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AC Milan
5:30 PM
October 28, 2026
Bologna
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 3:34 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 3:34 PM
AC Milan host Bologna at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on October 28, 2026, in a Serie A fixture that brings together two teams fresh from 2-0 away wins. Milan beat Udinese on October 25 to preserve their unbeaten league record, while Bologna defeated Cagliari a day earlier for their second victory of the campaign. The hosts sit fourth after eight matches, with Bologna in 13th. Milan’s consistency makes them the stronger side on paper, but Bologna have collected both of their league wins away from home, giving the visitors reason to approach this trip with confidence.
AC Milan have recorded five wins and three draws in Serie A this season. They average 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per league match, a combination that has kept them unbeaten through the opening eight rounds. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Milan have three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring 2.0 goals per game and conceding 1.2.
Sunday’s 2-0 win at Udinese provided an immediate response to a 3-0 Europa League defeat against Bournemouth, during which Milan were reduced to ten men. Christian Pulisic and Omari Hutchinson scored against Udinese, helping Ruben Amorim’s side recover from that midweek setback. Milan now seek a fourth consecutive home victory. Their attacking record at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza offers encouragement: they have scored in 19 of their last 22 matches there.
Goals have also been a regular feature of Milan’s recent fixtures. Their last 15 matches have each produced more than 1.5 total goals, as have their last 12 Serie A matches. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of those 12 league games. Corners tell a different story: fewer than 10.5 have been taken in Milan’s last 19 Serie A matches, and in 21 of their last 22 matches across competitions.
Amorim may consider changes with a derby to follow this fixture. Luka Modric could be rested, while Samuel Chukwueze, Mattia Gabbia, Alexis Saelemaekers and Filippo Terracciano remain unavailable. Adrien Rabiot and Diego Moreira face fitness questions, as do Mario Gila and Ruben Loftus-Cheek. Pulisic, fresh from scoring at Udinese, is expected to be available to start if required.
Bologna arrive after a 2-0 victory at Cagliari on October 24. Nicolò Casale and Federico Bernardeschi scored in the second half, and the result gave Bologna their first clean sheet of the season. It was also their second win in three league games, following an opening stretch in which they took only two points from five matches.
Raffaele Palladino’s side have won twice, drawn twice and lost four times in Serie A. They average 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded per league game. Their last five matches across competitions have yielded two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals both scored and conceded. Those figures point to a less consistent campaign than Milan’s, although Bologna’s improvement gives them a platform for this visit.
Both Bologna league victories have come away from home. Another win at Milan would give Palladino three consecutive away victories in Serie A. There is also a clear second-half pattern in Bologna’s results: at least one goal has been scored after the interval in their last 11 Serie A matches and their last 10 away matches. Both goals against Cagliari followed that trend.
Bologna’s list of unavailable players includes Roberto Piccoli, Riccardo Orsolini and Emil Holm. Jens Odgaard has replaced Piccoli in attack, while Artem Dovbyk and Jay Enem provide other options. Former Milan player Tommaso Pobega could play alongside Lewis Ferguson in midfield.
This match sets Milan’s unbeaten league start against Bologna’s recent progress on the road. The hosts have been more productive in front of goal and have conceded fewer goals per league match, while their victory at Udinese showed that they could respond quickly to a heavy European defeat. Bologna, however, have taken both of their wins away from home and travel after a clean-sheet victory of their own.
The latest head-to-head meeting finished 0-3 on February 3, 2026. Across the five meetings covered by the supplied head-to-head record, Milan have three wins and Bologna two, with no draws. That record leaves little room to dismiss the visitors, particularly given their away results this season. Milan’s home scoring run and stronger overall Serie A form nevertheless give Amorim’s side the clearer case for victory, even with possible changes to the team.
AC Milan vs Bologna prediction from BetMines: AC Milan win (1) with 46% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AC Milan
Bologna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1