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Portugal - Wales: stats and betting predictions

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UEFA Nations League - League A

Portugal

Wales

Estádio José Alvalade

Who will win ?

Match preview

Portugal and Wales will face each other on 24/09/2026 at 18:45 at Estádio José Alvalade stadium (Lisboa). The match is part of UEFA Nations League.

The probability of winning for Portugal is 62%. The probability of a draw between Portugal and Wales is 20%. The probability of winning for Wales is 18%

The probability of both teams scoring is 46%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 54%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 55%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 45%

In the last match on 06/07/2026, Portugal lost to Spain with a score of 0-1

In the last match on 06/06/2026, Wales lost to Romania with a score of 2-1

In the last head-to-head on 06/07/2016, Portugal defeated Wales at home with a score of 2-0

In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Portugal has won 1 times, Wales has won 0 times, and they have drawn 0 times. Portugal has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Wales has scored an average of 0.0 goals per match.

Portugal is currently in the 3th position in the UEFA Nations League league, while Wales is in the 4th position.

In the last 5 matches, Portugal has won 2 times, lost 1 times and drawn 2 times. Portugal has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 0.6 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Wales has won 1 times, lost 1 times and drawn 3 times. Wales has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

Portugal vs Wales - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Portugal and Wales in UEFA Nations League

League A - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Norway	0:0	-	-
2 Denmark	0:0	-	-
3 Portugal	0:0	-	-
4 Wales	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Portugal

First half results

1 Win

4 Draw

0 Loss

World Cup

06/07/2026 19:00

Portugal

0-0

Spain

World Cup

02/07/2026 23:00

Portugal

0-0

Croatia

World Cup

27/06/2026 23:30

Colombia

0-0

Portugal

World Cup

23/06/2026 17:00

Portugal

3-0

Uzbekistan

World Cup

17/06/2026 17:00

Portugal

1-1

Congo DR

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Portugal

Final results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

World Cup

06/07/2026 19:00

Portugal

0-1

Spain

World Cup

02/07/2026 23:00

Portugal

2-1

Croatia

World Cup

27/06/2026 23:30

Colombia

0-0

Portugal

World Cup

23/06/2026 17:00

Portugal

5-0

Uzbekistan

World Cup

17/06/2026 17:00

Portugal

1-1

Congo DR

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Wales

First half results

1 Win

3 Draw

1 Loss

Friendly International

06/06/2026 17:45

Romania

0-0

Wales

Friendly International

02/06/2026 18:45

Wales

0-0

Ghana

Friendly International

31/03/2026 18:45

Wales

0-1

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Wales

0-0

Bosnia and Herzegovina

WC Qualification Europe

18/11/2025 19:45

Wales

3-1

North Macedonia

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Wales

Final results

1 Win

3 Draw

1 Loss

Friendly International

06/06/2026 17:45

Romania

2-1

Wales

Friendly International

02/06/2026 18:45

Wales

1-1

Ghana

Friendly International

31/03/2026 18:45

Wales

1-1

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Wales

1-1

Bosnia and Herzegovina

WC Qualification Europe

18/11/2025 19:45

Wales

7-1

North Macedonia

Scored 11

Avg 2.2

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Portugal vs Wales: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

UEFA Nations League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Portugal

Wales

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

80%

100%

1.5

30%

70%

30%

70%

2.5

50%

60%

40%

3.5

80%

20%

80%

20%

4.5

80%

20%

80%

20%

Trends

Events

Team

Wales

Wales haven't lost in their last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League

6 / 6

Unbeaten

Portugal

Portugal haven't lost in 22 of their last 23 home matches

22 / 23

Unbeaten

Portugal

Portugal haven't lost in 9 of their last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League

9 / 10

Unbeaten

Portugal

Portugal haven't lost in 34 of their last 38 matches

34 / 38

Unbeaten

Portugal

Portugal haven't lost in 7 of their last 8 home matches in UEFA Nations League

7 / 8

Unbeaten

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Portugal vs Wales: Frequently asked questions

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What are the 1X2 probabilities for Portugal – Wales according to BetMines?

1: 62%
X: 20%
2: 18%

What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Portugal – Wales?

Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Portugal – Wales?

Yes: 46%
No: 54%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Portugal – Wales?

1) 1-0 (12.04%)
2) 2-0 (11.27%)
3) 1-1 (7.9%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Portugal – Wales?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Double chance market is 12, with a probability of 80%