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Toluca - Atlas: stats and betting predictions

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Liga MX - Apertura

Toluca

Atlas

Estadio Nemesio Díez

Mario Terrazas Chávez

Who will win ?

Match preview

Toluca and Atlas will face each other on 12/09/2026 at 23:00 at Estadio Nemesio Díez stadium (Toluca de Lerdo). The match is part of Liga MX. The referee for the match is Mario Terrazas Chávez.

The probability of winning for Toluca is 64%. The probability of a draw between Toluca and Atlas is 21%. The probability of winning for Atlas is 15%

The probability of both teams scoring is 54%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 46%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 60%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 40%

In the last match on 07/09/2026, Toluca defeated Monterrey with a score of 2-0

In the last match on 06/09/2026, Atlas drew with Atlante with a score of 1-1

In the last head-to-head on 15/03/2026, Toluca and Atlas drew with a score of 1-1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca has won 3 times, Atlas has won 0 times, and they have drawn 2 times. Toluca has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match, while Atlas has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match.

Toluca is currently in the 3th position in the Liga MX league, while Atlas is in the 5th position.

In this season of Liga MX, Toluca has won 4 times, lost 1 times, and drawn 1 times. Toluca has scored an average of 2 goals per match and conceded 0.67 goals.

In this season of Liga MX, Atlas has won 4 times, lost 2 times, and drawn 1 times. Atlas has scored an average of 1.43 goals per match and conceded 1.29 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Toluca has won 5 times, lost 0 times and drawn 0 times. Toluca has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match and conceded 0.2 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Atlas has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. Atlas has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

Toluca vs Atlas - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Toluca and Atlas in Liga MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team
1 América	6	5	1	0	12:2	16	2.67	D W W W W
2 Guadalajara	7	4	2	1	12:6	14	2	D W W D W
3 Toluca	6	4	1	1	12:4	13	2.17	L W D W W
4 Tijuana	6	4	1	1	10:7	13	2.17	W D W L W
5 Atlas	7	4	1	2	10:9	13	1.86	L W W L D
6 Cruz Azul	7	4	0	3	12:11	12	1.71	L L L W W
7 Pumas UNAM	7	3	2	2	11:9	11	1.57	W D D L W
8 Querétaro	6	3	1	2	9:7	10	1.67	W W D L W
9 León	7	3	1	3	9:9	10	1.43	W W W D L
10 Puebla	6	3	1	2	9:9	10	1.67	L D W W L
11 Monterrey	6	3	0	3	13:10	9	1.5	L W W L L
12 Pachuca	7	2	2	3	10:8	8	1.14	L L D D W
13 Necaxa	7	2	2	3	9:12	8	1.14	L L D L D
14 Atlante	7	1	4	2	7:9	7	1	W D L D D
15 Tigres UANL	7	1	3	3	9:11	6	0.86	L L W D D
16 Atlético San Luis	7	1	3	3	8:13	6	0.86	D L D W L
17 Santos Laguna	7	0	1	6	4:12	1	0.14	L L L D L
18 Juárez	7	0	0	7	3:21	0	0	L L L L L

Final Series Play-offs

Last Matches

Toluca

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

Leagues Cup

07/09/2026 01:15

Toluca

1-0

Monterrey

Leagues Cup

03/09/2026 01:00

Toluca

1-0

León

Liga MX

31/08/2026 00:00

Toluca

2-0

Juárez

Leagues Cup

27/08/2026 00:30

Toluca

0-0

Austin

Liga MX

22/08/2026 03:10

Querétaro

0-0

Toluca

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 0

Avg 0.0

Toluca

Final results

5 Win

0 Draw

0 Loss

Leagues Cup

07/09/2026 01:15

Toluca

2-0

Monterrey

Leagues Cup

03/09/2026 01:00

Toluca

2-0

León

Liga MX

31/08/2026 00:00

Toluca

4-0

Juárez

Leagues Cup

27/08/2026 00:30

Toluca

2-0

Austin

Liga MX

22/08/2026 03:10

Querétaro

1-2

Toluca

Scored 12

Avg 2.4

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Atlas

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Liga MX

06/09/2026 03:00

Atlas

1-0

Atlante

Liga MX

29/08/2026 23:00

Atlas

1-1

Querétaro

Liga MX

23/08/2026 03:00

Cruz Azul

0-2

Atlas

Liga MX

16/08/2026 03:10

Atlas

1-1

Tigres UANL

Leagues Cup

12/08/2026 00:00

Cincinnati

1-0

Atlas

Scored 5

Avg 1.0

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Atlas

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

Liga MX

06/09/2026 03:00

Atlas

1-1

Atlante

Liga MX

29/08/2026 23:00

Atlas

1-3

Querétaro

Liga MX

23/08/2026 03:00

Cruz Azul

0-2

Atlas

Liga MX

16/08/2026 03:10

Atlas

2-1

Tigres UANL

Leagues Cup

12/08/2026 00:00

Cincinnati

1-2

Atlas

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Toluca vs Atlas: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Liga MX

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Toluca

Atlas

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

90%

100%

1.5

20%

80%

10%

90%

2.5

50%

3.5

70%

30%

70%

30%

4.5

100%

90%

10%

Trends

Events

Team

Toluca

Toluca haven't lost in 19 of their last 21 home matches

19 / 21

Unbeaten

Toluca

Toluca haven't lost in 17 of their last 19 home matches in Liga MX

17 / 19

Unbeaten

Atlas

Atlas have won in 5 of their last 6 away matches in Liga MX

5 / 6

Wins

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

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Toluca vs Atlas: Frequently asked questions

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What are the 1X2 probabilities for Toluca – Atlas according to BetMines?

1: 64%
X: 21%
2: 15%

What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Toluca – Atlas?

Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%

What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Toluca – Atlas?

Yes: 54%
No: 46%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Toluca – Atlas?

1) 2-1 (10.46%)
2) 2-0 (10.06%)
3) 1-0 (9.78%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Toluca – Atlas?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Double chance market is 12, with a probability of 79%