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France - Italy: stats and betting predictions

16.25 °C

UEFA Nations League - League A

France

1 - 1

Italy

Stade de France

Jesús Gil Manzano

Match Stats

France

Italy

65 %

Ball Possession

35 %

1.21

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

669

Accurate Passes

330

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

France

Italy

2nd half 1-1

90'+2'

Alessandro Bastoni

90'

Gianluca Scamacca

Nicolò Fagioli

Maxence Lacroix

Lucas Da Cunha

87'

Dayot Upamecano

85'

82'

Antonio Vergara

80'

Issa Doumbia

Davide Frattesi

80'

Daniel Maldini

Sebastiano Esposito

Bradley Barcola

Désiré Doué

76'

Eduardo Camavinga

Rayan Cherki

76'

73'

Moise Kean

Dayot Upamecano

73'

68'

Alessandro Bastoni 1-1

1-1

62'

Nicolò Barella

Sandro Tonali

62'

Antonio Vergara

Pio Esposito

Michael Olise 1-0

Rayan Cherki

1-0

55'

54'

Nicolò Fagioli

1st half 0-0

Who will win ?

France vs Italy - Predictions

Odds

Standings of France and Italy in UEFA Nations League

League A - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 France	4	3	1	0	7:2	10	2.5	W W D W
2 Italy	4	2	1	1	8:5	7	1.75	L W D W
3 Belgium	4	2	0	2	6:5	6	1.5	W L W L
4 Türkiye	4	0	0	4	2:11	0	0	L L L L

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

France

First half results

0 Win

3 Draw

2 Loss

UEFA Nations League

02/10/2026 18:45

France

0-0

Italy

UEFA Nations League

28/09/2026 18:45

Belgium

0-0

France

UEFA Nations League

25/09/2026 18:45

Türkiye

0-0

France

World Cup

18/07/2026 21:00

France

0-4

England

World Cup

14/07/2026 19:00

France

0-1

Spain

Scored 0

Avg 0.0

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

France

Final results

2 Win

1 Draw

2 Loss

UEFA Nations League

02/10/2026 18:45

France

1-1

Italy

UEFA Nations League

28/09/2026 18:45

Belgium

0-1

France

UEFA Nations League

25/09/2026 18:45

Türkiye

0-1

France

World Cup

18/07/2026 21:00

France

4-6

England

World Cup

14/07/2026 19:00

France

0-2

Spain

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 9

Avg 1.8

Italy

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

UEFA Nations League

02/10/2026 18:45

France

0-0

Italy

UEFA Nations League

28/09/2026 18:45

Türkiye

0-3

Italy

UEFA Nations League

25/09/2026 18:45

Italy

0-1

Belgium

Friendly International

07/06/2026 19:00

Greece

0-1

Italy

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-0

Italy

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Italy

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

UEFA Nations League

02/10/2026 18:45

France

1-1

Italy

UEFA Nations League

28/09/2026 18:45

Türkiye

1-4

Italy

UEFA Nations League

25/09/2026 18:45

Italy

0-2

Belgium

Friendly International

07/06/2026 19:00

Greece

0-1

Italy

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-1

Italy

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

France vs Italy: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

UEFA Nations League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

France

Italy

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

30%

70%

20%

80%

2.5

60%

40%

70%

30%

3.5

80%

20%

80%

20%

4.5

80%

20%

80%

20%

Trends

Events

Team

Italy

Italy haven't lost in in their last 7 away matches

7 / 7

Unbeaten

Italy

Italy haven't lost in in their last 6 away matches in UEFA Nations League

6 / 6

Unbeaten

Italy

Italy have won in 6 of their last 7 away matches

6 / 7

Wins

Italy

Italy have won in 5 of their last 6 away matches in UEFA Nations League

5 / 6

Wins

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

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Match preview

The probability of winning for France is 46%. The probability of a draw between France and Italy is 23%. The probability of winning for Italy is 31%

The probability of both teams scoring is 59%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 41%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 61%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 39%

In the last match on 02/10/2026, France drew with Italy with a score of 1-1

In the last match on 02/10/2026, Italy drew with France with a score of 1-1

In the last head-to-head on 17/11/2024, France defeated Italy away with a score of 1-3

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France has won 4 times, Italy has won 1 times, and they have drawn 0 times. France has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match, while Italy has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match.

France is currently in the 1th position in the UEFA Nations League league, while Italy is in the 3th position.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, France has won 3 times, lost 0 times, and drawn 1 times. France has scored an average of 1.75 goals per match and conceded 0.5 goals.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Italy has won 2 times, lost 1 times, and drawn 1 times. Italy has scored an average of 2 goals per match and conceded 1.25 goals.

In the last 5 matches, France has won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. France has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.8 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Italy has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. Italy has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 0.8 goals.

France vs Italy: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.

What are the 1X2 probabilities for France – Italy according to BetMines?

1: 46%
X: 23%
2: 31%

What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for France – Italy?

Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%

What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for France – Italy?

Yes: 59%
No: 41%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for France – Italy?

1) 1-1 (9.98%)
2) 2-1 (8.97%)
3) 1-0 (7.78%)

What is the BetMines prediction for France – Italy?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Double chance market is 12, with a probability of 77%