What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Manchester City – Newcastle United?

Over 2.5: 55%</br>Under 2.5: 45%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Manchester City – Newcastle United?

1) 2-1 (10.73%)</br>2) 2-0 (9.5%)</br>3) 1-1 (9.06%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Manchester City – Newcastle United?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 83%

Manchester City vs Newcastle United: match statistics and data

Match Stats

Manchester City

Newcastle United

5

5

3

0

63 %

Ball Possession

37 %

4

5

0

18

Total Shots

12

8

Ongoal Shots

5

38

Dangerous Attacks

33

13

Fouls

14

586

Accurate Passes

319

5

Big Chances Created

4

3

Big Chances Missed

4

5

3

0

4

5

0

Match Data

Manchester City

Newcastle United

2nd half 3-1

Rodri

90'+1'

Rico Lewis

Nico González

83'

Nico González

78'

76'

William Osula

Kieran Trippier

Rayan Cherki

Phil Foden

72'

Rodri

Nico O'Reilly

71'

Erling Haaland

Antoine Semenyo

71'

62'

Anthony Elanga
3-1

46'

Jacob Murphy

Lewis Hall

46'

Yoane Wissa

Nick Woltemade

46'

Anthony Elanga

Joe Willock

Max Alleyne

Nathan Aké

46'

1st half 3-0

44'

Harvey Barnes

Anthony Gordon

Tijjani Reijnders
3-0

32'

Omar Marmoush
2-0

29'

Matheus Nunes

27'

Omar Marmoush
1-0

7'

Who will win ?

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Predictions

Odds

Last Matches

Manchester City

First half results

2 Win

0 Draw

3 Loss

Premier League

28/08/2026 19:00

Crystal Palace

0-1

Manchester City

Premier League

23/08/2026 13:00

Manchester City

0-1

AFC Bournemouth

Community Shield

16/08/2026 14:00

Arsenal

2-0

Manchester City

Club Friendlies 1

09/08/2026 11:00

Manchester City

0-1

Atlético de Madrid

Hybrid Friendlies

05/08/2026 11:00

K-League XI

1-3

Manchester City

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Manchester City

Final results

4 Win

0 Draw

1 Loss

Premier League

28/08/2026 19:00

Crystal Palace

1-4

Manchester City

Premier League

23/08/2026 13:00

Manchester City

2-1

AFC Bournemouth

Community Shield

16/08/2026 14:00

Arsenal

3-0

Manchester City

Club Friendlies 1

09/08/2026 11:00

Manchester City

3-1

Atlético de Madrid

Hybrid Friendlies

05/08/2026 11:00

K-League XI

1-3

Manchester City

Scored 12

Avg 2.4

Conceded 7

Avg 1.4

Newcastle United

First half results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Premier League

29/08/2026 16:30

Tottenham Hotspur

0-0

Newcastle United

Carabao Cup

26/08/2026 18:45

Newcastle United

1-1

West Bromwich Albion

Premier League

23/08/2026 15:30

Newcastle United

1-0

Liverpool

Club Friendlies 3

16/08/2026 15:00

Newcastle United

1-0

Strasbourg

Club Friendlies 3

15/08/2026 14:00

Newcastle United

1-1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Newcastle United

Final results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Premier League

29/08/2026 16:30

Tottenham Hotspur

0-2

Newcastle United

Carabao Cup

26/08/2026 18:45

Newcastle United

3-2

West Bromwich Albion

Premier League

23/08/2026 15:30

Newcastle United

2-2

Liverpool

Club Friendlies 3

16/08/2026 15:00

Newcastle United

1-1

Strasbourg

Club Friendlies 3

15/08/2026 14:00

Newcastle United

1-2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 7

Avg 1.4

Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Carabao Cup

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Manchester City

Newcastle United

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

Trends

Events

Team

Manchester City

Manchester City haven't lost in their last 9 home matches

9 / 9

Unbeaten

Manchester City

Manchester City have won their last 4 matches in Carabao Cup

4 / 4

Wins

Newcastle United

Newcastle United haven't lost in 13 of their last 14 matches in Carabao Cup

13 / 14

Unbeaten

Newcastle United

Newcastle United have won in 9 of their last 10 matches in Carabao Cup

9 / 10

Wins

Manchester City

Manchester City haven't lost in 16 of their last 18 matches

16 / 18

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Manchester City and Newcastle United will face each other on 04/02/2026 at 20:00 at Etihad Stadium stadium (Manchester). The match is part of Carabao Cup. The referee for the match is Tony Harrington.

The probability of winning for Manchester City is 61%. The probability of a draw between Manchester City and Newcastle United is 19%. The probability of winning for Newcastle United is 19%

The probability of both teams scoring is 55%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 45%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 55%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 45%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Manchester City has seen over 2.5 goals 7 times, while Newcastle United has seen it 7 times

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Manchester City has seen both teams score 7 times, while Newcastle United has seen it 8 times

In the last match on 28/08/2026, Manchester City defeated Crystal Palace with a score of 1-4

In the last match on 29/08/2026, Newcastle United defeated Tottenham Hotspur with a score of 0-2

In the last head-to-head on 13/01/2026, Manchester City defeated Newcastle United away with a score of 0-2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City has won 3 times, Newcastle United has won 1 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Manchester City has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Newcastle United has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match.

Manchester City is currently in the 1th position in the Carabao Cup league, while Newcastle United is in the 2th position.

In this season of Carabao Cup, Manchester City has won 6 times, lost 0 times, and drawn 0 times. Manchester City has scored an average of 2.33 goals per match and conceded 0.33 goals.

In this season of Carabao Cup, Newcastle United has won 3 times, lost 2 times, and drawn 0 times. Newcastle United has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Manchester City has won 4 times, lost 1 times and drawn 0 times. Manchester City has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Newcastle United has won 2 times, lost 1 times and drawn 2 times. Newcastle United has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.

Manchester City - Newcastle United: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Manchester City and Newcastle United in Carabao Cup

Last Matches

Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Frequently asked questions