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Mexico - South Africa: stats and betting predictions

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World Cup  -  Group Stage

Mexico

W
L
D
D
L

2 - 0

FT

South Africa

D
W
L
W
W
Mexico City Stadium
Wilton Pereira Sampaio

Match Stats

Mexico

South Africa

Corner

3

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

1

61 %

Ball Possession

39 %

Corner

1

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

2

1.41

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) shows how dangerous a team's chances were. Each shot gets a value based on details such as distance, angle and shot type. Adding those values gives the team's total xG for the match.

0.07

16

Total Shots

3

4

Ongoal Shots

2

28

Dangerous Attacks

27

12

Fouls

11

467

Accurate Passes

272

2

Big Chances Created

0

0

Big Chances Missed

0

Corner

3

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

1

Corner

1

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

2

Match Data

Mexico

South Africa

2nd half 2-0

redcard

César Montes 

90'+2'

84'

Themba Zwane

redcard

82'

Card adjusted

Themba Zwane

var
substitution

Alexis Vega

Julián Quiñones

79'

77'

Oswin Appollis

Aubrey Modiba

substitution

77'

Evidence Makgopa

Iqraam Rayners

substitution
substitution

Edson Álvarez

Érik Lira

76'

substitution

Armando González

Raúl Jiménez

76'

74'

Nkosinathi Sibisi

yellowcard

Raúl Jiménez 2-0

Roberto Alvarado

2-0

67'

substitution

Luis Chávez

Brian Gutiérrez

66'

substitution

Gilberto Mora

Álvaro Fidalgo

66'

61'

Themba Zwane

Jayden Adams

substitution

56'

Thalente Mbatha

Lyle Foster

substitution

49'

Yaya Sithole

redcard

1st half 1-0

yellowcard

Brian Gutiérrez

23'

17'

Teboho Mokoena

yellowcard

Julián Quiñones 1-0

Érik Lira

1-0

9'

Who will win ?

Mexico vs South Africa - Predictions

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Standings of Mexico and South Africa in World Cup

Last Matches

Mexico

First half results

1 Win
0 Draw
4 Loss

Friendly International

04/10/2026 2:00

United States

1-0

Mexico

Friendly International

30/09/2026 1:00

Mexico

0-1

Peru

Friendly International

27/09/2026 1:00

Mexico

0-1

Colombia

World Cup

06/07/2026 1:00

Mexico

1-2

England

World Cup

01/07/2026 2:00

Mexico

2-0

Ecuador
Scored 3
Avg 0.6
Conceded 5
Avg 1.0
Mexico

Final results

1 Win
2 Draw
2 Loss

Friendly International

04/10/2026 2:00

United States

3-0

Mexico

Friendly International

30/09/2026 1:00

Mexico

1-1

Peru

Friendly International

27/09/2026 1:00

Mexico

1-1

Colombia

World Cup

06/07/2026 1:00

Mexico

2-3

England

World Cup

01/07/2026 2:00

Mexico

2-0

Ecuador
Scored 6
Avg 1.2
Conceded 8
Avg 1.6
South Africa

First half results

2 Win
2 Draw
1 Loss

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

30/09/2026 16:00

Eritrea

0-2

South Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

26/09/2026 13:00

South Africa

1-0

Guinea

World Cup

28/06/2026 19:00

South Africa

0-0

Canada

World Cup

25/06/2026 1:00

South Africa

0-0

Korea Republic

World Cup

18/06/2026 16:00

Czech Republic

1-0

South Africa
Scored 3
Avg 0.6
Conceded 1
Avg 0.2
South Africa

Final results

3 Win
1 Draw
1 Loss

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

30/09/2026 16:00

Eritrea

0-5

South Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

26/09/2026 13:00

South Africa

2-1

Guinea

World Cup

28/06/2026 19:00

South Africa

0-1

Canada

World Cup

25/06/2026 1:00

South Africa

1-0

Korea Republic

World Cup

18/06/2026 16:00

Czech Republic

1-1

South Africa
Scored 9
Avg 1.8
Conceded 3
Avg 0.6

Mexico vs South Africa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Mexico

South Africa

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Mexico is 40%. The probability of a draw between Mexico and South Africa is 28%. The probability of winning for South Africa is 32%

The probability of both teams scoring is 47%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 53%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 47%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 53%

In the last match on 04/10/2026, Mexico lost to United States with a score of 3-0

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Mexico vs South Africa: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Mexico – South Africa according to BetMines?
1: 40%
X: 28%
2: 32%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Mexico – South Africa?
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Mexico – South Africa?
Yes: 47%
No: 53%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Mexico – South Africa?
1) 1-1 (13.16%)
2) 1-0 (12.1%)
3) 0-1 (10%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Mexico – South Africa?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 79%

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