What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Middlesbrough – Derby County?

Over 2.5: 55%</br>Under 2.5: 45%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Middlesbrough – Derby County?

1) 1-1 (11.18%)</br>2) 2-1 (9.67%)</br>3) 1-0 (9.5%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Middlesbrough – Derby County?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 67%

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: match statistics and data

Championship

Middlesbrough

2 - 1

Derby County

Riverside Stadium

Match Stats

Middlesbrough

Derby County

74 %

Ball Possession

26 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

450

Accurate Passes

112

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Middlesbrough

Derby County

2nd half 2-1

Archie Baptiste

Morgan Whittaker

89'

88'

Andreas Weimann

Ben Brereton Díaz

88'

Corey Blackett-Taylor

Sondre Langås

88'

Liam Thompson

Bobby Clark

Morgan Whittaker
2-1

84'

80'

Ryan Nyambe

Joe Ward

80'

Kayden Jackson

Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

Matt Targett
1-1

75'

Sverre Nypan

Delano Burgzorg

71'

Kaly Sène

Tommy Conway

71'

67'

Callum Elder

Riley McGree

Alan Browne

54'

David Strelec

Sontje Hansen

54'

1st half 0-1

22'

Bobby Clark

Patrick Agyemang
0-1

Who will win ?

Middlesbrough vs Derby County - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Middlesbrough and Derby County in Championship

Regular Season - Ranking

Team
1 Coventry City	46	28	11	7	97:45	95	2.07	D D W W W
2 Ipswich Town	46	23	15	8	80:47	84	1.83	D W D D W
3 Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	83	1.8	D W W D W
4 Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	80	1.74	W W D D W
5 Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	80	1.74	L D W W D
6 Hull City	46	21	10	15	70:66	73	1.59	L D D L W
7 Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	71	1.54	L W W L D
8 Derby County	46	20	9	17	67:59	69	1.5	L W L W L
9 Norwich City	46	19	8	19	63:56	65	1.41	L W W D L
10 Birmingham City	46	17	13	16	57:56	64	1.39	W D W W D
11 Swansea City	46	18	10	18	57:59	64	1.39	W L W D W
12 Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	62	1.35	D L D L W
13 Sheffield United	46	18	6	22	66:66	60	1.3	W W L L W
14 Preston North End	46	15	15	16	55:62	60	1.3	W L L W L
15 Queens Park Rangers	46	16	10	20	61:73	58	1.26	D L L L L
16 Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	57	1.24	L L L L L
17 Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51:56	55	1.2	D L L L L
18 Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	55	1.2	W W L W D
19 Charlton Athletic	46	13	14	19	44:58	53	1.15	L D L W L
20 Blackburn Rovers	46	13	13	20	42:56	52	1.13	D L D W L
21 West Bromwich Albion	46	13	14	19	48:58	51	1.11	D W W D L
22 Oxford United	46	11	14	21	45:59	47	1.02	W L L W L
23 Leicester City	46	12	16	18	58:68	46	1	L L D D W
24 Sheffield Wednesday	46	2	12	32	29:89	0	0	D D L L W

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Middlesbrough

First half results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Championship

05/12/2026 7:00 PM

Southampton

1-1

Middlesbrough

Championship

05/09/2026 11:30 AM

Middlesbrough

0-0

Southampton

Championship

05/02/2026 11:30 AM

Wrexham

2-2

Middlesbrough

Championship

04/25/2026 11:30 AM

Middlesbrough

2-0

Watford

Championship

04/22/2026 6:45 PM

Middlesbrough

1-0

Sheffield Wednesday

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Middlesbrough

Final results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Championship

05/12/2026 7:00 PM

Southampton

1-1

Middlesbrough

Championship

05/09/2026 11:30 AM

Middlesbrough

0-0

Southampton

Championship

05/02/2026 11:30 AM

Wrexham

2-2

Middlesbrough

Championship

04/25/2026 11:30 AM

Middlesbrough

5-1

Watford

Championship

04/22/2026 6:45 PM

Middlesbrough

1-0

Sheffield Wednesday

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Derby County

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Championship

04/25/2026 2:00 PM

Queens Park Rangers

1-1

Derby County

Championship

04/21/2026 6:45 PM

Norwich City

1-0

Derby County

Championship

04/18/2026 11:30 AM

Derby County

1-0

Oxford United

Championship

04/11/2026 2:00 PM

Southampton

0-1

Derby County

Championship

04/06/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

0-0

Stoke City

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Derby County

Final results

3 Win

0 Draw

2 Loss

Championship

04/25/2026 2:00 PM

Queens Park Rangers

2-3

Derby County

Championship

04/21/2026 6:45 PM

Norwich City

2-1

Derby County

Championship

04/18/2026 11:30 AM

Derby County

1-0

Oxford United

Championship

04/11/2026 2:00 PM

Southampton

2-1

Derby County

Championship

04/06/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

2-0

Stoke City

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Championship

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Middlesbrough

Derby County

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

80%

100%

1.5

40%

60%

40%

60%

2.5

50%

3.5

60%

40%

80%

20%

4.5

90%

10%

80%

20%

Trends

Events

Team

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough haven't lost in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Championship

9 / 10

Unbeaten

Derby County

Derby County have won in 6 of their last 7 matches in Championship

6 / 7

Wins

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Middlesbrough and Derby County will face each other on 11/29/2025 at 3:00 PM at Riverside Stadium stadium (Middlesbrough). The match is part of Championship.

The probability of winning for Middlesbrough is 47%. The probability of a draw between Middlesbrough and Derby County is 25%. The probability of winning for Derby County is 28%

The probability of both teams scoring is 57%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 43%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 55%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 45%

In the last match on 05/12/2026, Middlesbrough drew with Southampton with a score of 1-1

In the last match on 04/25/2026, Derby County defeated Queens Park Rangers with a score of 2-3

In the last head-to-head on 03/01/2025, Middlesbrough defeated Derby County at home with a score of 1-0

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough has won 2 times, Derby County has won 2 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Middlesbrough has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Derby County has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match.

Middlesbrough is currently in the 3th position in the Championship league, while Derby County is in the 8th position.

In this season of Championship, Middlesbrough has won 22 times, lost 11 times, and drawn 16 times. Middlesbrough has scored an average of 1.49 goals per match and conceded 1 goals.

In this season of Championship, Derby County has won 20 times, lost 17 times, and drawn 9 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1.46 goals per match and conceded 1.28 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Middlesbrough has won 2 times, lost 0 times and drawn 3 times. Middlesbrough has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 0.8 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Derby County has won 3 times, lost 2 times and drawn 0 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

Middlesbrough - Derby County: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Middlesbrough vs Derby County - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Middlesbrough and Derby County in Championship

Last Matches

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Middlesbrough vs Derby County: Frequently asked questions