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Real Madrid - Villarreal: stats and betting predictions

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La Liga

Real Madrid

W
W
L
W
W

3 - 1

FT

Villarreal

D
D
L
L
L
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
G. Cuadra Fernández

Match Stats

Real Madrid

Villarreal

Corner

4

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

69 %

Ball Possession

31 %

Corner

0

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

1

26

Total Shots

9

7

Ongoal Shots

2

96

Dangerous Attacks

28

9

Fouls

14

651

Accurate Passes

256

0

Big Chances Created

0

0

Big Chances Missed

0

Corner

4

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

Corner

0

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

1

Match Data

Real Madrid

Villarreal

2nd half 3-1

86'

Dani Parejo

Santi Comesaña

substitution
substitution

Rodrygo

Kylian Mbappé 

83'

82'

Adrià Altimira

T. Oluwaseyi

substitution

Kylian Mbappé  3-1

Brahim Díaz

3-1

81'

77'

Santiago Mouriño

yellowred
substitution

Brahim Díaz

Franco Mastantuono

75'

73'

Georges Mikautadze 2-1

Pape Gueye

2-1

73'

Alfonso Pedraza

Pape Gueye

substitution

69'

Pape Gueye

yellowcard
penalty

Vinicius Junior
2-0

69'

substitution

Jude Bellingham 

Arda Güler

64'

substitution

Eduardo Camavinga 

Dani Ceballos

64'

Vinicius Junior 1-0

Kylian Mbappé 

1-0

47'

46'

Georges Mikautadze

Alberto Moleiro

substitution

46'

Nicolas Pépé

Tajon Buchanan

substitution

1st half 0-0

yellowcard

Franco Mastantuono

45'+1'

yellowcard

Aurélien Tchouaméni

33'

21'

Santiago Mouriño

yellowcard

12'

Sergi Cardona

yellowcard

Who will win ?

Real Madrid vs Villarreal - Predictions

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Standings of Real Madrid and Villarreal in La Liga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

FC Barcelona

4

4

0

0

17:2

12

3

W
W
W
W
2

Real Madrid

5

4

0

1

14:4

12

2.4

W
W
W
L
W
3

Deportivo Alavés

5

3

1

1

11:5

10

2

W
D
W
W
L
4

Sevilla

5

3

1

1

8:6

10

2

W
W
L
D
W
5

Real Betis

4

3

0

1

5:5

9

2.25

W
W
L
W
6

Deportivo A Coruña

4

2

2

0

8:5

8

2

D
D
W
W
7

Espanyol

5

2

1

2

8:5

7

1.4

W
L
L
D
W
8

Athletic Club

5

2

1

2

7:6

7

1.4

L
L
W
W
D
9

Atlético de Madrid

4

2

1

1

7:6

7

1.75

W
D
W
L
10

Racing Santander

5

2

1

2

9:9

7

1.4

D
L
W
L
W
11

Real Sociedad

5

2

1

2

6:8

7

1.4

L
L
W
D
W
12

Osasuna

5

2

1

2

5:8

7

1.4

D
W
W
L
L
13

Levante

4

1

2

1

5:5

5

1.25

L
D
W
D
14

Getafe

4

1

1

2

2:5

4

1

L
W
L
D
15

Rayo Vallecano

5

1

1

3

8:14

4

0.8

L
D
L
W
L
16

Celta de Vigo

5

0

3

2

2:5

3

0.6

D
L
L
D
D
17

Villarreal

4

0

2

2

6:8

2

0.5

D
D
L
L
18

Málaga

4

0

2

2

1:7

2

0.5

L
D
L
D
19

Elche

5

0

2

3

6:13

2

0.4

D
L
L
L
D
20

Valencia

5

0

1

4

1:10

1

0.2

D
L
L
L
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Last Matches

Real Madrid

First half results

3 Win
2 Draw
0 Loss

La Liga

12/09/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

3-0

Rayo Vallecano

Champions League

08/09/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

2-0

Inter

La Liga

04/09/2026 19:00

Real Betis

0-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

30/08/2026 15:00

Real Madrid

3-0

Málaga

La Liga

26/08/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

1-1

Real Sociedad
Scored 9
Avg 1.8
Conceded 1
Avg 0.2
Real Madrid

Final results

4 Win
0 Draw
1 Loss

La Liga

12/09/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

4-1

Rayo Vallecano

Champions League

08/09/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

2-1

Inter

La Liga

04/09/2026 19:00

Real Betis

1-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

30/08/2026 15:00

Real Madrid

4-0

Málaga

La Liga

26/08/2026 19:00

Real Madrid

4-1

Real Sociedad
Scored 14
Avg 2.8
Conceded 4
Avg 0.8
Villarreal

First half results

0 Win
4 Draw
1 Loss

Champions League

08/09/2026 19:00

Borussia Dortmund

0-0

Villarreal

La Liga

05/09/2026 19:00

Villarreal

1-1

Deportivo A Coruña

La Liga

28/08/2026 19:30

Deportivo Alavés

1-0

Villarreal

La Liga

23/08/2026 15:00

Atlético de Madrid

0-0

Villarreal

La Liga

16/08/2026 15:00

Racing Santander

2-2

Villarreal
Scored 3
Avg 0.6
Conceded 4
Avg 0.8
Villarreal

Final results

0 Win
2 Draw
3 Loss

Champions League

08/09/2026 19:00

Borussia Dortmund

3-2

Villarreal

La Liga

05/09/2026 19:00

Villarreal

2-3

Deportivo A Coruña

La Liga

28/08/2026 19:30

Deportivo Alavés

1-0

Villarreal

La Liga

23/08/2026 15:00

Atlético de Madrid

2-2

Villarreal

La Liga

16/08/2026 15:00

Racing Santander

2-2

Villarreal
Scored 8
Avg 1.6
Conceded 11
Avg 2.2

Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Real Madrid

Villarreal

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

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Match preview

Real Madrid and Villarreal will face each other on 04/10/2025 at 19:00 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu stadium (Madrid). The match is part of La Liga. The referee for the match is G. Cuadra Fernández.

The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 67%. The probability of a draw between Real Madrid and Villarreal is 19%. The probability of winning for Villarreal is 14%

The probability of both teams scoring is 52%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 48%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 58%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 42%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Real Madrid has seen over 2.5 goals 8 times, while Villarreal has seen it 7 times

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Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Real Madrid – Villarreal according to BetMines?
1: 67%
X: 19%
2: 14%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Real Madrid – Villarreal?
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Real Madrid – Villarreal?
Yes: 52%
No: 48%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Real Madrid – Villarreal?
1) 2-0 (11.13%)
2) 1-0 (10.97%)
3) 2-1 (10.18%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Real Madrid – Villarreal?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Double chance market is 12, with a probability of 81%

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