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Estonia - Luxembourg: stats and betting predictions

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UEFA Nations League  -  League C

Estonia

W
W
D
D
W

1 - 0

FT

Luxembourg

L
W
W
L
L
Sportland Arena
Paweł Raczkowski

Match Stats

Estonia

Luxembourg

Corner

7

Remplacement

3

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

46 %

Ball Possession

54 %

Corner

3

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

6

Red cards

0

1.46

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) shows how dangerous a team's chances were. Each shot gets a value based on details such as distance, angle and shot type. Adding those values gives the team's total xG for the match.

0.49

14

Total Shots

8

9

Ongoal Shots

2

25

Dangerous Attacks

45

13

Fouls

12

394

Accurate Passes

479

2

Big Chances Created

0

1

Big Chances Missed

0

Corner

7

Remplacement

3

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

Corner

3

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

6

Red cards

0

Match Data

Estonia

Luxembourg

2nd half 1-0

yellowcard

Markus Poom

88'

87'

Mathias Olesen 

yellowcard

85'

Eldin Dzogovic

yellowcard

85'

Vincent Thill

yellowcard

84'

Leandro Barreiro

yellowcard

83'

Eldin Dzogovic

Enes Mahmutovic

substitution

83'

Mathias Olesen 

Florian Bohnert

substitution
yellowcard

Karol Mets

82'

substitution

Mihkel Ainsalu

Mattias Käit

80'

78'

Vahid Selimovic

yellowcard
yellowcard

Märten Kuusk

73'

73'

Timothé Rupil

Vincent Thill

substitution
substitution

Markus Soomets

Kevor Palumets

72'

68'

Omar Natami

yellowcard
substitution

Karel Mustmaa

Mattias Männilaan

66'

62'

Hamza Kadamani

Aiman Dardari

substitution

62'

Sébastien Thill

Enzo dos Santos

substitution

1st half 1-0

yellowcard

Jurgen Henn

43'

29'

Enes Mahmutovic

yellowcard

Rasmus Peetson  1-0

1-0

5'

Who will win ?

Estonia vs Luxembourg - Predictions

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Standings of Estonia and Luxembourg in UEFA Nations League

League C - Group 4 - Ranking

Team

1

Iceland

4

2

2

0

7:1

8

2

D
W
W
D
2

Estonia

4

1

3

0

2:1

6

1.5

D
D
W
D
3

Bulgaria

4

1

1

2

3:5

4

1

L
D
L
W
4

Luxembourg

4

1

0

3

2:7

3

0.75

W
L
L
L
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation Play-off

Last Matches

Estonia

First half results

1 Win
3 Draw
1 Loss

UEFA Nations League

10/03/2026 4:00 PM

Estonia

1-0

Luxembourg

UEFA Nations League

09/29/2026 6:45 PM

Bulgaria

0-0

Estonia

UEFA Nations League

09/26/2026 4:00 PM

Iceland

1-0

Estonia

Baltic Cup

06/09/2026 4:00 PM

Estonia

0-0

Lithuania

Baltic Cup

06/06/2026 3:00 PM

Estonia

0-0

Faroe Islands
Scored 1
Avg 0.2
Conceded 1
Avg 0.2
Estonia

Final results

3 Win
2 Draw
0 Loss

UEFA Nations League

10/03/2026 4:00 PM

Estonia

1-0

Luxembourg

UEFA Nations League

09/29/2026 6:45 PM

Bulgaria

0-0

Estonia

UEFA Nations League

09/26/2026 4:00 PM

Iceland

1-1

Estonia

Baltic Cup

06/09/2026 4:00 PM

Estonia

1-0

Lithuania

Baltic Cup

06/06/2026 3:00 PM

Estonia

1-0

Faroe Islands
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 1
Avg 0.2
Luxembourg

First half results

1 Win
2 Draw
2 Loss

UEFA Nations League

10/03/2026 4:00 PM

Estonia

1-0

Luxembourg

UEFA Nations League

09/29/2026 6:45 PM

Luxembourg

0-2

Iceland

UEFA Nations League

09/26/2026 4:00 PM

Bulgaria

1-1

Luxembourg

Friendly International

06/06/2026 6:00 PM

Albania

0-1

Luxembourg

Friendly International

06/03/2026 6:45 PM

Luxembourg

0-0

Italy
Scored 2
Avg 0.4
Conceded 4
Avg 0.8
Luxembourg

Final results

2 Win
0 Draw
3 Loss

UEFA Nations League

10/03/2026 4:00 PM

Estonia

1-0

Luxembourg

UEFA Nations League

09/29/2026 6:45 PM

Luxembourg

0-3

Iceland

UEFA Nations League

09/26/2026 4:00 PM

Bulgaria

1-2

Luxembourg

Friendly International

06/06/2026 6:00 PM

Albania

0-1

Luxembourg

Friendly International

06/03/2026 6:45 PM

Luxembourg

0-1

Italy
Scored 3
Avg 0.6
Conceded 6
Avg 1.2

Estonia vs Luxembourg: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Estonia

Luxembourg

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

100%

10

0%

0

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Estonia is 27%. The probability of a draw between Estonia and Luxembourg is 27%. The probability of winning for Luxembourg is 46%

The probability of both teams scoring is 48%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 52%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 45%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 55%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Estonia has seen under 2.5 goals 8 times, while Luxembourg has seen it 7 times

See more

Estonia vs Luxembourg: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Estonia – Luxembourg according to BetMines?
1: 27%
X: 27%
2: 46%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Estonia – Luxembourg?
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Estonia – Luxembourg?
Yes: 48%
No: 52%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Estonia – Luxembourg?
1) 1-1 (12.43%)
2) 0-1 (11.87%)
3) 1-0 (8.93%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Estonia – Luxembourg?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 75%

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