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Vélez Sarsfield - Independiente: stats and betting predictions

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Liga Profesional de Fútbol  -  2nd Phase

Vélez Sarsfield

W
D
L
W
W

1 - 0

FT

Independiente

W
L
D
D
L
Estadio José Amalfitani
Leandro Rey Hilfer

Match Stats

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

54 %

Ball Possession

46 %

Corner

4

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

0.88

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) shows how dangerous a team's chances were. Each shot gets a value based on details such as distance, angle and shot type. Adding those values gives the team's total xG for the match.

0.39

12

Total Shots

11

4

Ongoal Shots

1

58

Dangerous Attacks

42

17

Fouls

13

338

Accurate Passes

281

3

Big Chances Created

0

2

Big Chances Missed

0

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

Corner

4

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

Match Data

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

2nd half 1-0

substitution

Claudio Baeza

Lucas Robertone

88'

substitution

Luca Feler

Matías Pellegrini

86'

yellowcard

Simón Valentín Escobar

85'

76'

Maximiliano Meza

Mateo Pérez Curci

substitution

76'

Lautaro Millán

Maximiliano Gutiérrez

substitution
yellowcard

Matías Pellegrini

72'

Thiago Aguirre 1-0

1-0

70'

substitution

Thiago Aguirre

Dilan Godoy

57'

substitution

Simón Valentín Escobar

Manuel Lanzini

57'

53'

Santiago Montiel

yellowcard
yellowcard

Guillermo Schelotto

47'

substitution

Emanuel Mammana

Lisandro Magallán

46'

46'

Facundo Valdez

Matías Abaldo

substitution

1st half 0-0

45'+3'

Maximiliano Gutiérrez

yellowcard
yellowcard

Dilan Godoy

42'

27'

Santiago Arias

Leonardo Godoy

substitution

Who will win ?

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente - Predictions

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Standings of Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Apertura - Group B - Ranking

