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Tapatío - Morelia: stats and betting predictions

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Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura

Tapatío

Morelia

Guadalajara Stadium

Who will win ?

Match preview

The probability of winning for Tapatío is 33%. The probability of a draw between Tapatío and Morelia is 26%. The probability of winning for Morelia is 41%

The probability of both teams scoring is 62%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 38%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 58%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 42%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Tapatío has seen both teams score 7 times, while Morelia has seen it 7 times

In the last match on 10/18/2026, Tapatío lost to Durango with a score of 5-0

In the last match on 10/18/2026, Morelia lost to Jaiba Brava with a score of 1-2

In the last head-to-head on 03/22/2026, Tapatío defeated Morelia at home with a score of 2-1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío has won 3 times, Morelia has won 0 times, and they have drawn 2 times. Tapatío has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Morelia has scored an average of 0.4 goals per match.

Tapatío is currently in the 9th position in the Liga de Expansión MX league, while Morelia is in the 3th position.

In this season of Liga de Expansión MX, Tapatío has won 5 times, lost 6 times, and drawn 2 times. Tapatío has scored an average of 1.77 goals per match and conceded 1.92 goals.

In this season of Liga de Expansión MX, Morelia has won 7 times, lost 4 times, and drawn 2 times. Morelia has scored an average of 1.77 goals per match and conceded 1.15 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Tapatío has won 2 times, lost 3 times and drawn 0 times. Tapatío has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match and conceded 2.2 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Morelia has won 1 times, lost 2 times and drawn 2 times. Morelia has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

Tapatío vs Morelia - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Tapatío and Morelia in Liga de Expansión MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team
1 CA La Paz	13	7	3	3	30:17	24	1.85	W W L W D
2 Universidad Guadalajara	13	7	3	3	29:19	24	1.85	L W W D L
3 Morelia	13	7	2	4	23:15	23	1.77	W L D D L
4 Piratas	13	6	3	4	21:14	21	1.62	W L W L W
5 Venados	13	6	3	4	28:23	21	1.62	L W W D D
6 Durango	13	6	3	4	16:11	21	1.62	W W W D W
7 Cancún	13	5	4	4	22:18	19	1.46	W L W D D
8 Mineros de Zacatecas	13	5	3	5	26:23	18	1.38	W W L D L
9 Tapatío	13	5	2	6	23:25	17	1.31	W L L W L
10 Dorados	13	4	4	5	23:24	16	1.23	D L L L W
11 Correcaminos UAT	13	4	4	5	21:22	16	1.23	L W D L L
12 Tlaxcala	13	4	4	5	25:27	16	1.23	L W D W D
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	5	1	7	12:24	16	1.23	L L L W W
14 Jaiba Brava	13	4	3	6	14:20	15	1.15	D L L D W
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo	13	3	5	5	16:20	14	1.08	L L D W W
16 Tepatitlán de Morelos	13	2	1	10	10:37	7	0.54	L W D L L

Final Series

Final Series Play-offs

Last Matches

Tapatío

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

10/18/2026 3:00 AM

Durango

2-0

Tapatío

Liga de Expansión MX

10/13/2026 11:00 PM

Tapatío

3-1

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Liga de Expansión MX

10/09/2026 11:00 PM

Tapatío

2-2

CA La Paz

Liga de Expansión MX

10/04/2026 1:00 AM

Cancún

0-0

Tapatío

Liga de Expansión MX

09/20/2026 11:00 PM

Tapatío

1-0

Tlaxcala

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Tapatío

Final results

2 Win

0 Draw

3 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

10/18/2026 3:00 AM

Durango

5-0

Tapatío

Liga de Expansión MX

10/13/2026 11:00 PM

Tapatío

4-1

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Liga de Expansión MX

10/09/2026 11:00 PM

Tapatío

2-4

CA La Paz

Liga de Expansión MX

10/04/2026 1:00 AM

Cancún

1-0

Tapatío

Liga de Expansión MX

09/20/2026 11:00 PM

Tapatío

4-0

Tlaxcala

Scored 10

Avg 2.0

Conceded 11

Avg 2.2

Morelia

First half results

3 Win

0 Draw

2 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

10/18/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

1-0

Jaiba Brava

Liga de Expansión MX

10/10/2026 1:00 AM

Tepatitlán de Morelos

1-0

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

10/04/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

1-0

Tlaxcala

Liga de Expansión MX

09/26/2026 11:00 PM

Venados

1-0

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

09/20/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

1-0

Universidad Guadalajara

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Morelia

Final results

1 Win

2 Draw

2 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

10/18/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

1-2

Jaiba Brava

Liga de Expansión MX

10/10/2026 1:00 AM

Tepatitlán de Morelos

1-1

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

10/04/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

1-1

Tlaxcala

Liga de Expansión MX

09/26/2026 11:00 PM

Venados

2-1

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

09/20/2026 1:00 AM

Morelia

2-0

Universidad Guadalajara

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Tapatío vs Morelia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Liga de Expansión MX

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Tapatío

Morelia

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

10%

90%

20%

80%

2.5

20%

80%

50%

3.5

20%

80%

20%

4.5

50%

90%

10%

Trends

Events

Team

No trends...

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Tapatío vs Morelia: Frequently asked questions

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What are the 1X2 probabilities for Tapatío – Morelia according to BetMines?

1: 33%
X: 26%
2: 41%

What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Tapatío – Morelia?

Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Tapatío – Morelia?

Yes: 62%
No: 38%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Tapatío – Morelia?

1) 1-1 (11.8%)
2) 1-2 (8.99%)
3) 2-1 (7.77%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Tapatío – Morelia?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 81%