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Morelia - Universidad Guadalajara: stats and betting predictions

Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura - Semi-finals

Morelia

Universidad Guadalajara

Who will win ?

Match preview

The probability of winning for Morelia is 57%. The probability of a draw between Morelia and Universidad Guadalajara is 23%. The probability of winning for Universidad Guadalajara is 20%

The probability of both teams scoring is 57%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 43%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 58%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 42%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Morelia has seen both teams score 8 times, while Universidad Guadalajara has seen it 7 times

In the last match on 11/08/2026, Morelia defeated Venados with a score of 2-1

In the last match on 11/08/2026, Universidad Guadalajara defeated Durango with a score of 2-1

In the last head-to-head on 09/20/2026, Morelia defeated Universidad Guadalajara at home with a score of 2-0

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morelia has won 2 times, Universidad Guadalajara has won 3 times, and they have drawn 0 times. Morelia has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Universidad Guadalajara has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match.

Morelia is currently in the 1th position in the Liga de Expansión MX league, while Universidad Guadalajara is in the 2th position.

In this season of Liga de Expansión MX, Morelia has won 10 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 2 times. Morelia has scored an average of 1.76 goals per match and conceded 1.24 goals.

In this season of Liga de Expansión MX, Universidad Guadalajara has won 10 times, lost 4 times, and drawn 3 times. Universidad Guadalajara has scored an average of 2.12 goals per match and conceded 1.29 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Morelia has won 3 times, lost 2 times and drawn 0 times. Morelia has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Universidad Guadalajara has won 3 times, lost 2 times and drawn 0 times. Universidad Guadalajara has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

Morelia vs Universidad Guadalajara - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Morelia and Universidad Guadalajara in Liga de Expansión MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team
1 CA La Paz	15	9	3	3	36:18	30	2	L W D W W
2 Universidad Guadalajara	15	9	3	3	34:20	30	2	W D L W W
3 Morelia	15	8	2	5	26:19	26	1.73	D D L W L
4 Piratas	15	7	4	4	27:15	25	1.67	W L W W D
5 Cancún	15	7	4	4	28:18	25	1.67	W D D W W
6 Venados	15	7	4	4	31:25	25	1.67	W D D W D
7 Durango	15	7	3	5	21:15	24	1.6	W D W L W
8 Tlaxcala	15	6	4	5	29:27	22	1.47	D W D W W
9 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	15:25	22	1.47	L W W W W
10 Mineros de Zacatecas	15	5	3	7	26:26	18	1.2	L D L L L
11 Tapatío	15	5	3	7	25:28	18	1.2	L W L L D
12 Correcaminos UAT	15	4	5	6	21:24	17	1.13	D L L L D
13 Dorados	15	4	4	7	23:32	16	1.07	L L W L L
14 Jaiba Brava	15	4	3	8	15:25	15	1	L D W L L
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo	15	3	5	7	17:24	14	0.93	D W W L L
16 Tepatitlán de Morelos	15	2	1	12	11:44	7	0.47	D L L L L

Final Series

Final Series Play-offs

Last Matches

Morelia

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

11/08/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

1-1

Venados

Liga de Expansión MX

11/04/2026 11:00 PM

Venados

1-1

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

11/01/2026 1:00 AM

Durango

2-0

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

10/25/2026 11:00 PM

Tapatío

0-1

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

10/18/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

1-0

Jaiba Brava

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Morelia

Final results

3 Win

0 Draw

2 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

11/08/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

2-1

Venados

Liga de Expansión MX

11/04/2026 11:00 PM

Venados

1-2

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

11/01/2026 1:00 AM

Durango

3-1

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

10/25/2026 11:00 PM

Tapatío

1-2

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

10/18/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

1-2

Jaiba Brava

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 8

Avg 1.6

Universidad Guadalajara

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

11/08/2026 6:00 PM

Universidad Guadalajara

2-0

Durango

Liga de Expansión MX

11/06/2026 3:05 AM

Durango

0-0

Universidad Guadalajara

Liga de Expansión MX

11/01/2026 6:00 PM

Universidad Guadalajara

2-1

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Liga de Expansión MX

10/25/2026 12:00 AM

Mineros de Zacatecas

0-1

Universidad Guadalajara

Liga de Expansión MX

10/18/2026 6:00 PM

Universidad Guadalajara

1-1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Universidad Guadalajara

Final results

3 Win

0 Draw

2 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

11/08/2026 6:00 PM

Universidad Guadalajara

2-1

Durango

Liga de Expansión MX

11/06/2026 3:05 AM

Durango

1-0

Universidad Guadalajara

Liga de Expansión MX

11/01/2026 6:00 PM

Universidad Guadalajara

3-1

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Liga de Expansión MX

10/25/2026 12:00 AM

Mineros de Zacatecas

0-2

Universidad Guadalajara

Liga de Expansión MX

10/18/2026 6:00 PM

Universidad Guadalajara

1-2

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Morelia vs Universidad Guadalajara: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Liga de Expansión MX

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Morelia

Universidad Guadalajara

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

10%

90%

10%

90%

2.5

40%

60%

40%

60%

3.5

90%

10%

70%

30%

4.5

100%

90%

10%

Trends

Events

Team

No trends...

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Morelia vs Universidad Guadalajara: Frequently asked questions

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What are the 1X2 probabilities for Morelia – Universidad Guadalajara according to BetMines?

1: 57%
X: 23%
2: 20%

What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Morelia – Universidad Guadalajara?

Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Morelia – Universidad Guadalajara?

Yes: 57%
No: 43%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Morelia – Universidad Guadalajara?

1) 2-1 (10.78%)
2) 1-1 (10.52%)
3) 1-0 (9.81%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Morelia – Universidad Guadalajara?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Double chance market is 12, with a probability of 77%