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Toluca - Guadalajara: stats and betting predictions

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Liga MX  -  Clausura

Toluca

W
L
L
W
L

2 - 0

FT

Guadalajara

D
D
L
W
D
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Oscar Mejia Garcia

Match Stats

Toluca

Guadalajara

Corner

2

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

0

46 %

Ball Possession

54 %

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

12

Total Shots

10

5

Ongoal Shots

4

11

Dangerous Attacks

19

10

Fouls

6

279

Accurate Passes

338

2

Big Chances Created

2

0

Big Chances Missed

2

Corner

2

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

0

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

Match Data

Toluca

Guadalajara

2nd half 2-0

substitution

Fernando Arce

Marcel Ruiz

90'+4'

substitution

Luan

Jesús Gallardo

90'+3'

yellowcard

Marcel Ruiz

90'+2'

substitution

Pável Pérez

Jesús Angulo

75'

substitution

Helinho

Jorge Díaz

71'

67'

Ángel Sepúlveda

yellowcard

64'

Daniel Aguirre Domínguez

yellowcard

60'

Ricardo Marín

Armando González

substitution

53'

Fernando Rubén González Pineda

yellowcard
yellowcard

Jesús Gallardo

51'

substitution

Everardo del Villar

46'

46'

Ángel Sepúlveda

Efraín Álvarez

substitution

46'


substitution

46'

Hugo Camberos

Richard Ledezma

substitution

1st half 2-0

yellowcard

Diego Barbosa

45'+7'

40'

Brian Gutiérrez

Luis Romo

substitution

Jorge Díaz
2-0

16'

yellowcard

Franco Romero

13'

penalty

Jesús Gallardo
1-0

5'

var

Paulinho

3'

Who will win ?

Toluca vs Guadalajara - Predictions

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Odds

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Standings of Toluca and Guadalajara in Liga MX

Last Matches

Toluca

First half results

0 Win
3 Draw
2 Loss

Liga MX

05/10/2026 11:00 PM

Pachuca

1-0

Toluca

CONCACAF Champions Cup

05/07/2026 1:30 AM

Toluca

0-0

Los Angeles FC

Liga MX

05/04/2026 1:15 AM

Toluca

0-1

Pachuca

CONCACAF Champions Cup

04/30/2026 2:30 AM

Los Angeles FC

0-0

Toluca

Liga MX

04/26/2026 1:05 AM

Toluca

1-1

León
Scored 1
Avg 0.2
Conceded 3
Avg 0.6
Toluca

Final results

2 Win
0 Draw
3 Loss

Liga MX

05/10/2026 11:00 PM

Pachuca

2-0

Toluca

CONCACAF Champions Cup

05/07/2026 1:30 AM

Toluca

4-0

Los Angeles FC

Liga MX

05/04/2026 1:15 AM

Toluca

0-1

Pachuca

CONCACAF Champions Cup

04/30/2026 2:30 AM

Los Angeles FC

2-1

Toluca

Liga MX

04/26/2026 1:05 AM

Toluca

4-1

León
Scored 9
Avg 1.8
Conceded 6
Avg 1.2
Guadalajara

First half results

0 Win
5 Draw
0 Loss

Liga MX

05/14/2026 2:00 AM

Cruz Azul

1-1

Guadalajara

Liga MX

05/10/2026 1:07 AM

Guadalajara

0-0

Tigres UANL

Liga MX

05/03/2026 1:00 AM

Tigres UANL

1-1

Guadalajara

Liga MX

04/26/2026 1:07 AM

Guadalajara

0-0

Tijuana

Liga MX

04/23/2026 3:10 AM

Necaxa

0-0

Guadalajara
Scored 2
Avg 0.4
Conceded 2
Avg 0.4
Guadalajara

Final results

1 Win
3 Draw
1 Loss

Liga MX

05/14/2026 2:00 AM

Cruz Azul

2-2

Guadalajara

Liga MX

05/10/2026 1:07 AM

Guadalajara

2-0

Tigres UANL

Liga MX

05/03/2026 1:00 AM

Tigres UANL

3-1

Guadalajara

Liga MX

04/26/2026 1:07 AM

Guadalajara

0-0

Tijuana

Liga MX

04/23/2026 3:10 AM

Necaxa

0-0

Guadalajara
Scored 5
Avg 1.0
Conceded 5
Avg 1.0

Toluca vs Guadalajara: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Toluca

Guadalajara

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

30%

3

70%

7

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

BetMines

Match preview

Toluca and Guadalajara will face each other on 02/28/2026 at 11:00 PM at Estadio Nemesio Díez stadium (Toluca de Lerdo). The match is part of Liga MX. The referee for the match is Oscar Mejia Garcia.

The probability of winning for Toluca is 55%. The probability of a draw between Toluca and Guadalajara is 23%. The probability of winning for Guadalajara is 22%

The probability of both teams scoring is 55%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 45%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 55%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 45%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Toluca has seen over 2.5 goals 7 times, while Guadalajara has seen it 7 times

See more

Toluca vs Guadalajara: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Toluca – Guadalajara according to BetMines?
1: 55%
X: 23%
2: 22%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Toluca – Guadalajara?
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Toluca – Guadalajara?
Yes: 55%
No: 45%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Toluca – Guadalajara?
1) 1-1 (10.78%)
2) 1-0 (10.19%)
3) 2-1 (10.1%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Toluca – Guadalajara?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 67%

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