What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Real Madrid – Atlético de Madrid?

Over 2.5: 55%</br>Under 2.5: 45%

What is the BetMines prediction for Real Madrid – Atlético de Madrid?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 75%

Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid: match statistics and data

Match Stats

Real Madrid

Atlético de Madrid

11

6

1

0

57 %

Ball Possession

43 %

4

6

0

23

Total Shots

11

10

Ongoal Shots

6

130

Dangerous Attacks

34

10

Fouls

19

828

Accurate Passes

618

0

Big Chances Created

0

Big Chances Missed

0

11

6

1

0

4

6

0

Match Data

Real Madrid

Atlético de Madrid

2nd extra time 5-3

Brahim Díaz

120'+3'

Brahim Díaz 5-3

Joselu

5-3

120'+2'

Stefan Savic
4-3

116'

Arda Güler

Federico Valverde

112'

1st extra time

Dani Ceballos

Rodrygo

105'

César Azpilicueta

Marcos Llorente

Joselu

Vinicius Junior

105'

104'

Javi Galán

Koke

2nd half 3-3

90'

Ángel Correa

Álvaro Morata

90'

Axel Witsel

Rodrigo de Paul

Daniel Carvajal 3-3

3-3

85'

Brahim Díaz

Aurélien Tchouaméni

81'

Eduardo Camavinga

Ferland Mendy

81'

78'

Antonio Rüdiger
2-3

67'

Nahuel Molina

Saúl Ñíguez

Toni Kroos

Luka Modric

67'

Rodrigo Riquelme

Samuel Lino

1st half 2-2

37'

Antoine Griezmann 2-2

Rodrigo de Paul

2-2

Ferland Mendy 2-1

Daniel Carvajal

2-1

29'

Antonio Rüdiger 1-1

Luka Modric

1-1

20'

6'

Mario Hermoso 0-1

Antoine Griezmann

0-1

Who will win ?

Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid - Predictions

Odds

Last Matches

Real Madrid

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

La Liga

09/12/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

3-0

Rayo Vallecano

Champions League

09/08/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

2-0

Inter

La Liga

09/04/2026 7:00 PM

Real Betis

0-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

08/30/2026 3:00 PM

Real Madrid

3-0

Málaga

La Liga

08/26/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

1-1

Real Sociedad

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Real Madrid

Final results

4 Win

0 Draw

1 Loss

La Liga

09/12/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

4-1

Rayo Vallecano

Champions League

09/08/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

2-1

Inter

La Liga

09/04/2026 7:00 PM

Real Betis

1-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

08/30/2026 3:00 PM

Real Madrid

4-0

Málaga

La Liga

08/26/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

4-1

Real Sociedad

Scored 14

Avg 2.8

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Atlético de Madrid

First half results

1 Win

4 Draw

0 Loss

La Liga

09/13/2026 7:00 PM

Real Sociedad

0-0

Atlético de Madrid

Champions League

09/09/2026 7:00 PM

Liverpool

1-1

Atlético de Madrid

La Liga

09/05/2026 2:15 PM

Athletic Club

0-0

Atlético de Madrid

La Liga

08/29/2026 7:30 PM

Sevilla

0-3

Atlético de Madrid

La Liga

08/23/2026 3:00 PM

Atlético de Madrid

0-0

Villarreal

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Atlético de Madrid

Final results

2 Win

1 Draw

2 Loss

La Liga

09/13/2026 7:00 PM

Real Sociedad

0-3

Atlético de Madrid

Champions League

09/09/2026 7:00 PM

Liverpool

2-1

Atlético de Madrid

La Liga

09/05/2026 2:15 PM

Athletic Club

3-0

Atlético de Madrid

La Liga

08/29/2026 7:30 PM

Sevilla

1-3

Atlético de Madrid

La Liga

08/23/2026 3:00 PM

Atlético de Madrid

2-2

Villarreal

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 8

Avg 1.6

Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Super Cup

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Real Madrid

Atlético de Madrid

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

Trends

Events

Team

Real Madrid

Real Madrid haven't lost in their last 19 home matches

19 / 19

Unbeaten

Real Madrid

Real Madrid haven't lost in their last 19 matches

19 / 19

Unbeaten

Real Madrid

Real Madrid have won their last 6 home matches

6 / 6

Wins

Real Madrid

Real Madrid have won their last 5 matches

5 / 5

Wins

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Real Madrid and Atlético de Madrid will face each other on 01/10/2024 at 7:00 PM at King Saud University Stadium stadium (Riyadh). The match is part of Super Cup. The referee for the match is Javier Alberola Rojas.

The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 63%. The probability of a draw between Real Madrid and Atlético de Madrid is 21%. The probability of winning for Atlético de Madrid is 16%

The probability of both teams scoring is 51%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 49%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 55%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 45%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Real Madrid has seen over 2.5 goals 8 times, while Atlético de Madrid has seen it 9 times

In the last match on 09/12/2026, Real Madrid defeated Rayo Vallecano with a score of 4-1

In the last match on 09/13/2026, Atlético de Madrid defeated Real Sociedad with a score of 0-3

In the last head-to-head on 09/24/2023, Atlético de Madrid defeated Real Madrid at home with a score of 3-1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid has won 2 times, Atlético de Madrid has won 2 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Atlético de Madrid has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match.

Real Madrid is currently in the 2th position in the Super Cup league, while Atlético de Madrid is in the 1th position.

In this season of Super Cup, Real Madrid has won 1 times, lost 0 times, and drawn 1 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 3.5 goals per match and conceded 2 goals.

In this season of Super Cup, Atlético de Madrid has won 0 times, lost 0 times, and drawn 1 times. Atlético de Madrid has scored an average of 3 goals per match and conceded 3 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Real Madrid has won 4 times, lost 1 times and drawn 0 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.8 goals per match and conceded 0.8 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Atlético de Madrid has won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. Atlético de Madrid has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.

Real Madrid - Atlético de Madrid: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Real Madrid and Atlético de Madrid in Super Cup

Last Matches

Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Alerts for this match

Match preview

Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid: Frequently asked questions