What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Manchester City – Real Madrid?

Over 2.5: 58%</br>Under 2.5: 42%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Manchester City – Real Madrid?

1) 1-1 (10.36%)</br>2) 2-1 (9.35%)</br>3) 1-0 (8.21%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Manchester City – Real Madrid?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 81%

Manchester City vs Real Madrid: match statistics and data

11.83 °C

Champions League - 8th Finals

Manchester City

1 - 2

Real Madrid

Etihad Stadium

Clément Turpin

Match Stats

Manchester City

Real Madrid

47 %

Ball Possession

53 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

444

Accurate Passes

504

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Manchester City

Real Madrid

2nd half 1-2

90'+3'

Vinicius Junior 1-2

Aurélien Tchouaméni

1-2

90'+2'

Goal Disallowed

Vinicius Junior

83'

Daniel Carvajal

Trent Alexander-Arnold

80'

Trent Alexander-Arnold

76'

Kylian Mbappé

76'

Pep Guardiola

74'

Manuel Ángel Morán

Thiago Pitarch

74'

69'

Kylian Mbappé

Brahim Díaz

Antoine Semenyo

Matheus Nunes

57'

Omar Marmoush

Erling Haaland

56'

Nathan Aké

Tijjani Reijnders

46'

Marc Guéhi

Rúben Dias

46'

Andriy Lunin

Thibaut Courtois

1st half 1-1

Abdukodir Khusanov

45'+4'

Erling Haaland 1-1

1-1

41'

Pep Guardiola

25'

22'

Vinicius Junior
0-1

Bernardo Silva

20'

Penalty awarded

Vinicius Junior

Who will win ?

Manchester City vs Real Madrid - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Manchester City and Real Madrid in Champions League

League Stage - Ranking

Team
1 Como	0:0	-	-
2 Manchester City	0:0	-	-
3 Real Madrid	0:0	-	-
4 FC Bayern München	0:0	-	-
5 Liverpool	0:0	-	-
6 Paris Saint Germain	0:0	-	-
7 Roma	0:0	-	-
8 Inter	0:0	-	-
9 Borussia Dortmund	0:0	-	-
10 FC Barcelona	0:0	-	-
11 Atlético de Madrid	0:0	-	-
12 Villarreal	0:0	-	-
13 Manchester United	0:0	-	-
14 Arsenal	0:0	-	-
15 RB Leipzig	0:0	-	-
16 Porto	0:0	-	-
17 Club Brugge	0:0	-	-
18 Feyenoord	0:0	-	-
19 PSV	0:0	-	-
20 Napoli	0:0	-	-
21 Sporting CP	0:0	-	-
22 LOSC Lille	0:0	-	-
23 Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0	-	-
24 Slavia Praha	0:0	-	-
25 Fenerbahçe	0:0	-	-
26 Real Betis	0:0	-	-
27 Bodø / Glimt	0:0	-	-
28 Galatasaray	0:0	-	-
29 Slovan Bratislava	0:0	-	-
30 Aston Villa	0:0	-	-
31 LASK	0:0	-	-
32 VfB Stuttgart	0:0	-	-
33 Lens	0:0	-	-
34 AEK Athens	0:0	-	-
35 Viking	0:0	-	-
36 Sabah	0:0	-	-

8th Finals

Play-off

Last Matches

Manchester City

First half results

2 Win

0 Draw

3 Loss

Premier League

09/05/2026 2:00 PM

Manchester City

1-0

Coventry City

Premier League

08/28/2026 7:00 PM

Crystal Palace

0-1

Manchester City

Premier League

08/23/2026 1:00 PM

Manchester City

0-1

AFC Bournemouth

Community Shield

08/16/2026 2:00 PM

Arsenal

2-0

Manchester City

Club Friendlies 1

08/09/2026 11:00 AM

Manchester City

0-1

Atlético de Madrid

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Manchester City

Final results

4 Win

0 Draw

1 Loss

Premier League

09/05/2026 2:00 PM

Manchester City

1-0

Coventry City

Premier League

08/28/2026 7:00 PM

Crystal Palace

1-4

Manchester City

Premier League

08/23/2026 1:00 PM

Manchester City

2-1

AFC Bournemouth

Community Shield

08/16/2026 2:00 PM

Arsenal

3-0

Manchester City

Club Friendlies 1

08/09/2026 11:00 AM

Manchester City

3-1

Atlético de Madrid

Scored 10

Avg 2.0

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Real Madrid

First half results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

La Liga

09/04/2026 7:00 PM

Real Betis

0-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

08/30/2026 3:00 PM

Real Madrid

3-0

Málaga

La Liga

08/26/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

1-1

Real Sociedad

La Liga

08/22/2026 7:30 PM

Espanyol

1-1

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

08/16/2026 3:00 PM

Schalke 04

0-2

Real Madrid

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Real Madrid

Final results

4 Win

0 Draw

1 Loss

La Liga

09/04/2026 7:00 PM

Real Betis

1-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

08/30/2026 3:00 PM

Real Madrid

4-0

Málaga

La Liga

08/26/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

4-1

Real Sociedad

La Liga

08/22/2026 7:30 PM

Espanyol

1-2

Real Madrid

Club Friendlies 1

08/16/2026 3:00 PM

Schalke 04

0-3

Real Madrid

Scored 13

Avg 2.6

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Manchester City vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Champions League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Manchester City

Real Madrid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

20%

80%

20%

80%

2.5

40%

60%

20%

80%

3.5

70%

30%

50%

4.5

90%

10%

70%

30%

Trends

Events

Team

Manchester City

Manchester City haven't lost in 19 of their last 20 home matches

19 / 20

Unbeaten

Manchester City

Manchester City haven't lost in 12 of their last 13 matches

12 / 13

Unbeaten

Manchester City

Manchester City haven't lost in 18 of their last 20 home matches in Champions League

18 / 20

Unbeaten

Manchester City

Manchester City have won in 7 of their last 8 home matches

7 / 8

Wins

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Manchester City and Real Madrid will face each other on 03/17/2026 at 8:00 PM at Etihad Stadium stadium (Manchester). The match is part of Champions League. The referee for the match is Clément Turpin.

The probability of winning for Manchester City is 49%. The probability of a draw between Manchester City and Real Madrid is 23%. The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 28%

The probability of both teams scoring is 58%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 42%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 58%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 42%

In the last match on 09/05/2026, Manchester City defeated Coventry City with a score of 1-0

In the last match on 09/04/2026, Real Madrid lost to Real Betis with a score of 1-0

In the last head-to-head on 03/11/2026, Real Madrid defeated Manchester City at home with a score of 3-0

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City has won 1 times, Real Madrid has won 3 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Manchester City has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match.

Manchester City is currently in the 2th position in the Champions League league, while Real Madrid is in the 1th position.

In this season of Champions League, Manchester City has won 5 times, lost 4 times, and drawn 1 times. Manchester City has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.

In this season of Champions League, Real Madrid has won 9 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 0 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.36 goals per match and conceded 1.43 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Manchester City has won 4 times, lost 1 times and drawn 0 times. Manchester City has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Real Madrid has won 4 times, lost 1 times and drawn 0 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.6 goals per match and conceded 0.6 goals.

Manchester City - Real Madrid: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Manchester City vs Real Madrid - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Manchester City and Real Madrid in Champions League

Last Matches

Manchester City vs Real Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Manchester City vs Real Madrid: Frequently asked questions