What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Derby County – Cardiff City?

Over 2.5: 57%</br>Under 2.5: 43%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Derby County – Cardiff City?

1) 1-1 (10.94%)</br>2) 1-2 (9.42%)</br>3) 0-1 (8.82%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Derby County – Cardiff City?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 79%

Derby County vs Cardiff City: match statistics and data

Match Stats

Derby County

Cardiff City

36 %

Ball Possession

64 %

1.57

Expected Goals (xG)

1.98

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

222

Accurate Passes

445

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Derby County

Cardiff City

2nd half 2-2

Ryan Nyambe

Max Johnston

88'

Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

Carlton Morris

88'

Dion Sanderson

84'

Max Johnston

80'

71'

Joel Colwill

Jack Moylan

71'

Isaak Davies

Ollie Tanner

Rhian Brewster

Corey Blackett-Taylor

65'

Ryan Hedges

Oscar Fraulo

64'

Lewis Travis

60'

59'

David Turnbull

Rubin Colwill

59'

Chris Willock

Cian Ashford

Oscar Fraulo

55'

53'

Alex Robertson

Bobby Clark 2-2

2-2

49'

1st half 1-2

39'

Yousef Salech 1-2

Rubin Colwill

1-2

Carlton Morris 1-1

Bobby Clark

1-1

26'

19'

Cian Ashford 0-1

Ronan Kpakio

0-1

Corey Blackett-Taylor

Who will win ?

Derby County vs Cardiff City - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Derby County and Cardiff City in Championship

Regular Season - Ranking

Team
1 Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	28	2.15	W W D W W
2 Swansea City	13	8	2	3	20:13	26	2	W W L L W
3 Wolverhampton Wanderers	13	7	3	3	23:16	24	1.85	L W D W W
4 West Bromwich Albion	13	7	3	3	19:14	24	1.85	L W W D W
5 Southampton	13	8	3	2	28:13	23	1.77	W W D W W
6 Birmingham City	13	6	5	2	23:13	23	1.77	W W W L W
7 Stoke City	13	7	2	4	20:16	23	1.77	W L W D W
8 West Ham United	13	6	4	3	33:18	22	1.69	D W W L L
9 Queens Park Rangers	13	5	5	3	21:16	20	1.54	D W L W L
10 Sheffield United	13	5	4	4	17:15	19	1.46	W L W D W
11 Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16:15	19	1.46	W W D W D
12 Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	18	1.38	W L D L W
13 Blackburn Rovers	13	5	3	5	19:20	18	1.38	W W L W L
14 Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	18	1.38	D L L D W
15 Norwich City	13	5	0	8	23:24	15	1.15	L L L W W
16 Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	14:23	15	1.15	L L D W L
17 Cardiff City	13	3	5	5	19:20	14	1.08	L W D W L
18 Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	14	1.08	D L W L L
19 Bolton Wanderers	13	4	2	7	18:26	14	1.08	L W D L L
20 Charlton Athletic	13	3	5	5	11:21	14	1.08	D D L L L
21 Watford	13	3	2	8	12:23	11	0.85	L L W L L
22 Burnley	13	1	6	6	17:25	9	0.69	W D L L D
23 Derby County	13	1	4	8	11:25	7	0.54	D L L D L
24 Preston North End	13	1	2	10	10:27	5	0.38	L L L D L

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Derby County

First half results

2 Win

1 Draw

2 Loss

Championship

31/10/2026 15:00

Millwall

3-0

Derby County

Championship

24/10/2026 11:30

Sheffield United

0-1

Derby County

Championship

17/10/2026 14:00

Derby County

0-0

Stoke City

Championship

14/10/2026 18:45

Queens Park Rangers

3-0

Derby County

Championship

10/10/2026 14:00

Derby County

1-0

Wrexham

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Derby County

Final results

0 Win

2 Draw

3 Loss

Championship

31/10/2026 15:00

Millwall

4-1

Derby County

Championship

24/10/2026 11:30

Sheffield United

1-1

Derby County

Championship

17/10/2026 14:00

Derby County

0-1

Stoke City

Championship

14/10/2026 18:45

Queens Park Rangers

4-1

Derby County

Championship

10/10/2026 14:00

Derby County

1-1

Wrexham

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 11

Avg 2.2

Cardiff City

First half results

3 Win

0 Draw

2 Loss

Championship

31/10/2026 15:00

Wolverhampton Wanderers

2-0

Cardiff City

Championship

24/10/2026 14:00

Cardiff City

1-0

Birmingham City

Championship

17/10/2026 11:30

Middlesbrough

0-2

Cardiff City

Championship

13/10/2026 18:45

Cardiff City

4-0

Watford

Championship

10/10/2026 14:00

Blackburn Rovers

2-0

Cardiff City

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Cardiff City

Final results

2 Win

1 Draw

2 Loss

Championship

31/10/2026 15:00

Wolverhampton Wanderers

3-0

Cardiff City

Championship

24/10/2026 14:00

Cardiff City

1-0

Birmingham City

Championship

17/10/2026 11:30

Middlesbrough

2-2

Cardiff City

Championship

13/10/2026 18:45

Cardiff City

5-1

Watford

Championship

10/10/2026 14:00

Blackburn Rovers

2-1

Cardiff City

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 8

Avg 1.6

Derby County vs Cardiff City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Championship

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Derby County

Cardiff City

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

20%

80%

20%

80%

2.5

60%

40%

60%

3.5

80%

20%

70%

30%

4.5

80%

20%

90%

10%

Trends

Events

Team

Cardiff City

Cardiff City haven't lost in 9 of their last 10 matches

9 / 10

Unbeaten

Derby County

Derby County have won in 6 of their last 7 home matches in Championship

6 / 7

Wins

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Alerts for this match

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Derby County is 27%. The probability of a draw between Derby County and Cardiff City is 24%. The probability of winning for Cardiff City is 49%

The probability of both teams scoring is 57%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 43%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 57%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 43%

In the last match on 31/10/2026, Derby County lost to Millwall with a score of 4-1

In the last match on 31/10/2026, Cardiff City lost to Wolverhampton Wanderers with a score of 3-0

In the last head-to-head on 25/01/2025, Cardiff City defeated Derby County at home with a score of 2-1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby County has won 1 times, Cardiff City has won 4 times, and they have drawn 0 times. Derby County has scored an average of 0.4 goals per match, while Cardiff City has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match.

Derby County is currently in the 20th position in the Championship league, while Cardiff City is in the 16th position.

In this season of Championship, Derby County has won 1 times, lost 7 times, and drawn 4 times. Derby County has scored an average of 0.83 goals per match and conceded 1.75 goals.

In this season of Championship, Cardiff City has won 3 times, lost 4 times, and drawn 5 times. Cardiff City has scored an average of 1.58 goals per match and conceded 1.42 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Derby County has won 0 times, lost 3 times and drawn 2 times. Derby County has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceded 2.2 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Cardiff City has won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. Cardiff City has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.

Derby County - Cardiff City: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Derby County vs Cardiff City - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Derby County and Cardiff City in Championship

Last Matches

Derby County vs Cardiff City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Alerts for this match

Match preview

Derby County vs Cardiff City: Frequently asked questions