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León - Toluca: stats and betting predictions

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Liga MX - Apertura

León

Toluca

Estadio León

Who will win ?

Match preview

The probability of winning for León is 31%. The probability of a draw between León and Toluca is 25%. The probability of winning for Toluca is 44%

The probability of both teams scoring is 60%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 40%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 57%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 43%

In the last match on 10/21/2026, León defeated Tigres UANL with a score of 0-2

In the last match on 10/18/2026, Toluca drew with Atlético San Luis with a score of 1-1

In the last head-to-head on 09/03/2026, Toluca defeated León at home with a score of 2-0

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León has won 0 times, Toluca has won 3 times, and they have drawn 2 times. León has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Toluca has scored an average of 3.0 goals per match.

León is currently in the 5th position in the Liga MX league, while Toluca is in the 4th position.

In this season of Liga MX, León has won 6 times, lost 4 times, and drawn 3 times. León has scored an average of 1.54 goals per match and conceded 1.31 goals.

In this season of Liga MX, Toluca has won 6 times, lost 3 times, and drawn 3 times. Toluca has scored an average of 2.17 goals per match and conceded 1.33 goals.

In the last 5 matches, León has won 2 times, lost 1 times and drawn 2 times. León has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Toluca has won 1 times, lost 2 times and drawn 2 times. Toluca has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 2.0 goals.

León vs Toluca - Predictions

Odds

Standings of León and Toluca in Liga MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team
1 América	12	8	3	1	32:16	27	2.25	D W D W W
2 Guadalajara	13	6	5	2	20:12	23	1.77	D L D D W
3 Toluca	13	6	4	3	28:18	22	1.69	L D L D D
4 León	13	6	3	4	20:17	21	1.62	D W D L W
5 Atlas	13	6	3	4	21:23	21	1.62	D W D W L
6 Cruz Azul	12	6	2	4	27:21	20	1.67	W L D D W
7 Monterrey	12	6	2	4	23:17	20	1.67	W L D W W
8 Querétaro	12	6	2	4	16:15	20	1.67	D W W L L
9 Tijuana	12	4	5	3	17:16	17	1.42	D L D D D
10 Santos Laguna	12	5	1	6	17:16	16	1.33	W W W W W
11 Pumas UNAM	12	4	4	4	19:20	16	1.33	L D L D W
12 Atlético San Luis	13	4	4	5	18:22	16	1.23	W W L D W
13 Puebla	13	4	4	5	13:17	16	1.23	D L D D L
14 Tigres UANL	13	3	5	5	14:18	14	1.08	L W W D L
15 Atlante	13	3	5	5	14:19	14	1.08	D W L L W
16 Pachuca	12	3	4	5	19:16	13	1.08	W D L D L
17 Necaxa	13	2	3	8	15:26	9	0.69	L L D L L
18 Juárez	13	1	1	11	8:32	4	0.31	W L D L L

Final Series Play-offs

Last Matches

León

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Liga MX

10/21/2026 3:10 AM

Tigres UANL

0-1

León

Liga MX

10/18/2026 1:00 AM

León

0-2

América

Liga MX

10/10/2026 1:00 AM

Puebla

0-1

León

Liga MX

09/28/2026 1:00 AM

León

0-0

Juárez

Liga MX

09/21/2026 2:10 AM

Querétaro

0-0

León

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

León

Final results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Liga MX

10/21/2026 3:10 AM

Tigres UANL

0-2

León

Liga MX

10/18/2026 1:00 AM

León

3-5

América

Liga MX

10/10/2026 1:00 AM

Puebla

1-1

León

Liga MX

09/28/2026 1:00 AM

León

2-1

Juárez

Liga MX

09/21/2026 2:10 AM

Querétaro

1-1

León

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 8

Avg 1.6

Toluca

First half results

1 Win

2 Draw

2 Loss

Liga MX

10/18/2026 1:00 AM

Toluca

0-0

Atlético San Luis

Liga MX

10/10/2026 3:00 AM

Tigres UANL

2-1

Toluca

Liga MX

09/26/2026 10:50 PM

Cruz Azul

2-0

Toluca

Liga MX

09/21/2026 12:00 AM

Toluca

2-1

Santos Laguna

Liga MX

09/16/2026 1:00 AM

Puebla

0-0

Toluca

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Toluca

Final results

1 Win

2 Draw

2 Loss

Liga MX

10/18/2026 1:00 AM

Toluca

1-1

Atlético San Luis

Liga MX

10/10/2026 3:00 AM

Tigres UANL

3-2

Toluca

Liga MX

09/26/2026 10:50 PM

Cruz Azul

3-3

Toluca

Liga MX

09/21/2026 12:00 AM

Toluca

2-3

Santos Laguna

Liga MX

09/16/2026 1:00 AM

Puebla

0-1

Toluca

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 10

Avg 2.0

León vs Toluca: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Liga MX

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

León

Toluca

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

10%

90%

10%

90%

2.5

70%

30%

50%

3.5

80%

20%

50%

4.5

90%

10%

60%

40%

Trends

Events

Team

No trends...

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León vs Toluca: Frequently asked questions

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What are the 1X2 probabilities for León – Toluca according to BetMines?

1: 31%
X: 25%
2: 44%

What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for León – Toluca?

Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for León – Toluca?

Yes: 60%
No: 40%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for León – Toluca?

1) 1-1 (11.03%)
2) 1-2 (9.42%)
3) 0-1 (8.24%)

What is the BetMines prediction for León – Toluca?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 79%