What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Toluca – León?

Over 2.5: 58%</br>Under 2.5: 42%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Toluca – León?

1) 2-0 (11.49%)</br>2) 1-0 (11.33%)</br>3) 2-1 (10.28%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Toluca – León?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 79%

Toluca vs León: match statistics and data

15.25 °C

Liga MX - Clausura

Toluca

4 - 1

León

Estadio Nemesio Díez

Daniel Quintero Huittrón

Match Stats

Toluca

León

42 %

Ball Possession

58 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

244

Accurate Passes

366

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Toluca

León

2nd half 4-1

80'

Bryan Colula

Nicolás Castro
4-1

76'

Jorge Díaz

74'

Jorge Díaz
3-1

73'

Nicolás Castro

Sebastián Córdova

72'

70'

Alfonso Alvarado

Rodrigo Echeverría

Antonio Briseño

65'

Bruno Méndez

Érick Orta

63'

Fernando Arce
2-1

59'

Antonio Briseño

58'

56'

Daniel Arcila

Fernando Beltrán

56'

Juan Domínguez

Miguel Emilio Rodríguez Macías

46'

Paul Bellón

Stiven Barreiro

46'

Bryan Colula

Iván Moreno

Jesús Gallardo

Mauricio Isaís

46'

Jorge Díaz

Franco Rossi

46'

1st half 1-1

45'+3'

Díber Cambindo
1-1

34'

Stiven Barreiro

Franco Romero

Oswaldo Virgen

27'

23'

Miguel Emilio Rodríguez Macías

Franco Rossi

22'

Luis García

21'

Alexis Vega

Sebastián Córdova
1-0

Who will win ?

Toluca vs León - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Toluca and León in Liga MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team
1 Toluca	17	11	4	2	43:18	37	2.18	W D D D W
2 Tigres UANL	17	10	6	1	35:16	36	2.12	W W W D W
3 Cruz Azul	17	10	5	2	32:20	35	2.06	W D W W L
4 América	17	10	4	3	33:18	34	2	L W D W L
5 Monterrey	17	9	4	4	33:29	31	1.82	D W L D L
6 Guadalajara	17	9	2	6	29:22	29	1.71	W L W W W
7 Tijuana	17	6	6	5	29:23	24	1.41	L D L L W
8 Juárez	17	6	5	6	27:28	23	1.35	D L D W L
9 Pachuca	17	6	4	7	21:21	22	1.29	D L D L L
10 Pumas UNAM	17	5	6	6	24:25	21	1.24	D L D W W
11 Santos Laguna	17	6	2	9	22:28	20	1.18	W D W L W
12 Querétaro	17	6	2	9	19:29	20	1.18	L W L W W
13 Necaxa	17	4	5	8	24:32	17	1	L D W W D
14 Atlas	17	4	5	8	24:35	17	1	L W L D L
15 Atlético San Luis	17	5	1	11	25:29	16	0.94	W W L L L
16 Mazatlán	17	2	8	7	20:29	14	0.82	L D D L D
17 León	17	3	4	10	14:31	13	0.76	L L D L L
18 Puebla	17	3	3	11	21:42	12	0.71	W L D L W

Final Series

Final Series Play-offs

Clausura - Ranking

Team
1 Pumas UNAM	17	10	6	1	34:17	36	2.12	D W W W W
2 Guadalajara	17	11	3	3	33:17	36	2.12	D L W D D
3 Cruz Azul	17	9	6	2	31:18	33	1.94	L D D D W
4 Pachuca	17	9	4	4	25:19	31	1.82	W W W L L
5 Toluca	17	8	6	3	28:16	30	1.76	L D L L W
6 Atlas	17	7	5	5	16:18	26	1.53	L D W D W
7 Tigres UANL	17	7	4	6	28:18	25	1.47	L W D D W
8 América	17	7	4	6	20:17	25	1.47	D D W W L
9 Tijuana	17	5	8	4	19:17	23	1.35	W W D W D
10 León	17	7	1	9	22:32	22	1.29	W W W L L
11 Querétaro	17	4	8	5	17:21	20	1.18	D W D D W
12 Juárez	17	5	4	8	26:32	19	1.12	D L L L W
13 Monterrey	17	5	3	9	22:24	18	1.06	L D L W L
14 Atlético San Luis	17	5	3	9	24:27	18	1.06	W D L W L
15 Necaxa	17	5	3	9	19:25	18	1.06	W L D D L
16 Mazatlán	17	4	3	10	22:37	15	0.88	L L D W L
17 Puebla	17	3	4	10	13:26	13	0.76	D L L L L
18 Santos Laguna	17	3	3	11	20:38	12	0.71	D L L L W

