What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Italy – Belgium?

Over 2.5: 51%</br>Under 2.5: 49%

What is the BetMines prediction for Italy – Belgium?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 80%

Italy vs Belgium: match statistics and data

Match Stats

Italy

Belgium

0

5

2

1

38 %

Ball Possession

62 %

12

5

1

0

9

Total Shots

12

3

Ongoal Shots

4

15

Dangerous Attacks

71

11

Fouls

15

304

Accurate Passes

514

0

Big Chances Created

0

Big Chances Missed

0

5

2

1

12

5

1

0

Match Data

Italy

Belgium

2nd half 2-2

N. Pisilli

90'+6'

R. Bellanova

D. Frattesi

90'

G. Donnarumma

90'

87'

C. Ngonge

L. Openda

87'

M. Fofana

J. Doku

G. Raspadori

M. Retegui

80'

N. Pisilli

S. Tonali

80'

D. Udogie

S. Ricci

70'

N. Fagioli

F. Dimarco

70'

69'

A. Vranckx

A. Theate

68'

D. Lukébakio

C. De Ketelaere

68'

T. Castagne

O. Mangala

65'

L. Trossard

61'

L. Trossard
2-2

1st half 2-1

42'

M. De Cuyper
2-1

L. Pellegrini

40'

L. Pellegrini

40'

M. Retegui
2-0

24'

A. Cambiaso
1-0

1'

Who will win ?

Italy vs Belgium - Predictions

Odds

Last Matches

Italy

First half results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Friendly International

06/03/2026 6:45 PM

Luxembourg

0-0

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

03/31/2026 6:45 PM

Bosnia and Herzegovina

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

03/26/2026 7:45 PM

Italy

0-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

11/16/2025 7:45 PM

Italy

1-0

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

11/13/2025 7:45 PM

Moldova

0-0

Italy

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 0

Avg 0.0

Italy

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

Friendly International

06/03/2026 6:45 PM

Luxembourg

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

03/31/2026 6:45 PM

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

03/26/2026 7:45 PM

Italy

2-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

11/16/2025 7:45 PM

Italy

1-4

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

11/13/2025 7:45 PM

Moldova

0-2

Italy

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Belgium

First half results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

Friendly International

06/06/2026 1:00 PM

Belgium

1-0

Tunisia

Friendly International

06/02/2026 4:00 PM

Croatia

0-1

Belgium

Friendly International

04/01/2026 1:00 AM

Mexico

1-0

Belgium

Friendly International

03/28/2026 7:30 PM

United States

1-1

Belgium

WC Qualification Europe

11/18/2025 7:45 PM

Belgium

3-0

Liechtenstein

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Belgium

Final results

4 Win

1 Draw

0 Loss

Friendly International

06/06/2026 1:00 PM

Belgium

5-0

Tunisia

Friendly International

06/02/2026 4:00 PM

Croatia

0-2

Belgium

Friendly International

04/01/2026 1:00 AM

Mexico

1-1

Belgium

Friendly International

03/28/2026 7:30 PM

United States

2-5

Belgium

WC Qualification Europe

11/18/2025 7:45 PM

Belgium

7-0

Liechtenstein

Scored 20

Avg 4.0

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Italy vs Belgium: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

UEFA Nations League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Italy

Belgium

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

40%

4

60%

6

Trends

Events

Team

Italy

Italy have won their last 4 home matches

4 / 4

Wins

Italy

Italy haven't lost in 7 of their last 8 home matches in UEFA Nations League

7 / 8

Unbeaten

Italy

Italy have won in 5 of their last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League

5 / 6

Wins

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Italy and Belgium will face each other on 10/10/2024 at 6:45 PM at Stadio Olimpico stadium (Romagnano Sesia). The match is part of UEFA Nations League. The referee for the match is Espen Eskås.

The probability of winning for Italy is 63%. The probability of a draw between Italy and Belgium is 22%. The probability of winning for Belgium is 16%

The probability of both teams scoring is 47%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 53%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 51%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 49%

In the last match on 06/03/2026, Italy defeated Luxembourg with a score of 0-1

In the last match on 06/06/2026, Belgium defeated Tunisia with a score of 5-0

In the last head-to-head on 10/10/2021, Italy defeated Belgium at home with a score of 2-1

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Italy has won 1 times, Belgium has won 0 times, and they have drawn 0 times. Italy has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Belgium has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match.

Italy is currently in the 1th position in the UEFA Nations League league, while Belgium is in the 3th position.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Italy has won 4 times, lost 2 times, and drawn 2 times. Italy has scored an average of 2.13 goals per match and conceded 1.63 goals.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Belgium has won 2 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 1 times. Belgium has scored an average of 1.25 goals per match and conceded 1.5 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Italy has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. Italy has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Belgium has won 4 times, lost 0 times and drawn 1 times. Belgium has scored an average of 4.0 goals per match and conceded 0.6 goals.

Italy - Belgium: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Italy vs Belgium - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Italy and Belgium in UEFA Nations League

Last Matches

Italy vs Belgium: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Italy vs Belgium: Frequently asked questions