What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Southampton – Derby County?

Over 2.5: 54%</br>Under 2.5: 46%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Southampton – Derby County?

1) 1-0 (11.17%)</br>2) 1-1 (10.79%)</br>3) 2-1 (10.28%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Southampton – Derby County?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 77%

Southampton vs Derby County: match statistics and data

11.58 °C

Championship

Southampton

2 - 1

Derby County

St. Mary's Stadium

Andrew Kitchen

Match Stats

Southampton

Derby County

62 %

Ball Possession

38 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

384

Accurate Passes

216

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Southampton

Derby County

2nd half 2-1

Cyle Larin

90'+3'

Nathan Wood

James Bree

87'

84'

Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

Lewis Travis

Shea Emmanuel Charles

Finn Azaz

75'

Samuel Edozie

Leo Scienza

75'

Taylor Harwood-Bellis
2-1

69'

67'

Sondre Langås

David Ozoh

67'

Craig Forsyth

Max Johnston

66'

Owen Eames

Jaydon Banel

Cyle Larin

Ross Stewart

64'

Kuryu Matsuki

Tom Fellows

64'

Leo Scienza
1-1

62'

55'

Oscar Fraulo

53'

Dion Sanderson

1st half 0-1

38'

Carlton Morris
0-1

Oscar Fraulo

Bobby Clark

Who will win ?

Southampton vs Derby County - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Southampton and Derby County in Championship

Regular Season - Ranking

Team
1 Coventry City	46	28	11	7	97:45	95	2.07	D D W W W
2 Ipswich Town	46	23	15	8	80:47	84	1.83	D W D D W
3 Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	83	1.8	D W W D W
4 Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	80	1.74	W W D D W
5 Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	80	1.74	L D W W D
6 Hull City	46	21	10	15	70:66	73	1.59	L D D L W
7 Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	71	1.54	L W W L D
8 Derby County	46	20	9	17	67:59	69	1.5	L W L W L
9 Norwich City	46	19	8	19	63:56	65	1.41	L W W D L
10 Birmingham City	46	17	13	16	57:56	64	1.39	W D W W D
11 Swansea City	46	18	10	18	57:59	64	1.39	W L W D W
12 Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	62	1.35	D L D L W
13 Sheffield United	46	18	6	22	66:66	60	1.3	W W L L W
14 Preston North End	46	15	15	16	55:62	60	1.3	W L L W L
15 Queens Park Rangers	46	16	10	20	61:73	58	1.26	D L L L L
16 Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	57	1.24	L L L L L
17 Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51:56	55	1.2	D L L L L
18 Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	55	1.2	W W L W D
19 Charlton Athletic	46	13	14	19	44:58	53	1.15	L D L W L
20 Blackburn Rovers	46	13	13	20	42:56	52	1.13	D L D W L
21 West Bromwich Albion	46	13	14	19	48:58	51	1.11	D W W D L
22 Oxford United	46	11	14	21	45:59	47	1.02	W L L W L
23 Leicester City	46	12	16	18	58:68	46	1	L L D D W
24 Sheffield Wednesday	46	2	12	32	29:89	0	0	D D L L W

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Southampton

First half results

1 Win

4 Draw

0 Loss

Championship

12/05/2026 19:00

Southampton

1-1

Middlesbrough

Championship

09/05/2026 11:30

Middlesbrough

0-0

Southampton

Championship

02/05/2026 11:30

Preston North End

0-1

Southampton

Championship

28/04/2026 18:45

Southampton

0-0

Ipswich Town

FA Cup

25/04/2026 16:15

Manchester City

0-0

Southampton

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Southampton

Final results

1 Win

3 Draw

1 Loss

Championship

12/05/2026 19:00

Southampton

1-1

Middlesbrough

Championship

09/05/2026 11:30

Middlesbrough

0-0

Southampton

Championship

02/05/2026 11:30

Preston North End

1-3

Southampton

Championship

28/04/2026 18:45

Southampton

2-2

Ipswich Town

FA Cup

25/04/2026 16:15

Manchester City

2-1

Southampton

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Derby County

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Championship

25/04/2026 14:00

Queens Park Rangers

1-1

Derby County

Championship

21/04/2026 18:45

Norwich City

1-0

Derby County

Championship

18/04/2026 11:30

Derby County

1-0

Oxford United

Championship

11/04/2026 14:00

Southampton

0-1

Derby County

Championship

06/04/2026 14:00

Derby County

0-0

Stoke City

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Derby County

Final results

3 Win

0 Draw

2 Loss

Championship

25/04/2026 14:00

Queens Park Rangers

2-3

Derby County

Championship

21/04/2026 18:45

Norwich City

2-1

Derby County

Championship

18/04/2026 11:30

Derby County

1-0

Oxford United

Championship

11/04/2026 14:00

Southampton

2-1

Derby County

Championship

06/04/2026 14:00

Derby County

2-0

Stoke City

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Southampton vs Derby County: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Championship

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Southampton

Derby County

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

90%

100%

1.5

10%

90%

40%

60%

2.5

20%

80%

50%

3.5

60%

40%

80%

20%

4.5

90%

10%

80%

20%

Trends

Events

Team

Southampton

Southampton haven't lost in their last 16 matches

16 / 16

Unbeaten

Southampton

Southampton haven't lost in their last 13 matches in Championship

13 / 13

Unbeaten

Southampton

Southampton haven't lost in their last 8 home matches

8 / 8

Unbeaten

Southampton

Southampton haven't lost in their last 6 home matches in Championship

6 / 6

Unbeaten

Southampton

Southampton have won their last 5 matches

5 / 5

Wins

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Southampton and Derby County will face each other on 11/04/2026 at 14:00 at St. Mary's Stadium stadium (Southampton). The match is part of Championship. The referee for the match is Andrew Kitchen.

The probability of winning for Southampton is 57%. The probability of a draw between Southampton and Derby County is 23%. The probability of winning for Derby County is 20%

The probability of both teams scoring is 53%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 47%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 54%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 46%

In the last match on 12/05/2026, Southampton drew with Middlesbrough with a score of 1-1

In the last match on 25/04/2026, Derby County defeated Queens Park Rangers with a score of 2-3

In the last head-to-head on 04/10/2025, Southampton and Derby County drew with a score of 1-1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southampton has won 1 times, Derby County has won 0 times, and they have drawn 4 times. Southampton has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Derby County has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match.

Southampton is currently in the 6th position in the Championship league, while Derby County is in the 8th position.

In this season of Championship, Southampton has won 22 times, lost 10 times, and drawn 16 times. Southampton has scored an average of 1.73 goals per match and conceded 1.19 goals.

In this season of Championship, Derby County has won 20 times, lost 17 times, and drawn 9 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1.46 goals per match and conceded 1.28 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Southampton has won 1 times, lost 1 times and drawn 3 times. Southampton has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Derby County has won 3 times, lost 2 times and drawn 0 times. Derby County has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

Southampton - Derby County: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Southampton vs Derby County - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Southampton and Derby County in Championship

Last Matches

Southampton vs Derby County: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Southampton vs Derby County: Frequently asked questions