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Nigeria - Madagascar: stats and betting predictions

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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications  -  Group Stage

Nigeria

W
D
L
W
L

2 - 1

FT

Madagascar

W
W
D
L
L
Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
Al Hadi Mahamat

Match Stats

Nigeria

Madagascar

Corner

4

Remplacement

3

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

0

55 %

Ball Possession

45 %

Corner

2

Remplacement

8

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

1.60

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) shows how dangerous a team's chances were. Each shot gets a value based on details such as distance, angle and shot type. Adding those values gives the team's total xG for the match.

0.31

22

Total Shots

4

4

Ongoal Shots

1

55

Dangerous Attacks

39

14

Fouls

9

404

Accurate Passes

327

4

Big Chances Created

1

3

Big Chances Missed

0

Corner

4

Remplacement

3

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

0

Corner

2

Remplacement

8

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

Match Data

Nigeria

Madagascar

2nd half 2-1

90'+3'

Nicolas Fontaine

yellowcard
substitution

Bright Osayi-Samuel

Ola Aina

87'

84'

Roman Ferber

Hakim Abdallah

substitution

84'

Loïc André Terry Lapoussin

Marco Ilaimaharitra

substitution

70'

Nicolas Fontaine

Ryan Ponti

substitution

70'

Nicolas Randriamanampisoa

Clément Couturier

substitution
substitution

Tolu Arokodare

Ademola Lookman

69'

substitution

Taiwo Awoniyi

George Ilenikhena

69'

67'

Warren Caddy

El Hadary Raheriniaina

substitution

Moses Usor 2-1

Semi Ajayi

2-1

65'

substitution

Moses Simon

Akor Adams

61'

substitution

Moses Usor

Samuel Chukwueze

61'

yellowcard

Ademola Lookman

57'

1st half 1-1

George Ilenikhena 1-1

Alex Iwobi

1-1

45'+1'

36'

Geordan Dupire

yellowcard

16'

Ehsan Kari 0-1

Ryan Ponti

0-1

Who will win ?

Nigeria vs Madagascar - Predictions

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Standings of Nigeria and Madagascar in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

Group Stage - Group L - Ranking

Team

1

Guinea-Bissau

2

2

0

0

5:0

6

3

W
W
2

Nigeria

2

1

0

1

2:4

3

1.5

W
L
3

Madagascar

2

0

1

1

2:3

1

0.5

L
D
4

Tanzania

2

0

1

1

1:3

1

0.5

L
D
Final Tournament

Last Matches

Nigeria

First half results

1 Win
3 Draw
1 Loss

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

29/09/2026 16:00

Guinea-Bissau

1-0

Nigeria

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

25/09/2026 16:00

Nigeria

1-1

Madagascar

Friendly International

10/06/2026 19:45

Portugal

1-1

Nigeria

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Poland

1-1

Nigeria

Friendly International

30/05/2026 18:30

Jamaica

0-1

Nigeria
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 4
Avg 0.8
Nigeria

Final results

2 Win
1 Draw
2 Loss

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

29/09/2026 16:00

Guinea-Bissau

3-0

Nigeria

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

25/09/2026 16:00

Nigeria

2-1

Madagascar

Friendly International

10/06/2026 19:45

Portugal

2-1

Nigeria

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Poland

2-2

Nigeria

Friendly International

30/05/2026 18:30

Jamaica

0-3

Nigeria
Scored 8
Avg 1.6
Conceded 8
Avg 1.6
Madagascar

First half results

2 Win
1 Draw
2 Loss

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

25/09/2026 16:00

Nigeria

1-1

Madagascar

Friendly International

02/06/2026 17:00

Morocco

2-0

Madagascar

Friendly International

31/03/2026 9:00

Equatorial Guinea

1-0

Madagascar

Friendly International

28/03/2026 14:00

Kyrgyz Republic

0-4

Madagascar

Friendly International

17/11/2025 14:00

Madagascar

2-0

Equatorial Guinea
Scored 7
Avg 1.4
Conceded 4
Avg 0.8
Madagascar

Final results

2 Win
1 Draw
2 Loss

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

25/09/2026 16:00

Nigeria

2-1

Madagascar

Friendly International

02/06/2026 17:00

Morocco

4-0

Madagascar

Friendly International

31/03/2026 9:00

Equatorial Guinea

1-1

Madagascar

Friendly International

28/03/2026 14:00

Kyrgyz Republic

2-5

Madagascar

Friendly International

17/11/2025 14:00

Madagascar

2-0

Equatorial Guinea
Scored 9
Avg 1.8
Conceded 9
Avg 1.8

Nigeria vs Madagascar: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Nigeria

Madagascar

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

70%

7

30%

3

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Nigeria is 57%. The probability of a draw between Nigeria and Madagascar is 24%. The probability of winning for Madagascar is 19%

The probability of both teams scoring is 49%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 51%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 52%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 48%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Nigeria has seen over 2.5 goals 7 times, while Madagascar has seen it 7 times

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Nigeria vs Madagascar: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Nigeria – Madagascar according to BetMines?
1: 57%
X: 24%
2: 19%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Nigeria – Madagascar?
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Nigeria – Madagascar?
Yes: 49%
No: 51%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Nigeria – Madagascar?
1) 1-0 (11.25%)
2) 1-1 (10.87%)
3) 2-0 (9.35%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Nigeria – Madagascar?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the 1X2 market is 1, with a probability of 57%

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