What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Derby County – Watford?

Over 2.5: 38%</br>Under 2.5: 62%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Derby County – Watford?

1) 1-0 (15.84%)</br>2) 1-1 (12.37%)</br>3) 0-0 (10.95%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Derby County – Watford?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 82%

Derby County vs Watford: match statistics and data

7.9 °C

Championship

Derby County

2 - 3

Watford

Pride Park Stadium

G. Ward

Match Stats

Derby County

Watford

38 %

Ball Possession

62 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

173

Accurate Passes

390

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Derby County

Watford

2nd half 2-3

Liam Thompson

Sondre Langås

90'+1'

88'

Edo Kayembe
2-3

85'

Edo Kayembe
2-2

81'

Moussa Sissoko

Othmane Maamma

Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

Patrick Agyemang

71'

Kayden Jackson

Ben Brereton Díaz

70'

68'

Edo Kayembe

65'

Vivaldo Semedo

Hector Kyprianou

65'

Mamadou Doumbia

Luca Kjerrumgaard

61'

Luca Kjerrumgaard
2-1

Ben Brereton Díaz

58'

Sondre Langås
2-0

54'

1st half 1-0

Dion Sanderson

39'

Dion Sanderson
1-0

36'

35'

Nestory Irankunda

Kwadwo Baah

Andreas Weimann

Carlton Morris

18'

Who will win ?

Derby County vs Watford - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Derby County and Watford in Championship

Regular Season - Ranking

Team
1 Coventry City	46	28	11	7	97:45	95	2.07	D D W W W
2 Ipswich Town	46	23	15	8	80:47	84	1.83	D W D D W
3 Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	83	1.8	D W W D W
4 Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	80	1.74	W W D D W
5 Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	80	1.74	L D W W D
6 Hull City	46	21	10	15	70:66	73	1.59	L D D L W
7 Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	71	1.54	L W W L D
8 Derby County	46	20	9	17	67:59	69	1.5	L W L W L
9 Norwich City	46	19	8	19	63:56	65	1.41	L W W D L
10 Birmingham City	46	17	13	16	57:56	64	1.39	W D W W D
11 Swansea City	46	18	10	18	57:59	64	1.39	W L W D W
12 Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	62	1.35	D L D L W
13 Sheffield United	46	18	6	22	66:66	60	1.3	W W L L W
14 Preston North End	46	15	15	16	55:62	60	1.3	W L L W L
15 Queens Park Rangers	46	16	10	20	61:73	58	1.26	D L L L L
16 Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	57	1.24	L L L L L
17 Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51:56	55	1.2	D L L L L
18 Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	55	1.2	W W L W D
19 Charlton Athletic	46	13	14	19	44:58	53	1.15	L D L W L
20 Blackburn Rovers	46	13	13	20	42:56	52	1.13	D L D W L
21 West Bromwich Albion	46	13	14	19	48:58	51	1.11	D W W D L
22 Oxford United	46	11	14	21	45:59	47	1.02	W L L W L
23 Leicester City	46	12	16	18	58:68	46	1	L L D D W
24 Sheffield Wednesday	46	2	12	32	29:89	0	0	D D L L W

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Derby County

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Championship

25/04/2026 14:00

Queens Park Rangers

1-1

Derby County

Championship

21/04/2026 18:45

Norwich City

1-0

Derby County

Championship

18/04/2026 11:30

Derby County

1-0

Oxford United

Championship

11/04/2026 14:00

Southampton

0-1

Derby County

Championship

06/04/2026 14:00

Derby County

0-0

Stoke City

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Derby County

Final results

3 Win

0 Draw

2 Loss

Championship

25/04/2026 14:00

Queens Park Rangers

2-3

Derby County

Championship

21/04/2026 18:45

Norwich City

2-1

Derby County

Championship

18/04/2026 11:30

Derby County

1-0

Oxford United

Championship

11/04/2026 14:00

Southampton

2-1

Derby County

Championship

06/04/2026 14:00

Derby County

2-0

Stoke City

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Watford

First half results

0 Win

2 Draw

3 Loss

Championship

25/04/2026 11:30

Middlesbrough

2-0

Watford

Championship

21/04/2026 18:45

West Bromwich Albion

2-0

Watford

Championship

18/04/2026 14:00

Watford

0-0

Sheffield United

Championship

11/04/2026 14:00

Oxford United

1-0

Watford

Championship

06/04/2026 14:00

Watford

0-0

Charlton Athletic

Scored 0

Avg 0.0

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Watford

Final results

0 Win

1 Draw

4 Loss

Championship

25/04/2026 11:30

Middlesbrough

5-1

Watford

Championship

21/04/2026 18:45

West Bromwich Albion

3-0

Watford

Championship

18/04/2026 14:00

Watford

0-2

Sheffield United

Championship

11/04/2026 14:00

Oxford United

2-0

Watford

Championship

06/04/2026 14:00

Watford

1-1

Charlton Athletic

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 13

Avg 2.6

Derby County vs Watford: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Championship

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Derby County

Watford

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

10%

90%

1.5

40%

60%

10%

90%

2.5

50%

3.5

80%

20%

70%

30%

4.5

80%

20%

90%

10%

Trends

Events

Team

Derby County

Derby County have won their last 5 matches in Championship

5 / 5

Wins

Derby County

Derby County haven't lost in 8 of their last 9 matches in Championship

8 / 9

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Derby County and Watford will face each other on 22/11/2025 at 15:00 at Pride Park Stadium stadium (Derby). The match is part of Championship. The referee for the match is G. Ward.

The probability of winning for Derby County is 50%. The probability of a draw between Derby County and Watford is 27%. The probability of winning for Watford is 23%

The probability of both teams scoring is 42%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 58%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 38%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 62%

In the last match on 25/04/2026, Derby County defeated Queens Park Rangers with a score of 2-3

In the last match on 25/04/2026, Watford lost to Middlesbrough with a score of 5-1

In the last head-to-head on 18/01/2025, Watford defeated Derby County away with a score of 0-2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby County has won 0 times, Watford has won 4 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Derby County has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match, while Watford has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match.

Derby County is currently in the 9th position in the Championship league, while Watford is in the 16th position.

In this season of Championship, Derby County has won 20 times, lost 17 times, and drawn 9 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1.46 goals per match and conceded 1.28 goals.

In this season of Championship, Watford has won 14 times, lost 17 times, and drawn 15 times. Watford has scored an average of 1.15 goals per match and conceded 1.41 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Derby County has won 3 times, lost 2 times and drawn 0 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Watford has won 0 times, lost 4 times and drawn 1 times. Watford has scored an average of 0.4 goals per match and conceded 2.6 goals.

Derby County - Watford: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Derby County vs Watford - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Derby County and Watford in Championship

Last Matches

Derby County vs Watford: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Derby County vs Watford: Frequently asked questions