Team

1

Independiente Rivadavia

16

10

4

2

29:15

34

2.13

W
W
D
D
W
2

River Plate

16

9

2

5

22:12

29

1.81

W
W
W
L
L
3

Argentinos Juniors

16

8

5

3

17:13

29

1.81

W
L
W
W
L
4

Rosario Central

16

8

4

4

20:16

28

1.75

W
L
W
W
D
5

Belgrano

16

7

5

4

17:13

26

1.63

L
W
D
L
W
6

Gimnasia La Plata

16

8

2

6

19:19

26

1.63

L
W
W
W
W
7

Huracán

16

5

7

4

17:13

22

1.38

W
W
D
L
D
8

Racing Club

16

5

6

5

17:15

21

1.31

L
D
L
D
D
9

Barracas Central

16

5

6

5

15:15

21

1.31

L
W
D
D
L
10

Tigre

16

4

8

4

18:15

20

1.25

L
D
D
L
D
11

Sarmiento

16

6

1

9

13:20

19

1.19

W
L
L
W
L
12

Banfield

16

5

3

8

17:19

18

1.13

L
D
D
L
W
13

Atlético Tucumán

16

3

5

8

15:20

14

0.88

L
D
L
D
W
14

Aldosivi

16

0

8

8

6:19

8

0.5

D
L
D
L
D
15

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

16

1

2

13

5:24

5

0.31

D
L
L
L
L
8th Finals

Apertura - Group A - Ranking

Team

1

Estudiantes

16

9

4

3

19:7

31

1.94

L
W
W
D
W
2

Boca Juniors

16

8

6

2

22:9

30

1.88

W
D
W
W
W
3

Vélez Sarsfield

16

7

7

2

18:12

28

1.75

L
W
D
D
D
4

Talleres Córdoba

16

7

5

4

17:13

26

1.63

L
W
W
D
D
5

Independiente

16

6

6

4

24:20

24

1.5

L
D
W
L
W
6

Lanús

16

6

6

4

18:15

24

1.5

W
D
L
D
D
7

San Lorenzo

16

5

7

4

14:14

22

1.38

W
D
D
W
L
8

Unión Santa Fe

16

5

6

5

24:20

21

1.31

W
L
L
D
D
9

Instituto

16

6

3

7

17:17

21

1.31

W
W
L
D
W
10

Defensa y Justicia

16

4

7

5

18:21

19

1.19

L
L
L
L
L
11

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

16

5

4

7

14:22

19

1.19

W
D
W
L
W
12

Platense

16

3

7

6

10:15

16

1

D
D
L
L
L
13

Central Cordoba SdE

16

4

4

8

11:21

16

1

L
L
W
D
L
14

Newell's Old Boys

16

3

6

7

15:27

15

0.94

W
D
W
D
D
15

Deportivo Riestra

16

1

8

7

5:12

11

0.69

L
L
L
W
D
8th Finals

Clausura - Group B - Ranking

Team

1

Rosario Central

15

9

4

2

24:12

31

2.07

D
W
W
W
W
2

Argentinos Juniors

14

8

4

2

18:11

28

2

L
W
D
W
W
3

Gimnasia La Plata

15

8

4

3

23:19

28

1.87

D
D
W
W
W
4

River Plate

15

7

2

6

19:14

23

1.53

W
D
W
W
L
5

Belgrano

15

6

5

4

16:13

23

1.53

W
W
L
L
D
6

Barracas Central

15

6

5

4

15:13

23

1.53

W
W
D
W
D
7

Sarmiento

15

6

3

6

23:23

21

1.4

W
D
D
L
L
8

Huracán

15

5

4

6

12:16

19

1.27

W
L
L
L
L
9

Independiente Rivadavia

14

5

4

5

17:22

19

1.36

W
D
L
D
L
10

Atlético Tucumán

14

4

5

5

13:13

17

1.21

L
L
D
L
W
11

Tigre

15

4

4

7

15:16

16

1.07

L
L
D
L
W
12

Racing Club

15

4

3

8

16:22

15

1

W
L
D
L
W
13

Banfield

14

3

5

6

15:20

14

1

D
D
W
L
D
14

Aldosivi

15

3

2

10

16:24

11

0.73

L
L
L
W
L
15

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

15

2

3

10

10:21

9

0.6

L
L
W
L
L
8th Finals

Clausura - Group A - Ranking

Team

1

Instituto

15

10

3

2

24:13

33

2.2

W
D
W
W
D
2

Boca Juniors

15

8

6

1

23:14

30

2

W
D
W
W
W
3

Vélez Sarsfield

15

7

7

1

25:15

28

1.87

D
L
W
W
D
4

Defensa y Justicia

14

8

3

3

20:13

27

1.93

D
W
W
L
W
5

Lanús

15

7

4

4

18:11

25

1.67

D
W
W
D
D
6

Newell's Old Boys

15

5

7

3

14:11

22

1.47

D
L
W
D
D
7

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

15

6

3

6

17:16

21

1.4

L
W
L
L
D
8

Independiente

14

5

4

5

12:14

19

1.36

W
L
D
D
L
9

San Lorenzo

15

5

4

6

9:14

19

1.27

L
W
W
D
D
10

Unión Santa Fe

15

5

3

7

22:24

18

1.2

L
L
D
W
D
11

Estudiantes

15

4

3

8

20:21

15

1

W
D
L
L
D
12

Platense

14

3

5

6

14:20

14

1

L
D
D
L
W
13

Talleres Córdoba

15

3

3

9

16:22

12

0.8

L
D
L
L
W
14

Deportivo Riestra

15

2

6

7

10:17

12

0.8

D
L
D
L
L
15

Central Cordoba SdE

14

2

4

8

11:23

10

0.71

D
D
D
L
L
8th Finals

Last Matches

Vélez Sarsfield

First half results

2 Win
3 Draw
0 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

26/10/2026 00:30

Central Cordoba SdE

0-2

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

17/10/2026 23:00

Vélez Sarsfield

0-0

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

12/10/2026 19:00

Lanús

0-0

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

05/10/2026 22:00

Vélez Sarsfield

1-1

Platense

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

21/09/2026 00:30

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Tigre
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 1
Avg 0.2
Vélez Sarsfield

Final results

3 Win
1 Draw
1 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

26/10/2026 00:30

Central Cordoba SdE

0-5

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

17/10/2026 23:00

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

12/10/2026 19:00

Lanús

2-0

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

05/10/2026 22:00

Vélez Sarsfield

2-2

Platense

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

21/09/2026 00:30

Vélez Sarsfield

3-2

Tigre
Scored 11
Avg 2.2
Conceded 6
Avg 1.2
Independiente

First half results

0 Win
4 Draw
1 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

25/10/2026 20:00

Independiente

0-0

Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

18/10/2026 17:45

Racing Club

1-0

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

12/10/2026 00:30

Talleres Córdoba

0-0

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

02/10/2026 22:15

Independiente

1-1

Instituto

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

19/09/2026 19:45

Unión Santa Fe

0-0

Independiente
Scored 1
Avg 0.2
Conceded 2
Avg 0.4
Independiente

Final results

1 Win
2 Draw
2 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

25/10/2026 20:00

Independiente

0-1

Boca Juniors

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

18/10/2026 17:45

Racing Club

1-1

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

12/10/2026 00:30

Talleres Córdoba

0-0

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

02/10/2026 22:15

Independiente

1-4

Instituto

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

19/09/2026 19:45

Unión Santa Fe

1-2

Independiente
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 7
Avg 1.4

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Vélez Sarsfield is 41%. The probability of a draw between Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente is 29%. The probability of winning for Independiente is 31%

The probability of both teams scoring is 46%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 54%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 39%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 61%

In the last match on 26/10/2026, Vélez Sarsfield defeated Central Cordoba SdE with a score of 0-5

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Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente according to BetMines?
1: 41%
X: 29%
2: 31%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?
Over 2.5: 39%
Under 2.5: 61%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?
Yes: 46%
No: 54%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?
1) 1-1 (13.51%)
2) 1-0 (12.88%)
3) 0-0 (10.62%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 81%

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