Final Series

Last Matches

Toluca

First half results

0 Win

3 Draw

2 Loss

Liga MX

05/10/2026 11:00 PM

Pachuca

1-0

Toluca

CONCACAF Champions Cup

05/07/2026 1:30 AM

Toluca

0-0

Los Angeles FC

Liga MX

05/04/2026 1:15 AM

Toluca

0-1

Pachuca

CONCACAF Champions Cup

04/30/2026 2:30 AM

Los Angeles FC

0-0

Toluca

Liga MX

04/26/2026 1:05 AM

Toluca

1-1

León

Scored 1

Avg 0.2

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Toluca

Final results

2 Win

0 Draw

3 Loss

Liga MX

05/10/2026 11:00 PM

Pachuca

2-0

Toluca

CONCACAF Champions Cup

05/07/2026 1:30 AM

Toluca

4-0

Los Angeles FC

Liga MX

05/04/2026 1:15 AM

Toluca

0-1

Pachuca

CONCACAF Champions Cup

04/30/2026 2:30 AM

Los Angeles FC

2-1

Toluca

Liga MX

04/26/2026 1:05 AM

Toluca

4-1

León

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

León

First half results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Liga MX

04/22/2026 3:06 AM

León

2-2

América

Liga MX

04/19/2026 3:06 AM

León

2-0

Juárez

Liga MX

04/11/2026 1:00 AM

Puebla

0-0

León

Liga MX

04/05/2026 1:00 AM

León

1-0

Atlas

Liga MX

03/22/2026 1:00 AM

Atlético San Luis

1-1

León

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

León

Final results

4 Win

0 Draw

1 Loss

Liga MX

04/22/2026 3:06 AM

León

2-3

América

Liga MX

04/19/2026 3:06 AM

León

3-1

Juárez

Liga MX

04/11/2026 1:00 AM

Puebla

0-1

León

Liga MX

04/05/2026 1:00 AM

León

2-0

Atlas

Liga MX

03/22/2026 1:00 AM

Atlético San Luis

1-2

León

Scored 10

Avg 2.0

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Toluca vs León: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Liga MX

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Toluca

León

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

10%

90%

10%

90%

2.5

30%

70%

20%

80%

3.5

60%

40%

60%

40%

4.5

70%

30%

70%

30%

Trends

Events

Team

Toluca

Toluca haven't lost in their last 17 home matches in Liga MX

17 / 17

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Toluca and León will face each other on 04/26/2026 at 1:05 AM at Estadio Nemesio Díez stadium (Toluca de Lerdo). The match is part of Liga MX. The referee for the match is Daniel Quintero Huittrón.

The probability of winning for Toluca is 69%. The probability of a draw between Toluca and León is 19%. The probability of winning for León is 12%

The probability of both teams scoring is 49%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 51%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 58%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 42%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Toluca has seen over 2.5 goals 7 times, while León has seen it 8 times

In the last match on 05/10/2026, Toluca lost to Pachuca with a score of 2-0

In the last match on 04/22/2026, León lost to América with a score of 2-3

In the last head-to-head on 10/05/2025, Toluca defeated León away with a score of 2-4

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca has won 2 times, León has won 1 times, and they have drawn 2 times. Toluca has scored an average of 2.6 goals per match, while León has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match.

Toluca is currently in the 5th position in the Liga MX league, while León is in the 10th position.

In this season of Liga MX, Toluca has won 22 times, lost 9 times, and drawn 11 times. Toluca has scored an average of 1.86 goals per match and conceded 1.02 goals.

In this season of Liga MX, León has won 10 times, lost 19 times, and drawn 5 times. León has scored an average of 1.06 goals per match and conceded 1.85 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Toluca has won 2 times, lost 3 times and drawn 0 times. Toluca has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

In the last 5 matches, León has won 4 times, lost 1 times and drawn 0 times. León has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

Toluca - León: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Toluca vs León - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Toluca and León in Liga MX

Last Matches

Toluca vs León: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Toluca vs León: Frequently asked questions