What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Independiente – Vélez Sarsfield?

Over 2.5: 35%</br>Under 2.5: 65%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Independiente – Vélez Sarsfield?

1) 1-0 (15.55%)</br>2) 1-1 (12.98%)</br>3) 0-0 (11.7%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Independiente – Vélez Sarsfield?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 83%

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield: match statistics and data

°C

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - 1st Phase

Independiente

1 - 1

Vélez Sarsfield

Estadio Libertadores de América

Hernán Mastrángelo

Match Stats

Independiente

Vélez Sarsfield

53 %

Ball Possession

47 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

241

Accurate Passes

174

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Independiente

Vélez Sarsfield

2nd half 1-1

Ignacio Pussetto

Matías Abaldo

83'

75'

Á. Verón

Matías Pellegrini

75'

Rodrigo Aliendro

Claudio Baeza

64'

Florián Monzón

Dilan Godoy

63'

Lucas Robertone

Manuel Lanzini

Kevin Lomónaco

59'

54'

Guillermo Schelotto

Lautaro Millán

Luciano Cabral

46'

Facundo Zabala

Milton Valenzuela

46'

1st half 1-1

Jano Gordon
1-1

32'

31'

Jano Gordon
0-1

28'

Claudio Baeza

Who will win ?

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Independiente and Vélez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1st Phase - Group B - Ranking

Team
1 Independiente Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	34	2.13	W W D W D
2 River Plate	16	9	2	5	22:12	29	1.81	W W L W L
3 Argentinos Juniors	16	8	5	3	17:13	29	1.81	W L W W L
4 Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	28	1.75	W L W W D
5 Belgrano	16	7	5	4	17:13	26	1.63	L W D L W
6 Gimnasia La Plata	16	8	2	6	19:19	26	1.63	L W W W W
7 Huracán	16	5	7	4	17:13	22	1.38	W W D L D
8 Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17:15	21	1.31	L L D D D
9 Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	21	1.31	L W D D L
10 Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	20	1.25	L D D L D
11 Sarmiento	16	6	1	9	13:20	19	1.19	W L L W L
12 Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	18	1.13	L L D D W
13 Atlético Tucumán	16	3	5	8	15:20	14	0.88	L D L D W
14 Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	8	0.5	D L D L D
15 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	5	0.31	D L L L L

8th Finals

1st Phase - Group A - Ranking

Team
1 Estudiantes	16	9	4	3	19:7	31	1.94	L W W D W
2 Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	30	1.88	W D W W W
3 Vélez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	28	1.75	L W D D D
4 Talleres Córdoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	26	1.63	L W W D D
5 Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	24	1.5	L D W L W
6 Lanús	16	6	6	4	18:15	24	1.5	W D L D D
7 San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	22	1.38	W D D W L
8 Unión Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	21	1.31	W L L D D
9 Instituto	16	6	3	7	17:17	21	1.31	W W L D W
10 Defensa y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	19	1.19	L L L L L
11 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza	16	5	4	7	14:22	19	1.19	W D W L W
12 Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	16	1	D D L L L
13 Central Cordoba SdE	16	4	4	8	11:21	16	1	L L W D L
14 Newell's Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	15	0.94	W D W D D
15 Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	11	0.69	L L L W D

8th Finals

2nd Phase - Group B - Ranking

Team
1 Aldosivi	0:0	-	-
2 Argentinos Juniors	0:0	-	-
3 Atlético Tucumán	0:0	-	-
4 Banfield	0:0	-	-
5 Barracas Central	0:0	-	-
6 Belgrano	0:0	-	-
7 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0	-	-
8 Gimnasia La Plata	0:0	-	-
9 Huracán	0:0	-	-
10 Independiente Rivadavia	0:0	-	-
11 Racing Club	0:0	-	-
12 River Plate	0:0	-	-
13 Rosario Central	0:0	-	-
14 Sarmiento	0:0	-	-
15 Tigre	0:0	-	-

