What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Toluca – León?

Over 2.5: 58%</br>Under 2.5: 42%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Toluca – León?

1) 2-0 (11.49%)</br>2) 1-0 (11.33%)</br>3) 2-1 (10.28%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Toluca – León?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 79%

Toluca vs León: match statistics and data

15.25 °C

Liga MX - Clausura

Toluca

4 - 1

León

Estadio Nemesio Díez

Daniel Quintero Huittrón

Match Stats

Toluca

León

42 %

Ball Possession

58 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

244

Accurate Passes

366

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Toluca

León

2nd half 4-1

80'

Bryan Colula

Nicolás Castro 4-1

Jorge Díaz

4-1

76'

Jorge Díaz

74'

Jorge Díaz 3-1

Jesús Gallardo

3-1

73'

Nicolás Castro

Sebastián Córdova

72'

70'

Alfonso Alvarado

Rodrigo Echeverría

Antonio Briseño

65'

Bruno Méndez

Érick Orta

63'

Fernando Arce 2-1

Jesús Gallardo

2-1

59'

Antonio Briseño

58'

56'

Daniel Arcila

Fernando Beltrán

56'

Juan Domínguez

Miguel Emilio Rodríguez Macías

46'

Paul Bellón

Stiven Barreiro

46'

Bryan Colula

Iván Moreno

Jesús Gallardo

Mauricio Isaís

46'

Jorge Díaz

Franco Rossi

46'

1st half 1-1

45'+3'

Díber Cambindo 1-1

Ismael Díaz

1-1

34'

Stiven Barreiro

Franco Romero

Oswaldo Virgen

27'

23'

Miguel Emilio Rodríguez Macías

Franco Rossi

22'

Luis García

21'

Goal awarded

Alexis Vega

Sebastián Córdova 1-0

Alexis Vega

1-0

Who will win ?

Toluca vs León - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Toluca and León in Liga MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team
1 América	6	5	1	0	12:2	16	2.67	D W W W W
2 Guadalajara	7	4	2	1	12:6	14	2	D W W D W
3 Toluca	6	4	1	1	12:4	13	2.17	L W D W W
4 Tijuana	6	4	1	1	10:7	13	2.17	W D W L W
5 Atlas	7	4	1	2	10:9	13	1.86	L W W L D
6 Cruz Azul	7	4	0	3	12:11	12	1.71	L L L W W
7 Querétaro	6	3	1	2	9:7	10	1.67	W W D L W
8 León	6	3	1	2	8:6	10	1.67	L W W W D
9 Puebla	6	3	1	2	9:9	10	1.67	L D W W L
10 Monterrey	6	3	0	3	13:10	9	1.5	L W W L L
11 Pachuca	7	2	2	3	10:8	8	1.14	L L D D W
12 Pumas UNAM	6	2	2	2	8:8	8	1.33	W W D D L
13 Necaxa	7	2	2	3	9:12	8	1.14	L L D L D
14 Atlante	7	1	4	2	7:9	7	1	W D L D D
15 Tigres UANL	7	1	3	3	9:11	6	0.86	L L W D D
16 Atlético San Luis	7	1	3	3	8:13	6	0.86	D L D W L
17 Santos Laguna	7	0	1	6	4:12	1	0.14	L L L D L
18 Juárez	7	0	0	7	3:21	0	0	L L L L L

Final Series Play-offs

Last Matches

Toluca

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

Leagues Cup

07/09/2026 01:15

Toluca

1-0

Monterrey

Leagues Cup

03/09/2026 01:00

Toluca

1-0

León

Liga MX

31/08/2026 00:00

Toluca

2-0

Juárez

Leagues Cup

27/08/2026 00:30

Toluca

0-0

Austin

Liga MX

22/08/2026 03:10

Querétaro

0-0

Toluca

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 0

Avg 0.0

Toluca

Final results

5 Win

0 Draw

0 Loss

Leagues Cup

07/09/2026 01:15

Toluca

2-0

Monterrey

Leagues Cup

03/09/2026 01:00

Toluca

2-0

León

Liga MX

31/08/2026 00:00

Toluca

4-0

Juárez

Leagues Cup

27/08/2026 00:30

Toluca

2-0

Austin

Liga MX

22/08/2026 03:10

Querétaro

1-2

Toluca

Scored 12

Avg 2.4

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

León

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Leagues Cup

06/09/2026 22:00

León

0-0

América

Leagues Cup

03/09/2026 01:00

Toluca

1-0

León

Liga MX

29/08/2026 02:00

Atlante

0-0

León

Leagues Cup

26/08/2026 02:30

León

1-0

Real Salt Lake

Liga MX

22/08/2026 01:00

León

1-0

Monterrey

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

León

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

Leagues Cup

06/09/2026 22:00

León

1-0

América

Leagues Cup

03/09/2026 01:00

Toluca

2-0

León

Liga MX

29/08/2026 02:00

Atlante

1-1

León

Leagues Cup

26/08/2026 02:30

León

3-0

Real Salt Lake

Liga MX

22/08/2026 01:00

León

2-0

Monterrey

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Toluca vs León: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Liga MX

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Toluca

León

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

90%

100%

1.5

20%

80%

30%

70%

2.5

50%

60%

40%

3.5

70%

30%

90%

10%

4.5

100%

90%

10%

Trends

Events

Team

Toluca

Toluca haven't lost in their last 17 home matches in Liga MX

17 / 17

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Toluca and León will face each other on 26/04/2026 at 01:05 at Estadio Nemesio Díez stadium (Toluca de Lerdo). The match is part of Liga MX. The referee for the match is Daniel Quintero Huittrón.

The probability of winning for Toluca is 69%. The probability of a draw between Toluca and León is 19%. The probability of winning for León is 12%

The probability of both teams scoring is 49%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 51%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 58%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 42%

In the last match on 07/09/2026, Toluca defeated Monterrey with a score of 2-0

In the last match on 06/09/2026, León defeated América with a score of 1-0

In the last head-to-head on 05/10/2025, Toluca defeated León away with a score of 2-4

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca has won 2 times, León has won 1 times, and they have drawn 2 times. Toluca has scored an average of 2.6 goals per match, while León has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match.

Toluca is currently in the 5th position in the Liga MX league, while León is in the 10th position.

In this season of Liga MX, Toluca has won 22 times, lost 9 times, and drawn 11 times. Toluca has scored an average of 1.86 goals per match and conceded 1.02 goals.

In this season of Liga MX, León has won 10 times, lost 19 times, and drawn 5 times. León has scored an average of 1.06 goals per match and conceded 1.85 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Toluca has won 5 times, lost 0 times and drawn 0 times. Toluca has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match and conceded 0.2 goals.

In the last 5 matches, León has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. León has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 0.6 goals.

Toluca - León: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Toluca vs León - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Toluca and León in Liga MX

Last Matches

Toluca vs León: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Toluca vs León: Frequently asked questions