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Vélez Sarsfield - Independiente: stats and betting predictions

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Liga Profesional de Fútbol  -  2nd Phase

Vélez Sarsfield

D
D
D
D
W

1 - 0

FT

Independiente

L
W
D
L
W
Estadio José Amalfitani
Leandro Rey Hilfer

Match Stats

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

54 %

Ball Possession

46 %

Corner

4

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

0.88

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) shows how dangerous a team's chances were. Each shot gets a value based on details such as distance, angle and shot type. Adding those values gives the team's total xG for the match.

0.39

12

Total Shots

11

4

Ongoal Shots

1

58

Dangerous Attacks

42

17

Fouls

13

338

Accurate Passes

281

3

Big Chances Created

0

2

Big Chances Missed

0

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

Corner

4

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

Match Data

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

2nd half 1-0

substitution

Claudio Baeza

Lucas Robertone

88'

substitution

Luca Feler

Matías Pellegrini

86'

yellowcard

Simón Valentín Escobar

85'

76'

Maximiliano Meza

Mateo Pérez Curci

substitution

76'

Lautaro Millán

Maximiliano Gutiérrez

substitution
yellowcard

Matías Pellegrini

72'

Thiago Aguirre 1-0

1-0

70'

substitution

Thiago Aguirre

Dilan Godoy

57'

substitution

Simón Valentín Escobar

Manuel Lanzini

57'

53'

Santiago Montiel

yellowcard
yellowcard

Guillermo Schelotto

47'

substitution

Emanuel Mammana

Lisandro Magallán

46'

46'

Facundo Valdez

Matías Abaldo

substitution

1st half 0-0

45'+3'

Maximiliano Gutiérrez

yellowcard
yellowcard

Dilan Godoy

42'

27'

Santiago Arias

Leonardo Godoy

substitution

Who will win ?

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente - Predictions

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Standings of Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Apertura - Group B - Ranking

