What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Derby County – Leeds United?

Over 2.5: 50%</br>Under 2.5: 50%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Derby County – Leeds United?

1) 1-1 (12.85%)</br>2) 0-1 (10.94%)</br>3) 1-0 (9.96%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Derby County – Leeds United?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 71%

Derby County vs Leeds United: match statistics and data

Match Stats

Derby County

Leeds United

5

5

1

0

34 %

Ball Possession

66 %

5

1

0

7

Total Shots

22

2

Ongoal Shots

11

27

Dangerous Attacks

56

16

Fouls

8

175

Accurate Passes

441

1

Big Chances Created

5

0

Big Chances Missed

2

5

1

0

5

1

0

Match Data

Derby County

Leeds United

2nd half 1-3

90'+3'

James Justin 1-3

Lukas Nmecha

1-3

90'+2'

Jack Harrison

89'

Brenden Aaronson

Noah Okafor

89'

Anton Stach

Joël Piroe

86'

Sam Byram

Wilfried Gnonto

73'

Sean Longstaff

Ilia Gruev

Patrick Agyemang

Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

73'

Owen Eames

Bobby Clark

73'

David Ozoh

Lewis Travis

63'

Rhian Brewster

Corey Blackett-Taylor

63'

59'

Ao Tanaka 1-2

1-2

55'

Wilfried Gnonto 1-1

Jaka Bijol

1-1

46'

James Justin

Sebastiaan Bornauw

Ebou Adams

Oscar Fraulo

46'

1st half 1-0

Ben Brereton Díaz 1-0

1-0

35'

33'

Joël Piroe

Oscar Fraulo

18'

Who will win ?

Derby County vs Leeds United - Predictions

Odds

Last Matches

Derby County

First half results

2 Win

0 Draw

3 Loss

Championship

05/09/2026 14:00

West Ham United

1-0

Derby County

Championship

01/09/2026 18:45

Portsmouth

0-1

Derby County

Championship

29/08/2026 11:30

Derby County

0-2

Swansea City

Championship

22/08/2026 14:00

Derby County

1-2

Cardiff City

Championship

15/08/2026 14:00

Charlton Athletic

0-1

Derby County

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Derby County

Final results

1 Win

1 Draw

3 Loss

Championship

05/09/2026 14:00

West Ham United

3-0

Derby County

Championship

01/09/2026 18:45

Portsmouth

0-2

Derby County

Championship

29/08/2026 11:30

Derby County

0-3

Swansea City

Championship

22/08/2026 14:00

Derby County

2-2

Cardiff City

Championship

15/08/2026 14:00

Charlton Athletic

2-1

Derby County

Scored 5

Avg 1.0

Conceded 10

Avg 2.0

Leeds United

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Premier League

05/09/2026 14:00

Brighton & Hove Albion

0-1

Leeds United

Premier League

30/08/2026 13:00

Leeds United

0-1

Brentford

Carabao Cup

25/08/2026 19:00

Nottingham Forest

0-0

Leeds United

Premier League

22/08/2026 14:00

Nottingham Forest

0-0

Leeds United

Club Friendlies 3

15/08/2026 14:00

Leeds United

3-0

FC Augsburg

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Leeds United

Final results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

Premier League

05/09/2026 14:00

Brighton & Hove Albion

1-1

Leeds United

Premier League

30/08/2026 13:00

Leeds United

1-1

Brentford

Carabao Cup

25/08/2026 19:00

Nottingham Forest

0-2

Leeds United

Premier League

22/08/2026 14:00

Nottingham Forest

0-1

Leeds United

Club Friendlies 3

15/08/2026 14:00

Leeds United

4-0

FC Augsburg

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Derby County vs Leeds United: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

FA Cup

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Derby County

Leeds United

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

80%

8

20%

2

Trends

Events

Team

Leeds United

Leeds United haven't lost in 7 of their last 8 matches

7 / 8

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Derby County and Leeds United will face each other on 11/01/2026 at 12:00 at Pride Park Stadium stadium (Derby). The match is part of FA Cup. The referee for the match is A. Taylor.

The probability of winning for Derby County is 33%. The probability of a draw between Derby County and Leeds United is 27%. The probability of winning for Leeds United is 41%

The probability of both teams scoring is 50%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 50%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 50%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 50%

In the last match on 05/09/2026, Derby County lost to West Ham United with a score of 3-0

In the last match on 05/09/2026, Leeds United drew with Brighton & Hove Albion with a score of 1-1

In the last head-to-head on 29/12/2024, Leeds United defeated Derby County away with a score of 0-1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby County has won 1 times, Leeds United has won 3 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Leeds United has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match.

Derby County is currently in the 1th position in the FA Cup league, while Leeds United is in the 2th position.

In this season of FA Cup, Derby County has won 0 times, lost 1 times, and drawn 0 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1 goals per match and conceded 3 goals.

In this season of FA Cup, Leeds United has won 2 times, lost 1 times, and drawn 2 times. Leeds United has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Derby County has won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match and conceded 2.0 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Leeds United has won 3 times, lost 0 times and drawn 2 times. Leeds United has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 0.4 goals.

Derby County - Leeds United: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Derby County vs Leeds United - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Derby County and Leeds United in FA Cup

Last Matches

Derby County vs Leeds United: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Derby County vs Leeds United: Frequently asked questions