What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Derby County – Watford?

Over 2.5: 38%</br>Under 2.5: 62%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Derby County – Watford?

1) 1-0 (15.84%)</br>2) 1-1 (12.37%)</br>3) 0-0 (10.95%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Derby County – Watford?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 82%

Derby County vs Watford: match statistics and data

7.9 °C

Championship

Derby County

2 - 3

Watford

Pride Park Stadium

G. Ward

Match Stats

Derby County

Watford

38 %

Ball Possession

62 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

173

Accurate Passes

390

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Derby County

Watford

2nd half 2-3

Liam Thompson

Sondre Langås

90'+1'

88'

Edo Kayembe 2-3

Imrân Louza

2-3

85'

Edo Kayembe
2-2

81'

Moussa Sissoko

Othmane Maamma

Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

Patrick Agyemang

71'

Kayden Jackson

Ben Brereton Díaz

70'

68'

Edo Kayembe

65'

Vivaldo Semedo

Hector Kyprianou

65'

Mamadou Doumbia

Luca Kjerrumgaard

61'

Luca Kjerrumgaard 2-1

Jeremy Ngakia

2-1

Ben Brereton Díaz

58'

Sondre Langås 2-0

Joe Ward

2-0

54'

1st half 1-0

Dion Sanderson

39'

Dion Sanderson 1-0

1-0

36'

35'

Nestory Irankunda

Kwadwo Baah

Andreas Weimann

Carlton Morris

18'

Who will win ?

Derby County vs Watford - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Derby County and Watford in Championship

Regular Season - Ranking

Team
1 West Bromwich Albion	6	4	1	1	9:6	13	2.17	W L D W W
2 West Ham United	6	3	2	1	14:9	11	1.83	L D W W W
3 Swansea City	6	3	2	1	8:4	11	1.83	D W W D L
4 Queens Park Rangers	6	3	2	1	7:4	11	1.83	D W W L D
5 Charlton Athletic	6	3	2	1	6:7	11	1.83	W W D L D
6 Middlesbrough	5	3	1	1	8:5	10	2	W L W D W
7 Bristol City	5	3	1	1	9:7	10	2	L D W W W
8 Millwall	5	3	0	2	10:8	9	1.8	W W L L W
9 Norwich City	6	3	0	3	10:9	9	1.5	L W L W W
10 Sheffield United	6	2	3	1	8:8	9	1.5	D D W L W
11 Wolverhampton Wanderers	5	2	2	1	13:10	8	1.6	D W W L D
12 Watford	6	2	2	2	6:7	8	1.33	D D L L W
13 Southampton	6	3	2	1	14:7	7	1.17	W W D D W
14 Wrexham	6	1	4	1	7:5	7	1.17	D L W D D
15 Birmingham City	6	1	4	1	8:8	7	1.17	D W D D L
16 Stoke City	6	2	1	3	9:10	7	1.17	L L W W D
17 Portsmouth	5	2	0	3	7:8	6	1.2	L W L L W
18 Blackburn Rovers	6	1	2	3	7:9	5	0.83	W L D L L
19 Lincoln City	5	1	2	2	4:6	5	1	L L W D D
20 Cardiff City	6	0	4	2	7:10	4	0.67	D D L L D
21 Bolton Wanderers	6	1	1	4	6:12	4	0.67	D L L L L
22 Derby County	6	1	1	4	5:11	4	0.67	D L W L L
23 Burnley	6	0	3	3	7:13	3	0.5	L L D L D
24 Preston North End	6	1	0	5	6:12	3	0.5	L L L W L

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Derby County

First half results

1 Win

0 Draw

4 Loss

Championship

09/09/2026 18:45

Derby County

0-1

West Bromwich Albion

Championship

05/09/2026 14:00

West Ham United

1-0

Derby County

Championship

01/09/2026 18:45

Portsmouth

0-1

Derby County

Championship

29/08/2026 11:30

Derby County

0-2

Swansea City

Championship

22/08/2026 14:00

Derby County

1-2

Cardiff City

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Derby County

Final results

1 Win

1 Draw

3 Loss

Championship

09/09/2026 18:45

Derby County

0-1

West Bromwich Albion

Championship

05/09/2026 14:00

West Ham United

3-0

Derby County

Championship

01/09/2026 18:45

Portsmouth

0-2

Derby County

Championship

29/08/2026 11:30

Derby County

0-3

Swansea City

Championship

22/08/2026 14:00

Derby County

2-2

Cardiff City

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 9

Avg 1.8

Watford

First half results

0 Win

1 Draw

4 Loss

Championship

08/09/2026 18:45

Watford

0-1

Preston North End

Championship

05/09/2026 14:00

West Bromwich Albion

1-0

Watford

Championship

01/09/2026 18:45

Swansea City

2-0

Watford

Championship

29/08/2026 14:00

Watford

1-1

West Ham United

Carabao Cup

25/08/2026 18:45

Watford

0-2

Peterborough United

Scored 1

Avg 0.2

Conceded 7

Avg 1.4

Watford

Final results

1 Win

1 Draw

3 Loss

Championship

08/09/2026 18:45

Watford

2-1

Preston North End

Championship

05/09/2026 14:00

West Bromwich Albion

1-0

Watford

Championship

01/09/2026 18:45

Swansea City

2-0

Watford

Championship

29/08/2026 14:00

Watford

1-1

West Ham United

Carabao Cup

25/08/2026 18:45

Watford

1-5

Peterborough United

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 10

Avg 2.0

Derby County vs Watford: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Championship

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Derby County

Watford

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

20%

80%

30%

70%

2.5

40%

60%

40%

3.5

80%

20%

90%

10%

4.5

100%

90%

10%

Trends

Events

Team

Derby County

Derby County have won their last 5 matches in Championship

5 / 5

Wins

Derby County

Derby County haven't lost in 8 of their last 9 matches in Championship

8 / 9

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Derby County and Watford will face each other on 22/11/2025 at 15:00 at Pride Park Stadium stadium (Derby). The match is part of Championship. The referee for the match is G. Ward.

The probability of winning for Derby County is 50%. The probability of a draw between Derby County and Watford is 27%. The probability of winning for Watford is 23%

The probability of both teams scoring is 42%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 58%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 38%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 62%

In the last match on 09/09/2026, Derby County lost to West Bromwich Albion with a score of 0-1

In the last match on 08/09/2026, Watford defeated Preston North End with a score of 2-1

In the last head-to-head on 18/01/2025, Watford defeated Derby County away with a score of 0-2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby County has won 0 times, Watford has won 4 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Derby County has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match, while Watford has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match.

Derby County is currently in the 9th position in the Championship league, while Watford is in the 16th position.

In this season of Championship, Derby County has won 20 times, lost 17 times, and drawn 9 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1.46 goals per match and conceded 1.28 goals.

In this season of Championship, Watford has won 14 times, lost 17 times, and drawn 15 times. Watford has scored an average of 1.15 goals per match and conceded 1.41 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Derby County has won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. Derby County has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceded 1.8 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Watford has won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. Watford has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceded 2.0 goals.

Derby County - Watford: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Derby County vs Watford - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Derby County and Watford in Championship

Last Matches

Derby County vs Watford: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Derby County vs Watford: Frequently asked questions