
D
W
16

Cardiff City

12

3

5

4

19:17

14

1.17

W
L
W
D
W
17

Wrexham

12

3

5

4

15:18

14

1.17

W
D
L
W
L
18

Bolton Wanderers

12

4

2

6

16:23

14

1.17

W
L
W
D
L
19

Charlton Athletic

12

3

5

4

11:18

14

1.17

L
D
D
L
L
20

Norwich City

12

4

0

8

20:22

12

1

L
L
L
L
W
21

Watford

12

3

2

7

10:20

11

0.92

L
L
L
W
L
22

Burnley

12

1

5

6

17:25

8

0.67

D
W
D
L
L
23

Derby County

12

1

4

7

10:21

7

0.58

D
D
L
L
D
24

Preston North End

12

1

2

9

10:25

5

0.42

D
L
L
L
D
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Last Matches

Derby County

First half results

2 Win
1 Draw
2 Loss

Championship

10/24/2026 11:30 AM

Sheffield United

0-1

Derby County

Championship

10/17/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

0-0

Stoke City

Championship

10/14/2026 6:45 PM

Queens Park Rangers

3-0

Derby County

Championship

10/10/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

1-0

Wrexham

Championship

09/19/2026 2:00 PM

Burnley

1-0

Derby County
Scored 2
Avg 0.4
Conceded 4
Avg 0.8
Derby County

Final results

0 Win
3 Draw
2 Loss

Championship

10/24/2026 11:30 AM

Sheffield United

1-1

Derby County

Championship

10/17/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

0-1

Stoke City

Championship

10/14/2026 6:45 PM

Queens Park Rangers

4-1

Derby County

Championship

10/10/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

1-1

Wrexham

Championship

09/19/2026 2:00 PM

Burnley

1-1

Derby County
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 8
Avg 1.6
Birmingham City

First half results

3 Win
0 Draw
2 Loss

Championship

10/24/2026 2:00 PM

Cardiff City

1-0

Birmingham City

Championship

10/17/2026 2:00 PM

Birmingham City

1-0

Queens Park Rangers

Championship

10/13/2026 7:00 PM

Birmingham City

3-0

Preston North End

Championship

10/10/2026 11:30 AM

West Bromwich Albion

0-1

Birmingham City

Championship

09/19/2026 2:00 PM

Birmingham City

0-1

Middlesbrough
Scored 5
Avg 1.0
Conceded 2
Avg 0.4
Birmingham City

Final results

3 Win
1 Draw
1 Loss

Championship

10/24/2026 2:00 PM

Cardiff City

1-0

Birmingham City

Championship

10/17/2026 2:00 PM

Birmingham City

3-0

Queens Park Rangers

Championship

10/13/2026 7:00 PM

Birmingham City

4-0

Preston North End

Championship

10/10/2026 11:30 AM

West Bromwich Albion

0-1

Birmingham City

Championship

09/19/2026 2:00 PM

Birmingham City

2-2

Middlesbrough
Scored 10
Avg 2.0
Conceded 3
Avg 0.6

Derby County vs Birmingham City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Derby County

Birmingham City

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Derby County is 33%. The probability of a draw between Derby County and Birmingham City is 27%. The probability of winning for Birmingham City is 40%

The probability of both teams scoring is 51%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 49%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 46%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 54%

In the last match on 10/24/2026, Derby County drew with Sheffield United with a score of 1-1

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Derby County vs Birmingham City: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Derby County – Birmingham City according to BetMines?
1: 33%
X: 27%
2: 40%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Derby County – Birmingham City?
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Derby County – Birmingham City?
Yes: 51%
No: 49%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Derby County – Birmingham City?
1) 1-1 (12.68%)
2) 0-1 (10.85%)
3) 1-0 (9.19%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Derby County – Birmingham City?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 72%

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