What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for São Paulo – Bahia?

Over 2.5: 53%</br>Under 2.5: 47%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for São Paulo – Bahia?

1) 1-0 (12.13%)</br>2) 1-1 (11.28%)</br>3) 2-1 (10.61%)

What is the BetMines prediction for São Paulo – Bahia?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Double chance market is 12, with a probability of 76%

São Paulo vs Bahia: match statistics and data

15.45 °C

Serie A

São Paulo

2 - 2

Bahia

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Match Stats

São Paulo

Bahia

39 %

Ball Possession

61 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

254

Accurate Passes

448

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

São Paulo

Bahia

2nd half 2-2

André Silva

90'+10'

90'+7'

Erick
2-2

90'+7'

Erick

Jonathan Calleri

90'+6'

90'+4'

Mateo Sanabria

Lucas Rodrigues Moura, Marcelinho↓

Lucas Moura

85'

82'

Ademir

Jean Lucas

82'

Michel Araújo

Everton Ribeiro

82'

Everaldo

Willian José

82'

Rodrigo Nestor

Erick Pulga

Enzo Díaz

81'

Ferreirinha
2-1

73'

Enzo Díaz

Wendell

71'

Luan

Danielzinho

71'

Ferreirinha

Luciano

71'

Lucas Moura

Cauly

63'

62'

Luciano Juba
1-1

56'

Mateo Sanabria

Cristian Olivera

Cédric Soares

Lucas Ramon

50'

1st half 1-0

Damián Bobadilla

45'

41'

Nicolás Acevedo

Artur
1-0

17'

Who will win ?

São Paulo vs Bahia - Predictions

Odds

Standings of São Paulo and Bahia in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team
1 Palmeiras	19	13	5	1	33:14	44	2.32	D D W W W
2 Flamengo	18	11	4	3	35:16	37	2.06	W D L W W
3 Athletico PR	20	11	3	6	28:19	36	1.8	D W W W W
4 Fluminense	19	9	5	5	29:24	32	1.68	D W L D D
5 Bragantino	19	9	3	7	26:20	30	1.58	L W W W D
6 Bahia	19	8	6	5	28:24	30	1.58	D L W W D
7 Corinthians	19	7	6	6	21:19	27	1.42	W L W W W
8 Cruzeiro	19	7	6	6	26:29	27	1.42	W D W D W
9 Botafogo	19	7	5	7	33:32	26	1.37	W D L W D
10 Coritiba	19	7	5	7	25:27	26	1.37	D W W L L
11 Vitória	19	7	5	7	22:25	26	1.37	L W L W D
12 São Paulo	19	7	4	8	24:22	25	1.32	L L D L L
13 Atlético Mineiro	19	7	4	8	23:24	25	1.32	D W L W D
14 Santos	20	5	7	8	29:33	22	1.1	L L W L D
15 Internacional	20	5	6	9	22:26	21	1.05	W L L L L
16 Grêmio	19	5	6	8	21:25	21	1.11	L D W L L
17 Vasco da Gama	20	5	6	9	23:31	21	1.05	L L L L D
18 Mirassol	19	5	5	9	21:26	20	1.05	L W L W D
19 Remo	19	4	6	9	21:32	18	0.95	D W L W L
20 Chapecoense	20	1	7	12	19:41	10	0.5	L L L L D

