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Universidad Guadalajara - Morelia: stats and betting predictions

Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura - Semi-finals

Universidad Guadalajara

Morelia

Estadio Jalisco

Who will win ?

Match preview

The probability of winning for Universidad Guadalajara is 42%. The probability of a draw between Universidad Guadalajara and Morelia is 25%. The probability of winning for Morelia is 33%

The probability of both teams scoring is 63%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 37%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 60%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 40%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Universidad Guadalajara has seen both teams score 7 times, while Morelia has seen it 8 times

In the last match on 08/11/2026, Universidad Guadalajara defeated Durango with a score of 2-1

In the last match on 08/11/2026, Morelia defeated Venados with a score of 2-1

In the last head-to-head on 20/09/2026, Morelia defeated Universidad Guadalajara at home with a score of 2-0

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Guadalajara has won 3 times, Morelia has won 2 times, and they have drawn 0 times. Universidad Guadalajara has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Morelia has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match.

Universidad Guadalajara is currently in the 1th position in the Liga de Expansión MX league, while Morelia is in the 2th position.

In this season of Liga de Expansión MX, Universidad Guadalajara has won 10 times, lost 4 times, and drawn 3 times. Universidad Guadalajara has scored an average of 2.12 goals per match and conceded 1.29 goals.

In this season of Liga de Expansión MX, Morelia has won 10 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 2 times. Morelia has scored an average of 1.76 goals per match and conceded 1.24 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Universidad Guadalajara has won 3 times, lost 2 times and drawn 0 times. Universidad Guadalajara has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Morelia has won 3 times, lost 2 times and drawn 0 times. Morelia has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.

Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia - Predictions

Odds

Sorry, there are no available odds.

Standings of Universidad Guadalajara and Morelia in Liga de Expansión MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team
1 CA La Paz	15	9	3	3	36:18	30	2	L W D W W
2 Universidad Guadalajara	15	9	3	3	34:20	30	2	W D L W W
3 Morelia	15	8	2	5	26:19	26	1.73	D D L W L
4 Piratas	15	7	4	4	27:15	25	1.67	W L W W D
5 Cancún	15	7	4	4	28:18	25	1.67	W D D W W
6 Venados	15	7	4	4	31:25	25	1.67	W D D W D
7 Durango	15	7	3	5	21:15	24	1.6	W D W L W
8 Tlaxcala	15	6	4	5	29:27	22	1.47	D W D W W
9 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	15:25	22	1.47	L W W W W
10 Mineros de Zacatecas	15	5	3	7	26:26	18	1.2	L D L L L
11 Tapatío	15	5	3	7	25:28	18	1.2	L W L L D
12 Correcaminos UAT	15	4	5	6	21:24	17	1.13	D L L L D
13 Dorados	15	4	4	7	23:32	16	1.07	L L W L L
14 Jaiba Brava	15	4	3	8	15:25	15	1	L D W L L
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo	15	3	5	7	17:24	14	0.93	D W W L L
16 Tepatitlán de Morelos	15	2	1	12	11:44	7	0.47	D L L L L

Final Series

Final Series Play-offs

Last Matches

Universidad Guadalajara

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

08/11/2026 18:00

Universidad Guadalajara

2-0

Durango

Liga de Expansión MX

06/11/2026 3:05

Durango

0-0

Universidad Guadalajara

Liga de Expansión MX

01/11/2026 18:00

Universidad Guadalajara

2-1

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Liga de Expansión MX

25/10/2026 0:00

Mineros de Zacatecas

0-1

Universidad Guadalajara

Liga de Expansión MX

18/10/2026 18:00

Universidad Guadalajara

1-1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Universidad Guadalajara

Final results

3 Win

0 Draw

2 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

08/11/2026 18:00

Universidad Guadalajara

2-1

Durango

Liga de Expansión MX

06/11/2026 3:05

Durango

1-0

Universidad Guadalajara

Liga de Expansión MX

01/11/2026 18:00

Universidad Guadalajara

3-1

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Liga de Expansión MX

25/10/2026 0:00

Mineros de Zacatecas

0-2

Universidad Guadalajara

Liga de Expansión MX

18/10/2026 18:00

Universidad Guadalajara

1-2

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Morelia

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

08/11/2026 1:00

Morelia

1-1

Venados

Liga de Expansión MX

04/11/2026 23:00

Venados

1-1

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

01/11/2026 1:00

Durango

2-0

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

25/10/2026 23:00

Tapatío

0-1

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

18/10/2026 1:00

Morelia

1-0

Jaiba Brava

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Morelia

Final results

3 Win

0 Draw

2 Loss

Liga de Expansión MX

08/11/2026 1:00

Morelia

2-1

Venados

Liga de Expansión MX

04/11/2026 23:00

Venados

1-2

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

01/11/2026 1:00

Durango

3-1

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

25/10/2026 23:00

Tapatío

1-2

Morelia

Liga de Expansión MX

18/10/2026 1:00

Morelia

1-2

Jaiba Brava

Scored 8

Avg 1.6

Conceded 8

Avg 1.6

Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Liga de Expansión MX

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Universidad Guadalajara

Morelia

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

10%

90%

10%

90%

2.5

40%

60%

40%

60%

3.5

70%

30%

90%

10%

4.5

90%

10%

100%

Trends

Events

Team

No trends...

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Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia: Frequently asked questions

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What are the 1X2 probabilities for Universidad Guadalajara – Morelia according to BetMines?

1: 42%
X: 25%
2: 33%

What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Universidad Guadalajara – Morelia?

Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%

What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Universidad Guadalajara – Morelia?

Yes: 63%
No: 37%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Universidad Guadalajara – Morelia?

1) 1-1 (10.91%)
2) 2-1 (9%)
3) 1-2 (7.85%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Universidad Guadalajara – Morelia?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the BTTS market is Yes, with a probability of 63%