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Grêmio - São Paulo: stats and betting predictions

few clouds 28.62 °C
Serie A

Grêmio

D
L
W
W
W

2 - 1

FT

São Paulo

L
W
W
D
L
Arena do Grêmio
André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento

Match Stats

Grêmio

São Paulo

Corner

7

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

0

48 %

Ball Possession

52 %

Corner

7

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

1.61

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) shows how dangerous a team's chances were. Each shot gets a value based on details such as distance, angle and shot type. Adding those values gives the team's total xG for the match.

1.69

12

Total Shots

17

5

Ongoal Shots

5

42

Dangerous Attacks

40

12

Fouls

19

365

Accurate Passes

394

3

Big Chances Created

5

2

Big Chances Missed

4

Corner

7

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

0

Corner

7

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

Match Data

Grêmio

São Paulo

2nd half 2-1

90'+5'

Robert Arboleda

yellowcard
yellowcard

Walter Kannemann 

90'+5'

90'+2'

André Silva

yellowcard
substitution

Walter Kannemann 

Mathías Villasanti 

90'+1'

substitution

Leonel Pérez

Cristian Pavón

90'+1'

yellowcard

Marlon 

90'+1'

89'

Victor Sá

Wendell

substitution

89'

Gustavo Santana

Pablo Maia

substitution

Cristian Pavón 2-1

2-1

86'

yellowcard

Diego Caito

81'

substitution

Martin Braithwaite

Carlos Vinícius

78'

77'

André Silva

Jonathan Calleri 

substitution

75'

Luciano

yellowcard

71'

Cauly

Ferreirinha

substitution

70'

Damián Bobadilla

Danielzinho

substitution
substitution

Dodi

Juan Nardoni

54'

Wallace 1-1

Carlos Vinícius

1-1

48'

substitution

Francis Amuzu

Jovane Cabral

46'

1st half 0-1

yellowcard

Mathías Villasanti 

45'+5'

45'+2'

Marcos Antônio 0-1

Luciano

0-1

Who will win ?

Grêmio vs São Paulo - Predictions

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Standings of Grêmio and São Paulo in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Flamengo

33

22

7

4

68:28

73

2.21

D
W
W
W
W
2

Palmeiras

33

20

10

3

56:22

70

2.12

W
W
W
W
D
3

Cruzeiro

33

17

6

10

52:46

57

1.73

W
L
W
W
W
4

Fluminense

33

15

9

9

52:42

54

1.64

W
L
L
L
W
5

Athletico PR

33

15

9

9

50:40

54

1.64

D
W
L
D
L
6

Bahia

33

14

11

8

48:42

53

1.61

L
W
L
D
W
7

Atlético Mineiro

33

14

8

11

44:39

50

1.52

D
W
W
L
L
8

Santos

33

12

11

10

49:47

47

1.42

D
L
W
D
D
9

Bragantino

33

12

8

13

42:38

44

1.33

D
W
D
L
W
10

São Paulo

33

12

7

14

39:39

43

1.3

L
W
W
D
L
11

Coritiba

33

11

9

13

40:50

42

1.27

L
D
L
L
W
12

Botafogo

33

10

9

14

45:53

39

1.18

L
D
W
L
L
13

Vasco da Gama

32

10

8

14

40:49

38

1.19

W
D
L
W
L
14

Vitória

33

10

8

15

35:48

38

1.15

W
L
D
D
L
15

Grêmio

33

9

10

14

37:44

37

1.12

D
D
L
W
W
16

Mirassol

33

9

10

14

37:47

37

1.12

D
L
W
D
L
17

Corinthians

33

9

9

15

36:42

36

1.09

L
L
D
L
W
18

Internacional

33

8

11

14

37:42

35

1.06

W
D
L
W
L
19

Remo

33

6

11

16

36:51

29

0.88

D
D
D
L
W
20

Chapecoense

32

4

9

19

32:66

21

0.66

L
L
L
W
L
CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Relegation

Last Matches

Grêmio

First half results

3 Win
1 Draw
1 Loss

Copa do Brasil

01/11/2026 21:30

Grêmio

1-0

Atlético Mineiro

Serie A

30/10/2026 00:30

Grêmio

1-0

Athletico PR

Serie A

26/10/2026 22:30

Coritiba

0-0

Grêmio

Serie A

18/10/2026 19:00

Grêmio

2-1

Cruzeiro

Serie A

11/10/2026 20:30

Grêmio

0-1

Internacional
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 2
Avg 0.4
Grêmio

Final results

3 Win
1 Draw
1 Loss

Copa do Brasil

01/11/2026 21:30

Grêmio

2-0

Atlético Mineiro

Serie A

30/10/2026 00:30

Grêmio

2-0

Athletico PR

Serie A

26/10/2026 22:30

Coritiba

0-1

Grêmio

Serie A

18/10/2026 19:00

Grêmio

2-4

Cruzeiro

Serie A

11/10/2026 20:30

Grêmio

1-1

Internacional
Scored 8
Avg 1.6
Conceded 5
Avg 1.0
São Paulo

First half results

0 Win
4 Draw
1 Loss

Serie A

29/10/2026 00:30

Bahia

2-2

São Paulo

Serie A

24/10/2026 19:30

Mirassol

1-1

São Paulo

Serie A

18/10/2026 00:00

São Paulo

0-0

Vasco da Gama

Serie A

11/10/2026 00:00

São Paulo

1-1

Vitória

Serie A

08/10/2026 00:30

Cruzeiro

1-0

São Paulo
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 5
Avg 1.0
São Paulo

Final results

2 Win
1 Draw
2 Loss

Serie A

29/10/2026 00:30

Bahia

3-2

São Paulo

Serie A

24/10/2026 19:30

Mirassol

1-1

São Paulo

Serie A

18/10/2026 00:00

São Paulo

1-0

Vasco da Gama

Serie A

11/10/2026 00:00

São Paulo

2-1

Vitória

Serie A

08/10/2026 00:30

Cruzeiro

2-0

São Paulo
Scored 6
Avg 1.2
Conceded 7
Avg 1.4

Grêmio vs São Paulo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Grêmio

São Paulo

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Grêmio is 49%. The probability of a draw between Grêmio and São Paulo is 27%. The probability of winning for São Paulo is 25%

The probability of both teams scoring is 49%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 51%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 49%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 51%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Grêmio has seen under 2.5 goals 7 times, while São Paulo has seen it 7 times

See more

Grêmio vs São Paulo: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Grêmio – São Paulo according to BetMines?
1: 49%
X: 27%
2: 25%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Grêmio – São Paulo?
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Grêmio – São Paulo?
Yes: 49%
No: 51%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Grêmio – São Paulo?
1) 1-0 (12.75%)
2) 1-1 (12.63%)
3) 2-1 (9.92%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Grêmio – São Paulo?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 70%

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