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Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano: stats and betting predictions

clear sky 25.67 °C
La Liga

Real Madrid

W
W
W
W
W

4 - 1

FT

Rayo Vallecano

W
D
D
L
W
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Víctor García Verdura

Match Stats

Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Corner

11

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

0

Red cards

0

56 %

Ball Possession

44 %

Corner

5

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

0

2.68

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) shows how dangerous a team's chances were. Each shot gets a value based on details such as distance, angle and shot type. Adding those values gives the team's total xG for the match.

1.02

24

Total Shots

18

11

Ongoal Shots

7

43

Dangerous Attacks

55

9

Fouls

13

494

Accurate Passes

358

4

Big Chances Created

2

2

Big Chances Missed

2

Corner

11

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

0

Red cards

0

Corner

5

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

1

Red cards

0

Match Data

Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

2nd half 4-1

Kylian Mbappé  4-1

Arda Güler

4-1

90'+1'

substitution

Marc Cucurella

Vinicius Junior

89'

86'

Iván Balliu

Adrià Pedrosa

substitution

76'

Pathé Ciss

yellowcard

75'

Alemão

Sergio Camello

substitution

75'

Mujaid Sadick

Unai López

substitution
substitution

Arda Güler

Yan Diomande

72'

substitution

Aurélien Tchouaméni 

Bernardo Silva

69'

67'

Rayane Belaid

Pedro Díaz

substitution

67'

Óscar Valentín 

Gnangoro

substitution

51'

Sergio Camello 3-1

3-1

substitution

Eduardo Camavinga

Federico Valverde 

46'

1st half 3-0

Jude Bellingham 3-0

Vinicius Junior

3-0

35'

Álvaro Carreras 2-0

Kylian Mbappé 

2-0

17'

penalty

Kylian Mbappé 
1-0

14'

Who will win ?

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Predictions

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Standings of Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano in La Liga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

FC Barcelona

10

9

0

1

40:11

27

2.7

W
W
W
W
L
2

Atlético de Madrid

10

8

1

1

20:8

25

2.5

W
W
W
W
W
3

Real Madrid

10

8

0

2

25:10

24

2.4

W
L
W
W
W
4

Real Betis

10

6

2

2

16:14

20

2

W
D
W
L
D
5

Real Sociedad

10

6

1

3

19:18

19

1.9

L
W
W
W
W
6

Sevilla

10

5

2

3

16:16

17

1.7

W
L
D
L
W
7

Deportivo Alavés

10

3

3

4

14:11

12

1.2

L
D
L
L
D
8

Celta de Vigo

10

2

6

2

10:7

12

1.2

D
W
D
W
D
9

Athletic Club

9

3

3

3

12:9

12

1.33

D
D
D
L
W
10

Villarreal

10

3

3

4

15:14

12

1.2

W
W
L
D
W
11

Deportivo A Coruña

10

2

5

3

13:13

11

1.1

L
D
L
D
L
12

Osasuna

10

3

2

5

10:20

11

1.1

L
D
L
W
L
13

Racing Santander

10

3

2

5

15:26

11

1.1

L
L
D
L
W
14

Levante

10

2

4

4

16:19

10

1

L
D
D
W
L
15

Elche

10

2

4

4

14:17

10

1

L
W
D
D
W
16

Rayo Vallecano

9

2

3

4

12:20

9

1

L
W
D
D
L
17

Getafe

10

2

3

5

5:15

9

0.9

L
W
L
D
L
18

Espanyol

10

2

2

6

12:14

8

0.8

L
L
D
L
L
19

Valencia

10

1

3

6

7:17

6

0.6

W
L
D
D
L
20

Málaga

10

0

5

5

7:19

5

0.5

L
L
D
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Last Matches

Real Madrid

First half results

3 Win
2 Draw
0 Loss

La Liga

10/25/2026 8:00 PM

FC Barcelona

0-1

Real Madrid

Champions League

10/21/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

1-0

RB Leipzig

La Liga

10/18/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

2-0

Sevilla

Champions League

10/14/2026 7:00 PM

Roma

1-1

Real Madrid

La Liga

10/10/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

0-0

Villarreal
Scored 5
Avg 1.0
Conceded 1
Avg 0.2
Real Madrid

Final results

5 Win
0 Draw
0 Loss

La Liga

10/25/2026 8:00 PM

FC Barcelona

1-2

Real Madrid

Champions League

10/21/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

4-1

RB Leipzig

La Liga

10/18/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

4-1

Sevilla

Champions League

10/14/2026 7:00 PM

Roma

3-4

Real Madrid

La Liga

10/10/2026 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

1-0

Villarreal
Scored 15
Avg 3.0
Conceded 6
Avg 1.2
Rayo Vallecano

First half results

2 Win
1 Draw
2 Loss

Copa Del Rey

10/27/2026 8:00 PM

Recreativo Huelva

1-1

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

10/24/2026 12:00 PM

Rayo Vallecano

0-2

Elche

La Liga

10/19/2026 7:00 PM

Getafe

0-1

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

09/19/2026 12:00 PM

Osasuna

1-0

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

09/15/2026 5:00 PM

Rayo Vallecano

2-0

Espanyol
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 4
Avg 0.8
Rayo Vallecano

Final results

1 Win
3 Draw
1 Loss

Copa Del Rey

10/27/2026 8:00 PM

Recreativo Huelva

1-1

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

10/24/2026 12:00 PM

Rayo Vallecano

0-3

Elche

La Liga

10/19/2026 7:00 PM

Getafe

1-1

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

09/19/2026 12:00 PM

Osasuna

1-1

Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

09/15/2026 5:00 PM

Rayo Vallecano

2-1

Espanyol
Scored 5
Avg 1.0
Conceded 7
Avg 1.4

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 75%. The probability of a draw between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano is 16%. The probability of winning for Rayo Vallecano is 9%

The probability of both teams scoring is 47%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 53%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 61%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 39%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Real Madrid has seen both teams score 8 times, while Rayo Vallecano has seen it 9 times

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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano according to BetMines?
1: 75%
X: 16%
2: 9%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano?
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano?
Yes: 47%
No: 53%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano?
1) 2-0 (11.95%)
2) 1-0 (11.19%)
3) 3-0 (9.05%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Real Madrid – Rayo Vallecano?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the 1X2 market is 1, with a probability of 75%

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