8th Finals

2nd Phase - Group A - Ranking

Team
1 Boca Juniors	0:0	-	-
2 Central Cordoba SdE	0:0	-	-
3 Defensa y Justicia	0:0	-	-
4 Deportivo Riestra	0:0	-	-
5 Estudiantes	0:0	-	-
6 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza	0:0	-	-
7 Independiente	0:0	-	-
8 Instituto	0:0	-	-
9 Lanús	0:0	-	-
10 Newell's Old Boys	0:0	-	-
11 Platense	0:0	-	-
12 San Lorenzo	0:0	-	-
13 Talleres Córdoba	0:0	-	-
14 Unión Santa Fe	0:0	-	-
15 Vélez Sarsfield	0:0	-	-

8th Finals

Last Matches

Independiente

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

10/05/2026 18:00

Rosario Central

1-1

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

02/05/2026 21:45

San Lorenzo

0-1

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

24/04/2026 20:00

Deportivo Riestra

1-0

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

18/04/2026 22:30

Independiente

2-1

Defensa y Justicia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

11/04/2026 22:30

Boca Juniors

1-1

Independiente

Scored 5

Avg 1.0

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Independiente

Final results

2 Win

1 Draw

2 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

10/05/2026 18:00

Rosario Central

3-1

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

02/05/2026 21:45

San Lorenzo

1-2

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

24/04/2026 20:00

Deportivo Riestra

2-0

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

18/04/2026 22:30

Independiente

3-1

Defensa y Justicia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

11/04/2026 22:30

Boca Juniors

1-1

Independiente

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 8

Avg 1.6

Vélez Sarsfield

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

04/05/2026 22:15

Vélez Sarsfield

0-0

Newell's Old Boys

Copa Argentina

01/05/2026 00:15

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

27/04/2026 21:45

Vélez Sarsfield

2-1

Unión Santa Fe

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

20/04/2026 22:30

San Lorenzo

0-0

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

14/04/2026 00:30

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Central Cordoba SdE

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Vélez Sarsfield

Final results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

04/05/2026 22:15

Vélez Sarsfield

1-1

Newell's Old Boys

Copa Argentina

01/05/2026 00:15

Vélez Sarsfield

2-0

Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

27/04/2026 21:45

Vélez Sarsfield

2-2

Unión Santa Fe

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

20/04/2026 22:30

San Lorenzo

0-0

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

14/04/2026 00:30

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Central Cordoba SdE

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Independiente

Vélez Sarsfield

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

10%

90%

1.5

10%

90%

30%

70%

2.5

30%

70%

30%

3.5

60%

40%

70%

30%

4.5

80%

20%

80%

20%

Trends

Events

Team

Independiente

Independiente haven't lost in their last 6 matches in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

6 / 6

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Independiente and Vélez Sarsfield will face each other on 31/01/2026 at 22:45 at Estadio Libertadores de América stadium (Avellaneda). The match is part of Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The referee for the match is Hernán Mastrángelo.

The probability of winning for Independiente is 46%. The probability of a draw between Independiente and Vélez Sarsfield is 28%. The probability of winning for Vélez Sarsfield is 26%

The probability of both teams scoring is 42%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 58%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 35%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 65%

In the last match on 10/05/2026, Independiente lost to Rosario Central with a score of 3-1

In the last match on 04/05/2026, Vélez Sarsfield drew with Newell's Old Boys with a score of 1-1

In the last head-to-head on 16/08/2025, Vélez Sarsfield defeated Independiente at home with a score of 2-1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente has won 2 times, Vélez Sarsfield has won 2 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Independiente has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Vélez Sarsfield has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match.

Independiente is currently in the 10th position in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol league, while Vélez Sarsfield is in the 2th position.

In this season of Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Independiente has won 6 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 6 times. Independiente has scored an average of 1.47 goals per match and conceded 1.35 goals.

In this season of Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Vélez Sarsfield has won 7 times, lost 3 times, and drawn 7 times. Vélez Sarsfield has scored an average of 1.06 goals per match and conceded 0.76 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Independiente has won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. Independiente has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Vélez Sarsfield has won 2 times, lost 0 times and drawn 3 times. Vélez Sarsfield has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 0.6 goals.

Independiente - Vélez Sarsfield: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Independiente and Vélez Sarsfield in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Last Matches

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield: Frequently asked questions