Team

1

River Plate

14

9

2

3

22:10

29

2.07

W
W
W
W
L
2

Independiente Rivadavia

14

8

4

2

21:12

28

2

W
W
W
D
D
3

Rosario Central

14

7

4

3

18:15

25

1.79

W
L
W
W
D
4

Belgrano

14

7

3

4

16:12

24

1.71

L
W
D
L
W
5

Argentinos Juniors

14

6

5

3

14:12

23

1.64

W
L
W
W
L
6

Gimnasia La Plata

14

7

1

6

18:19

22

1.57

L
W
W
W
W
7

Racing Club

14

5

5

4

17:14

20

1.43

W
L
D
D
D
8

Barracas Central

14

5

5

4

14:13

20

1.43

L
W
D
D
L
9

Sarmiento

14

6

1

7

12:16

19

1.36

W
L
L
W
L
10

Tigre

14

4

6

4

17:14

18

1.29

L
D
D
L
D
11

Huracán

14

4

6

4

16:13

18

1.29

W
W
D
L
D
12

Banfield

14

4

3

7

14:18

15

1.07

W
L
D
D
W
13

Atlético Tucumán

14

3

4

7

14:18

13

0.93

L
D
L
D
W
14

Aldosivi

14

0

7

7

6:18

7

0.5

D
L
D
L
D
15

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

14

1

2

11

5:20

5

0.36

L
D
L
L
L
8th Finals

Apertura - Group A - Ranking

Team

1

Estudiantes

16

9

4

3

19:7

31

1.94

L
W
W
D
W
2

Boca Juniors

16

8

6

2

22:9

30

1.88

W
D
W
W
W
3

Vélez Sarsfield

16

7

7

2

18:12

28

1.75

L
W
D
D
D
4

Talleres Córdoba

16

7

5

4

17:13

26

1.63

L
W
W
D
D
5

Independiente

16

6

6

4

24:20

24

1.5

L
D
W
L
W
6

Lanús

16

6

6

4

18:15

24

1.5

W
D
L
D
D
7

San Lorenzo

16

5

7

4

14:14

22

1.38

W
D
D
W
L
8

Unión Santa Fe

16

5

6

5

24:20

21

1.31

W
L
L
D
D
9

Instituto

16

6

3

7

17:17

21

1.31

W
W
L
D
W
10

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

16

5

4

7

14:22

19

1.19

W
D
W
L
W
11

Defensa y Justicia

16

4

7

5

18:21

19

1.19

L
L
L
L
L
12

Central Cordoba SdE

16

4

4

8

11:21

16

1

L
L
W
D
L
13

Platense

16

3

7

6

10:15

16

1

D
D
L
L
L
14

Newell's Old Boys

16

3

6

7

15:27

15

0.94

W
D
W
D
D
15

Deportivo Riestra

16

1

8

7

5:12

11

0.69

L
L
L
W
D
8th Finals

Clausura - Group B - Ranking

Team

1

Argentinos Juniors

8

5

2

1

12:7

17

2.13

W
L
D
W
D
2

Sarmiento

8

5

0

3

15:12

15

1.88

W
W
W
L
W
3

Gimnasia La Plata

8

5

0

3

12:12

15

1.88

W
L
L
W
W
4

Independiente Rivadavia

9

4

2

3

13:13

14

1.56

L
D
W
L
W
5

Atlético Tucumán

8

3

4

1

6:3

13

1.63

L
W
D
D
W
6

Belgrano

8

3

3

2

8:5

12

1.5

D
W
W
D
D
7

Tigre

8

3

3

2

7:5

12

1.5

W
D
W
D
L
8

Rosario Central

8

3

3

2

9:8

12

1.5

W
W
D
L
D
9

Barracas Central

8

3

2

3

4:5

11

1.38

L
L
L
D
D
10

River Plate

8

3

1

4

10:9

10

1.25

L
W
D
W
W
11

Huracán

8

2

4

2

6:6

10

1.25

W
L
D
D
D
12

Banfield

8

2

1

5

8:13

7

0.88

L
W
L
L
L
13

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

8

1

3

4

3:9

6

0.75

L
L
D
D
L
14

Aldosivi

9

1

2

6

11:16

5

0.56

D
L
L
W
L
15

Racing Club

8

1

2

5

7:13

5

0.63

L
L
L
L
L
8th Finals

Clausura - Group A - Ranking

Team

1

Vélez Sarsfield

9

4

5

0

12:7

17

1.89

D
D
D
W
D
2

Defensa y Justicia

9

5

2

2

11:9

17

1.89

W
D
W
L
W
3

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

9

5

1

3

14:9

16

1.78

L
W
W
D
L
4

Instituto

8

5

1

2

8:5

16

2

W
W
W
W
L
5

Boca Juniors

9

3

5

1

12:11

14

1.56

D
D
W
D
W
6

Unión Santa Fe

8

4

1

3

15:12

13

1.63

W
W
L
L
W
7

Newell's Old Boys

9

3

4

2

10:8

13

1.44

D
L
W
D
D
8

Independiente

8

4

1

3

7:6

13

1.63

L
L
W
L
W
9

Estudiantes

9

3

1

5

9:9

10

1.11

L
L
D
L
W
10

Lanús

8

3

1

4

8:8

10

1.25

L
W
L
L
W
11

San Lorenzo

8

3

1

4

3:5

10

1.25

D
L
W
L
W
12

Deportivo Riestra

8

2

3

3

8:7

9

1.13

D
W
L
D
D
13

Platense

9

2

3

4

9:14

9

1

W
D
L
D
L
14

Central Cordoba SdE

9

2

1

6

5:11

7

0.78

W
L
D
L
L
15

Talleres Córdoba

8

1

2

5

8:13

5

0.63

W
L
L
D
L
8th Finals

Last Matches

Vélez Sarsfield

First half results

2 Win
2 Draw
1 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

06/09/2026 0:15

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Estudiantes

Copa Argentina

03/09/2026 0:15

Vélez Sarsfield

0-0

Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

29/08/2026 17:45

Deportivo Riestra

0-0

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

23/08/2026 22:15

River Plate

2-0

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

17/08/2026 22:15

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Defensa y Justicia
Scored 2
Avg 0.4
Conceded 2
Avg 0.4
Vélez Sarsfield

Final results

1 Win
4 Draw
0 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

06/09/2026 0:15

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Estudiantes

Copa Argentina

03/09/2026 0:15

Vélez Sarsfield

0-0

Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

29/08/2026 17:45

Deportivo Riestra

1-1

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

23/08/2026 22:15

River Plate

2-2

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

17/08/2026 22:15

Vélez Sarsfield

1-1

Defensa y Justicia
Scored 5
Avg 1.0
Conceded 4
Avg 0.8
Independiente

First half results

1 Win
2 Draw
2 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

06/09/2026 20:00

Central Cordoba SdE

0-0

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

30/08/2026 22:15

Independiente

0-1

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

22/08/2026 21:30

Independiente

0-0

Independiente Rivadavia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

17/08/2026 20:00

Lanús

0-1

Independiente

Copa Argentina

12/08/2026 22:15

Atlético Tucumán

1-0

Independiente
Scored 1
Avg 0.2
Conceded 2
Avg 0.4
Independiente

Final results

2 Win
1 Draw
2 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

06/09/2026 20:00

Central Cordoba SdE

0-1

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

30/08/2026 22:15

Independiente

0-3

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

22/08/2026 21:30

Independiente

0-0

Independiente Rivadavia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

17/08/2026 20:00

Lanús

1-3

Independiente

Copa Argentina

12/08/2026 22:15

Atlético Tucumán

4-0

Independiente
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 8
Avg 1.6

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

2.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

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Match preview

Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente will face each other on 03/08/2026 at 22:00 at Estadio José Amalfitani stadium (Buenos Aires). The match is part of Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The referee for the match is Leandro Rey Hilfer.

The probability of winning for Vélez Sarsfield is 41%. The probability of a draw between Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente is 29%. The probability of winning for Independiente is 31%

The probability of both teams scoring is 46%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 54%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 39%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 61%

In the last 10 matches across all competitions, Vélez Sarsfield has seen under 2.5 goals 8 times, while Independiente has seen it 7 times

See more

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente according to BetMines?
1: 41%
X: 29%
2: 31%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?
Over 2.5: 39%
Under 2.5: 61%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?
Yes: 46%
No: 54%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?
1) 1-1 (13.51%)
2) 1-0 (12.88%)
3) 0-0 (10.62%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 81%

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