CONMEBOL Libertadores

CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Relegation

Last Matches

São Paulo

First half results

4 Win

1 Draw

0 Loss

Serie A

23/07/2026 00:30

São Paulo

1-0

Athletico PR

Serie A

31/05/2026 23:30

Remo

0-0

São Paulo

Copa Sudamericana

26/05/2026 22:00

São Paulo

2-0

Boston River

Serie A

23/05/2026 20:00

São Paulo

1-0

Botafogo

Copa Sudamericana

20/05/2026 00:30

São Paulo

1-0

Millonarios

Scored 5

Avg 1.0

Conceded 0

Avg 0.0

São Paulo

Final results

1 Win

2 Draw

2 Loss

Serie A

23/07/2026 00:30

São Paulo

1-2

Athletico PR

Serie A

31/05/2026 23:30

Remo

1-0

São Paulo

Copa Sudamericana

26/05/2026 22:00

São Paulo

2-0

Boston River

Serie A

23/05/2026 20:00

São Paulo

1-1

Botafogo

Copa Sudamericana

20/05/2026 00:30

São Paulo

1-1

Millonarios

Scored 5

Avg 1.0

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Bahia

First half results

2 Win

1 Draw

2 Loss

Serie A

21/07/2026 22:30

Atlético Mineiro

1-0

Bahia

Serie A

17/07/2026 22:30

Bahia

2-0

Chapecoense

Club Friendlies 3

04/07/2026 14:00

Bahia

1-1

Montevideo City Torque

Serie A

30/05/2026 20:30

Bahia

0-1

Botafogo

Serie A

25/05/2026 23:00

Coritiba

0-1

Bahia

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Bahia

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

Serie A

21/07/2026 22:30

Atlético Mineiro

1-1

Bahia

Serie A

17/07/2026 22:30

Bahia

2-0

Chapecoense

Club Friendlies 3

04/07/2026 14:00

Bahia

4-1

Montevideo City Torque

Serie A

30/05/2026 20:30

Bahia

2-1

Botafogo

Serie A

25/05/2026 23:00

Coritiba

3-2

Bahia

Scored 11

Avg 2.2

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

São Paulo vs Bahia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Serie A

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

São Paulo

Bahia

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

90%

100%

1.5

20%

80%

100%

2.5

50%

30%

70%

3.5

70%

30%

60%

40%

4.5

90%

10%

80%

20%

Trends

Events

Team

São Paulo

São Paulo have won their last 4 home matches

4 / 4

Wins

São Paulo

São Paulo haven't lost in 9 of their last 10 home matches

9 / 10

Unbeaten

São Paulo

São Paulo have won in 7 of their last 8 home matches in Serie A

7 / 8

Wins

São Paulo

São Paulo haven't lost in 7 of their last 8 home matches in Serie A

7 / 8

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

São Paulo and Bahia will face each other on 03/05/2026 at 19:00 at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo stadium (São Paulo). The match is part of Serie A. The referee for the match is Davi de Oliveira Lacerda.

The probability of winning for São Paulo is 55%. The probability of a draw between São Paulo and Bahia is 24%. The probability of winning for Bahia is 21%

The probability of both teams scoring is 53%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 47%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 53%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 47%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, São Paulo has seen both teams score 7 times, while Bahia has seen it 9 times

In the last match on 23/07/2026, São Paulo lost to Athletico PR with a score of 1-2

In the last match on 21/07/2026, Bahia drew with Atlético Mineiro with a score of 1-1

In the last head-to-head on 26/10/2025, São Paulo defeated Bahia at home with a score of 2-0

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo has won 4 times, Bahia has won 1 times, and they have drawn 0 times. São Paulo has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Bahia has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match.

São Paulo is currently in the 4th position in the Serie A league, while Bahia is in the 6th position.

In this season of Serie A, São Paulo has won 7 times, lost 8 times, and drawn 4 times. São Paulo has scored an average of 1.26 goals per match and conceded 1.16 goals.

In this season of Serie A, Bahia has won 8 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 6 times. Bahia has scored an average of 1.47 goals per match and conceded 1.26 goals.

In the last 5 matches, São Paulo has won 1 times, lost 2 times and drawn 2 times. São Paulo has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Bahia has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. Bahia has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

São Paulo - Bahia: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

São Paulo vs Bahia - Predictions

Odds

Standings of São Paulo and Bahia in Serie A

Last Matches

São Paulo vs Bahia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

São Paulo vs Bahia: Frequently asked questions