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Manchester City - Real Madrid: stats and betting predictions

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Champions League  -  8th Finals

Manchester City

W
W
W
L
W

1 - 2

FT

Real Madrid

W
W
L
W
W
Etihad Stadium
Clément Turpin

Match Stats

Manchester City

Real Madrid

Corner

9

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

1

47 %

Ball Possession

53 %

Corner

6

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

22

Total Shots

14

8

Ongoal Shots

7

74

Dangerous Attacks

34

6

Fouls

7

444

Accurate Passes

504

2

Big Chances Created

6

1

Big Chances Missed

4

Corner

9

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

1

Corner

6

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

Match Data

Manchester City

Real Madrid

2nd half 1-2

90'+3'

Vinicius Junior 1-2

Aurélien Tchouaméni

1-2

90'+2'

Goal Disallowed

Vinicius Junior

var

83'

Daniel Carvajal 

Trent Alexander-Arnold 

substitution

80'

Trent Alexander-Arnold 

yellowcard

76'

Kylian Mbappé

yellowcard

76'

Pep Guardiola

yellowcard
substitution


74'

74'

Manuel Ángel Morán

Thiago Pitarch

substitution

74'


substitution

69'

Kylian Mbappé

Brahim Díaz

substitution
substitution

Antoine Semenyo

Matheus Nunes

57'

substitution

Omar Marmoush

Erling Haaland

56'

substitution

Nathan Aké

Tijjani Reijnders

46'

substitution

Marc Guéhi

Rúben Dias 

46'

46'

Andriy Lunin

Thibaut Courtois

substitution

1st half 1-1

yellowcard

Abdukodir Khusanov

45'+4'

Erling Haaland 1-1

1-1

41'

yellowcard

Pep Guardiola

25'

22'

Vinicius Junior
0-1

penalty
redcard

Bernardo Silva  

20'

20'

Penalty awarded

Vinicius Junior

var

Who will win ?

Manchester City vs Real Madrid - Predictions

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Standings of Manchester City and Real Madrid in Champions League

League Stage - Ranking

Team

1

Paris Saint Germain

2

2

0

0

10:3

6

3

W
W
2

FC Barcelona

2

2

0

0

9:2

6

3

W
W
3

Aston Villa

2

2

0

0

9:2

6

3

W
W
4

VfB Stuttgart

2

2

0

0

6:1

6

3

W
W
5

Liverpool

2

2

0

0

8:4

6

3

W
W
6

Sporting CP

2

2

0

0

5:1

6

3

W
W
7

Arsenal

2

2

0

0

4:0

6

3

W
W
8

Real Madrid

2

2

0

0

6:4

6

3

W
W
9

Real Betis

2

2

0

0

6:4

6

3

W
W
10

FC Bayern München

2

1

1

0

8:3

4

2

W
D
11

Shakhtar Donetsk

2

1

1

0

4:2

4

2

D
W
12

Como

2

1

0

1

6:4

3

1.5

W
L
13

Manchester United

2

1

0

1

4:2

3

1.5

W
L
14

Villarreal

2

1

0

1

5:4

3

1.5

L
W
15

Atlético de Madrid

2

1

0

1

3:2

3

1.5

L
W
16

Club Brugge

2

1

0

1

6:6

3

1.5

L
W
17

Manchester City

2

1

0

1

4:4

3

1.5

W
L
18

Borussia Dortmund

2

1

0

1

3:3

3

1.5

W
L
19

Lens

2

1

0

1

3:4

3

1.5

W
L
20

AEK Athens

2

1

0

1

2:3

3

1.5

W
L
21

RB Leipzig

2

1

0

1

2:4

3

1.5

L
W
22

Sabah

2

1

0

1

2:4

3

1.5

L
W
23

Feyenoord

2

1

0

1

4:7

3

1.5

L
W
24

Bodø / Glimt

2

1

0

1

1:5

3

1.5

L
W
25

Roma

2

0

1

1

4:5

1

0.5

D
L
26

PSV

2

0

1

1

1:2

1

0.5

D
L
27

Viking

2

0

1

1

4:6

1

0.5

L
D
28

Fenerbahçe

2

0

1

1

1:7

1

0.5

D
L
29

Inter

2

0

0

2

4:6

0

0

L
L
30

Porto

2

0

0

2

2:5

0

0

L
L
31

Slavia Praha

2

0

0

2

2:5

0

0

L
L
32

Napoli

2

0

0

2

1:4

0

0

L
L
33

LASK

2

0

0

2

3:7

0

0

L
L
34

LOSC Lille

2

0

0

2

2:6

0

0

L
L
35

Galatasaray

2

0

0

2

2:7

0

0

L
L
36

Slovan Bratislava

2

0

0

2

1:9

0

0

L
L
8th Finals
Play-off

Last Matches

Manchester City

First half results

3 Win
1 Draw
1 Loss

Premier League

17/10/2026 14:00

Manchester City

2-1

Ipswich Town

Champions League

14/10/2026 19:00

Manchester City

0-3

Paris Saint Germain

Premier League

11/10/2026 15:30

Liverpool

0-0

Manchester City

Premier League

20/09/2026 13:00

Manchester City

3-2

Sunderland

Carabao Cup

17/09/2026 18:30

Manchester City

2-0

Norwich City
Scored 7
Avg 1.4
Conceded 6
Avg 1.2
Manchester City

Final results

4 Win
0 Draw
1 Loss

Premier League

17/10/2026 14:00

Manchester City

3-2

Ipswich Town

Champions League

14/10/2026 19:00

Manchester City

2-4

Paris Saint Germain

Premier League

11/10/2026 15:30

Liverpool

0-3

Manchester City

Premier League

20/09/2026 13:00

Manchester City

5-3

Sunderland

Carabao Cup

17/09/2026 18:30

Manchester City

5-0

Norwich City
Scored 18
Avg 3.6
Conceded 9
Avg 1.8
Real Madrid

First half results

2 Win
3 Draw
0 Loss

Champions League

14/10/2026 19:00

Roma

1-1

Real Madrid

La Liga

10/10/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

0-0

Villarreal

La Liga

20/09/2026 14:15

Atlético de Madrid

0-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

15/09/2026 19:30

Elche

0-2

Real Madrid

La Liga

12/09/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

3-0

Rayo Vallecano
Scored 6
Avg 1.2
Conceded 1
Avg 0.2
Real Madrid

Final results

4 Win
0 Draw
1 Loss

Champions League

14/10/2026 19:00

Roma

3-4

Real Madrid

La Liga

10/10/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

1-0

Villarreal

La Liga

20/09/2026 14:15

Atlético de Madrid

2-1

Real Madrid

La Liga

15/09/2026 19:30

Elche

2-3

Real Madrid

La Liga

12/09/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

4-1

Rayo Vallecano
Scored 13
Avg 2.6
Conceded 8
Avg 1.6

Manchester City vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Manchester City

Real Madrid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Manchester City is 49%. The probability of a draw between Manchester City and Real Madrid is 23%. The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 28%

The probability of both teams scoring is 58%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 42%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 58%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 42%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Manchester City has seen over 2.5 goals 7 times, while Real Madrid has seen it 8 times

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Manchester City vs Real Madrid: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Manchester City – Real Madrid according to BetMines?
1: 49%
X: 23%
2: 28%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Manchester City – Real Madrid?
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Manchester City – Real Madrid?
Yes: 58%
No: 42%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Manchester City – Real Madrid?
1) 1-1 (10.36%)
2) 2-1 (9.35%)
3) 1-0 (8.21%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Manchester City – Real Madrid?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 81%

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